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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

USA - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
05/05/2025 21:30
Denver Nuggets

Prediction :

 

Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets will get their second-round NBA Playoff series underway in Game 1 at Paycom Center on Monday night. The winner of this series between the Thunder and Nuggets will face either the Warriors or the Timberwolves in the conference final. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

After ending the regular season as the best team in the NBA with a record of 68-14, the Oklahoma City Thunder carried that form into the Playoffs and swept the Grizzlies 4-0 in the first round. 

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was once again OKC’s top scorer in the first round, averaging 27.8 points per game, while Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren averaged 23.3 and 18.5 PPG, respectively.

While the regular season series between these sides was split 2-2, the Thunder have had over a week’s rest and only lost six games all season here at the Paycom Center.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets are entering the second round following an almighty battle against the Clippers that went the distance before Denver clinched Game 7 on Saturday night. 

Nikola Jokic produced his usual high standards, averaging 24.0 PPG, while Jamal Murray had an excellent second half of the series to finish with an average of 22.9 PPG and 5.9 assists per game.

Given that this game comes just 48 hours after their last, there are a few concerns about fatigue for the Nuggets. However, with the last game ending in a blowout, the Joker only had to play 32 minutes.

The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.24 4.25
Ladbrokes
1.2 4.33
Betobet
1.22 4.22
Tonybet
1.24 4.3
BC Game
1.24 4.2
Check all Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets odds
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets match is: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets game on 05/05/2025 of the current NBA season:

  • Oklahoma City Thunder has a 70.24% chance to pick up the win against Denver Nuggets according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.24.
  • There is a probability of 29.76% ⭐ for Denver Nuggets to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 4.5 at William Hill.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Last Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

26 Apr 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

24 Apr 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
108 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

22 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  99
Memphis Grizzlies

20 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
131 :  80
Memphis Grizzlies

13 Apr 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
100 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder

11 Apr 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
111 :  145
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

22 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  99
Memphis Grizzlies

20 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
131 :  80
Memphis Grizzlies

8 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
136 :  120
Los Angeles Lakers

6 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
99 :  126
Los Angeles Lakers

2 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  103
Detroit Pistons

31 Mar 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
145 :  117
Chicago Bulls
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

26 Apr 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

24 Apr 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
108 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

13 Apr 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
100 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder

11 Apr 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
111 :  145
Oklahoma City Thunder

9 Apr 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
112 :  125
Oklahoma City Thunder

4 Apr 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
125 :  111
Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Last matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

3 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  101
LA Clippers

1 May 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
111 :  105
Denver Nuggets

29 Apr 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  115
LA Clippers

26 Apr 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
99 :  101
Denver Nuggets

24 Apr 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
117 :  83
Denver Nuggets

21 Apr 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
102 :  105
LA Clippers
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

3 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  101
LA Clippers

29 Apr 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  115
LA Clippers

21 Apr 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
102 :  105
LA Clippers

19 Apr 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
112 :  110
LA Clippers

11 Apr 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
117 :  109
Memphis Grizzlies

6 Apr 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  125
Indiana Pacers
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

1 May 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
111 :  105
Denver Nuggets

26 Apr 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
99 :  101
Denver Nuggets

24 Apr 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
117 :  83
Denver Nuggets

13 Apr 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
111 :  126
Denver Nuggets

9 Apr 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
116 :  124
Denver Nuggets

4 Apr 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
118 :  104
Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

67 %

Denver Nuggets

33 %

10 Mar 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  140
Denver Nuggets

9 Mar 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
127 :  103
Denver Nuggets

6 Nov 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
124 :  122
Oklahoma City Thunder

24 Oct 2024 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  102
Oklahoma City Thunder

31 Jan 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
105 :  100
Denver Nuggets

29 Dec 2023 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
93 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. The Thunder have won six of their last nine games against this opponent.
  2. The Thunder are 57-26-4 ATS for the season.
  3. The Thunder have only lost one of their last 24 home games when playing with a rest advantage.
  4. The Thunder have covered the spread in their last eight night home games.
  5. The Thunder were 35-6 at home during the regular season.

Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The OKC Thunder have been sensational this year and enter this match well-rested, with the home advantage, while having only lost six games at the Paycom Center all season. 

The Denver Nuggets and OKC finished 2-2 in the regular season series, but Denver are coming off a taxing seven-game series against the LA Clippers, and we feel they may struggle to contain the hosts in this one. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets prediction is Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5. 

Prediction :

 

Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5

 
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

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