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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The time has come! One game. One shot at glory… The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers return to the Paycom Center one last time for Game 7 of the NBA Finals tonight! OKC enter the season’s showpiece as the favourites, but there has not been more belief in the Pacers' chances than right now. Let’s get into the match prediction!
It’s the first time in almost a decade that the NBA Finals have gone the distance. If the Thunder rumbles to victory, they would become, statistically, one of the best NBA champions in history after going 68-14 in the regular season. However, the Pacers have the wind beneath their sails after a stunning Game 6 performance that levelled the series at 3-3, keeping their hopes of becoming arguably the most unlikely team to raise the Larry O’Brien Trophy firmly alive.
Two teams, two different paths, six gruelling battles that saw momentum swing like a pendulum, and it all comes down to one final showdown - a do-or-die Game 7 in Oklahoma. Who will etch their name into NBA immortality? Let’s get into the key stats and try to find out!
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The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v Indiana Pacers Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.35 | 3.25 |
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1.36 | 3.3 |
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1.4 | 3.15 |
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1.35 | 3.1 |
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1.37 | 3.1 |
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers match is: Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers game on 22/06/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 58.07% chance to pick up the win against Indiana Pacers according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.4.
- There is a probability of 41.93% ⭐ for Indiana Pacers to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 3.3 at William Hill.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers: Form Analysis
After trading blows in the first four games of the Final, OKC took the driver’s seat, going 3-2 up in Game 5, but in Game 6, they were comprehensively beaten. In fact, they were outplayed to such an extent that all their starters sat out Q4.
It was one of the sloppiest performances of the season for the Thunder, who committed 21 turnovers while only shooting 38.2% from the field across the first three quarters.
One of the most notable stats in the Finals so far is that OKC have drained just 32.9% of their shots from long range. That translates into the lowest rate for any team in this season’s Playoffs and a significant drop from their 40.6% through the first three rounds.
OKC have been outscored by 54 points from the three-point line in this season’s NBA Finals!
Meanwhile, like a heavyweight boxer in the last round of a bout, the Indiana Pacers were on the ropes heading into Game 6, but they came out swinging and secured a commanding 108-91 victory.
The Pacers actually started Game 6 poorly, though, missing their first eight shots to fall behind 10-2, but this is a team that does not know the meaning of giving up. They rallied and held OKC to 91 points - their fewest in any match since April 2022.
Notably, Indiana’s ball movement has been far superior in these Finals. Over the six games, they’ve thrown 705 more passes than Oklahoma.
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Oklahoma City Thunder & Indiana Pacers Squad Analysis
Despite an underwhelming performance in Game 6, where he managed just 21 points, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains the linchpin of this Thunder team.
While his eight-turnover performance in the last match was extremely unexpected, SGA is averaging 30.0 PPG in this season’s Playoffs and has scored 30+ points in four of the six games in this series.
Jalen Williams scored just 16 points in Game 6, but he’s been one of the best scorers in the Finals. He will need to step up to support the reigning MVP in this match if OKC are to clinch the title.
Alex Caruso failed to score 20 points all season, but has surpassed that mark twice in this series!
On the opposite end, Tyrese Haliburton has been the beating heart of Indiana. From a game-winning buzzer-beater in Game 1 to playing with a strained calm in Game 6, his contributions have been heroic.
Obi Toppin came off the bench to end as the Pacers' leading scorer in Game 6 with 20 points, while Andrew Nemhard added 17 and Pascal Siakam finished with 16 points and 13 rebounds.
Only 10 NBA Players have scored 100 points, grabbed 50 boards, provided 20 assists, nicked 10 steals and blocked five shots in the Finals since 1973. That list now includes Pascal Siakam! He is averaging 19.8 PPG, 8.3 rebounds, 4.0 assists, 1.7 steals and 1.3 blocks per game in this series.
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers Key Points
- The Thunder have only lost eight home games this season.
- The Thunder have won their last nine games against Eastern Conference opposition after losing as favourites.
- Home teams are 15-4 in Game 7 of the NBA Finals.
- The Thunder have only lost back-to-back games once since November.
- The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in their last four games against Western Conference opposition after winning as underdogs.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
Whichever side you’re on, you’d likely agree that this has been one of the most compelling Finals in recent memory. Buzzer-beaters, a surging MVP, player injuries and big bench contributions - we’ve seen it all through the first six games between OKC and the Pacers.
Now, here we are, one game away from crowning a first-time winner, and while the Pacers-Hoosiers comparisons have been making the headlines, facts show that the home team has won 15 of the 19 Game 7s in the NBA Finals. We feel the Thunder will not be denied. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers prediction is Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers - Other Interesting Predictions
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 33.5.
The reigning MVP is averaging 30.0 PPG in the postseason and 34.3 PPG in his three home games in this series. He has been the best player in the NBA this season by a distance, and we fancy he will deliver once more when it matters most.
If your team in the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers match : Frequently asked questions
The NBA Finals Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers will be played on June 22 at 20:00 (ET).
The NBA Finals Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers will take place at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma.
The NBA Finals Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers will be broadcast on ABC in the US, while UK viewers can tune in to TNT Sports and discovery+.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our NBA livescore tool.All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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