Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Kennedy Kechula | in NBA Predictions
The Oklahoma City Thunder will welcome the Miami Heat next in the NBA as they seek to move away from a rare dip in form. They enter this fixture as the top team in the Western Conference, whereas the Heat are eighth in the East. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
The Thunder have won their last two matches. After a shock 27-point blowout loss against the Hornets, OKC have responded with wins against the Jazz and Grizzlies.
Though neither win came by way of a blowout, as has been synonymous with them this term, OKC will be grateful to be back on track. Mike Daigneault’s side, missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren, defeated the Grizzlies 117-116 last time out.
The Heat are on a two-game skid and have won just one of their last four fixtures. This run of results highlights the sort of season the visitors have had.
The Heat have compiled a 20-18 record, with 12 of their setbacks coming away from home. Erik Spoelstra’s men, who are playing their final fixture of a three-match road trip, fell 123-99 to East strugglers Indiana.
It was the second game in which they had failed to get over 100 points. Tyler Herro, in his third game back after a 10-game injury layoff, led the team with 21 points against the Pacers.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.13 | 6.5 |
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1.12 | 6.4 |
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1.12 | 6.8 |
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1.11 | 6.8 |
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1.1 | 7.4 |
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat match is: Miami Heat at +9.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat game on 11/01/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 66.74% chance to pick up the win against Miami Heat according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.13.
- There is a probability of 33.26% ⭐ for Miami Heat to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 7.4 at Shangrila.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Miami Heat's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1
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0.829 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 4 |
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16
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0.525 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 1 |
Oklahoma City Thunder and Miami Heat Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Jan 2026 - NBA
4 Jan 2026 - NBA
2 Jan 2026 - NBA
23 Dec 2025 - NBA
19 Dec 2025 - NBA
7 Dec 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
10 Jan 2026 - NBA
6 Jan 2026 - NBA
4 Jan 2026 - NBA
3 Jan 2026 - NBA
1 Jan 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
4 Jan 2026 - NBA
3 Jan 2026 - NBA
29 Dec 2025 - NBA
27 Dec 2025 - NBA
23 Dec 2025 - NBA
15 Dec 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
10 Jan 2026 - NBA
6 Jan 2026 - NBA
1 Jan 2026 - NBA
26 Dec 2025 - NBA
21 Dec 2025 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
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20 Dec 2024 - NBA
8 Mar 2024 - NBA
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10 Jan 2023 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder - Miami Heat Key Points
- The Thunder have won six of their last eight fixtures.
- Three of the Heat’s last four fixtures have ended in defeat.
- The Thunder have won the last four meetings with the Heat.
- Holmgren and Gilgeous-Alexander are available for the Thunder.
- OKC’s last two wins have been by single-digit point margins.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction
For our OKC Thunder v Miami Heat prediction, we have the Miami Heat at +9. The Thunder are slowly getting back to their usual best and are playing at home, where they have compiled one of the league’s best records. Though we have them winning this game, we fancy the Heat to make it a tough contest and deny OKC from racking up another blowout win.
The Heat are one of the league’s best offensive sides and have improved lately on the injury front. With the Thunder not yet at full speed, going by recent fixtures, there is a strong chance the Heat lose this by a single-digit margin.
If your team in the Oklahoma City Thunder and Miami Heat game takes a 20-point lead, you win!

If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.