Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

USA - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
11/01/2026 19:00
Miami Heat

Prediction :

 

Miami Heat at +9

2.6
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in NBA Predictions

The Oklahoma City Thunder will welcome the Miami Heat next in the NBA as they seek to move away from a rare dip in form. They enter this fixture as the top team in the Western Conference, whereas the Heat are eighth in the East. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

The Thunder have won their last two matches. After a shock 27-point blowout loss against the Hornets, OKC have responded with wins against the Jazz and Grizzlies.

Though neither win came by way of a blowout, as has been synonymous with them this term, OKC will be grateful to be back on track. Mike Daigneault’s side, missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren, defeated the Grizzlies 117-116 last time out.

The Heat are on a two-game skid and have won just one of their last four fixtures. This run of results highlights the sort of season the visitors have had.

The Heat have compiled a 20-18 record, with 12 of their setbacks coming away from home. Erik Spoelstra’s men, who are playing their final fixture of a three-match road trip, fell 123-99 to East strugglers Indiana.

It was the second game in which they had failed to get over 100 points. Tyler Herro, in his third game back after a 10-game injury layoff, led the team with 21 points against the Pacers.

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The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.13 6.5
BC Game
1.12 6.4
Tonybet
1.12 6.8
Roobet
1.11 6.8
Shangrila
1.1 7.4
Check all Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat odds

Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat match is: Miami Heat at +9.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat game on 11/01/2026 of the current NBA season:

  • Oklahoma City Thunder has a 66.74% chance to pick up the win against Miami Heat according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.13.
  • There is a probability of 33.26% ⭐ for Miami Heat to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 7.4 at Shangrila.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Form

Oklahoma City Thunder and Miami Heat's standings in the NBA

Teams % P W L Series
1
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
0.829 41 34 7 4
16
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
0.525 40 21 19 1

Oklahoma City Thunder and Miami Heat Last Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

11 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Miami Heat

9 Jan 2026 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
116 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

7 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
129 :  125
Utah Jazz

5 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
97 :  124
Charlotte Hornets

4 Jan 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
108 :  105
Oklahoma City Thunder

2 Jan 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
94 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Miami Heat

7 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
129 :  125
Utah Jazz

5 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
97 :  124
Charlotte Hornets

31 Dec 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  95
Portland Trail Blazers

29 Dec 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
140 :  129
Atlanta Hawks

28 Dec 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
129 :  104
Philadelphia 76ers
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

9 Jan 2026 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
116 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

4 Jan 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
108 :  105
Oklahoma City Thunder

2 Jan 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
94 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

23 Dec 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
130 :  110
Oklahoma City Thunder

19 Dec 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
112 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

7 Dec 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
101 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder
Miami Heat
Miami Heat Last matches
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

11 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Miami Heat

10 Jan 2026 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
123 :  99
Miami Heat

6 Jan 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
122 :  94
Miami Heat

4 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
125 :  106
New Orleans Pelicans

3 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
115 :  125
Minnesota Timberwolves

1 Jan 2026 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
112 :  118
Miami Heat
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

4 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
125 :  106
New Orleans Pelicans

3 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
115 :  125
Minnesota Timberwolves

29 Dec 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
147 :  123
Denver Nuggets

27 Dec 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
142 :  116
Indiana Pacers

23 Dec 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
91 :  112
Toronto Raptors

15 Dec 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
96 :  106
Toronto Raptors
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

11 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Miami Heat

10 Jan 2026 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
123 :  99
Miami Heat

6 Jan 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
122 :  94
Miami Heat

1 Jan 2026 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
112 :  118
Miami Heat

26 Dec 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
111 :  126
Miami Heat

21 Dec 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
132 :  125
Miami Heat

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

83 %

Miami Heat

17 %

11 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Miami Heat

12 Feb 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  101
Miami Heat

20 Dec 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
97 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

8 Mar 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  100
Miami Heat

10 Jan 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
120 :  128
Oklahoma City Thunder

10 Jan 2023 - NBA

Miami Heat
112 :  111
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder - Miami Heat Key Points

  1. The Thunder have won six of their last eight fixtures.
  2. Three of the Heat’s last four fixtures have ended in defeat.
  3. The Thunder have won the last four meetings with the Heat.
  4. Holmgren and Gilgeous-Alexander are available for the Thunder.
  5. OKC’s last two wins have been by single-digit point margins.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction

For our OKC Thunder v Miami Heat prediction, we have the Miami Heat at +9. The Thunder are slowly getting back to their usual best and are playing at home, where they have compiled one of the league’s best records. Though we have them winning this game, we fancy the Heat to make it a tough contest and deny OKC from racking up another blowout win.

The Heat are one of the league’s best offensive sides and have improved lately on the injury front. With the Thunder not yet at full speed, going by recent fixtures, there is a strong chance the Heat lose this by a single-digit margin. 

Prediction :

 

Miami Heat at +9

2.6
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction