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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets will get their second-round NBA Playoff series underway in Game 1 at Paycom Center on Monday night. The winner of this series between the Thunder and Nuggets will face either the Warriors or the Timberwolves in the conference final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After ending the regular season as the best team in the NBA with a record of 68-14, the Oklahoma City Thunder carried that form into the Playoffs and swept the Grizzlies 4-0 in the first round.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was once again OKC’s top scorer in the first round, averaging 27.8 points per game, while Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren averaged 23.3 and 18.5 PPG, respectively.
While the regular season series between these sides was split 2-2, the Thunder have had over a week’s rest and only lost six games all season here at the Paycom Center.
Meanwhile, the Nuggets are entering the second round following an almighty battle against the Clippers that went the distance before Denver clinched Game 7 on Saturday night.
Nikola Jokic produced his usual high standards, averaging 24.0 PPG, while Jamal Murray had an excellent second half of the series to finish with an average of 22.9 PPG and 5.9 assists per game.
Given that this game comes just 48 hours after their last, there are a few concerns about fatigue for the Nuggets. However, with the last game ending in a blowout, the Joker only had to play 32 minutes.
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The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.24 | 4.25 |
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1.2 | 4.33 |
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1.22 | 4.22 |
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1.24 | 4.3 |
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1.24 | 4.2 |
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets match is: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets game on 05/05/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 70.24% chance to pick up the win against Denver Nuggets according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.24.
- There is a probability of 29.76% ⭐ for Denver Nuggets to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 4.5 at William Hill.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Last Matches

6/6 (100%)
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5/6 (83%)
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5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points
- The Thunder have won six of their last nine games against this opponent.
- The Thunder are 57-26-4 ATS for the season.
- The Thunder have only lost one of their last 24 home games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in their last eight night home games.
- The Thunder were 35-6 at home during the regular season.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The OKC Thunder have been sensational this year and enter this match well-rested, with the home advantage, while having only lost six games at the Paycom Center all season.
The Denver Nuggets and OKC finished 2-2 in the regular season series, but Denver are coming off a taxing seven-game series against the LA Clippers, and we feel they may struggle to contain the hosts in this one. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets prediction is Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on NBA!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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