New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 7 Serbia
Novak Djokovic
05/09/2025 15:00
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in straight sets

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions

Second seed Carlos Alcaraz takes on seventh seed Novak Djokovic in a tantalising semi-final showdown at the US Open. This is the fifth time that the two are facing off at a major. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Novak Djokovic defeated last year’s finalist in New York, Taylor Fritz, in four sets in the last round. The Serb, who is seeking his first Grand Slam final of the year, has struggled with injuries throughout the tournament. As a result, isn’t favoured to make the final.

Djokovic has lost in the semi-finals in all three majors so far this year. The former world number one has defeated Alcaraz five times previously, most recently in Melbourne at the start of the year. Making it to the last four has seen the 38-year-old move up to fourth in the live ranking.

Though he has been on the losing end most of the time against Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz arrives for this tie as the heavy favourite. He has been in incredible form in New York and throughout the campaign.

The Spaniard, who is yet to lose a set at Flushing Meadows, defeated Jiri Lehecka to stretch his current winning streak to 11 matches. Alcaraz, who had gone on a 24-match winning run before his current stretch, has compiled an incredible 59-6 record.

The one-time US Open champion won the French Open and then finished as runner-up at Wimbledon. Alcaraz’s current streak has seen him return to number one in the live ranking.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

The Best Betting Odds for Novak Djokovic v Carlos Alcaraz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4 1.25
William Hill
3.6 1.29
Betway
4 1.25
Ladbrokes
3.75 1.25
Unibet
4 1.27
Check all Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz odds
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Who will win the Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 05/09/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Novak Djokovic has a 39.25% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.
  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 60.75% probability of winning facing Novak Djokovic ⭐ with odds of 1.3 at 22bet.

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Novak Djokovic has a 39.25 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Novak Djokovic39.25 %
Carlos Alcaraz60.75 %

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches

Novak Djokovic Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Taylor Fritz

31 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  0
Jan-Lennard Struff

29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Cameron Norrie

27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Zachary Svajda

24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  0
Learner Tien

11 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Novak Djokovic
Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Jiri Lehecka
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

31 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Arthur Rinderknech
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Luciano Darderi
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Reilly Opelka
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

18 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jannik Sinner
abort
Carlos Alcaraz

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Novak Djokovic

67 %

Carlos Alcaraz

33 %

21 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

4 Aug 2024 - Olympic Tournament

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Carlos Alcaraz

14 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Novak Djokovic

18 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

20 Aug 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Novak Djokovic

16 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  2
Novak Djokovic
Compare Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Novak Djokovic - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Alcaraz is on an 11-match winning streak.
  2. Djokovic has lost in the semi-finals in three majors this year.
  3. Djokovic has lost four times this year against ATP top-five opposition.
  4. Two of Alcaraz’s three wins against Djokovic have come at Grand Slams.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Our prediction for Novak Djokovic v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in straight sets. This is a match worthy of being the deciding fixture of this year’s US Open. These two players have produced some stunning duels in the past.

Though Djokovic has a head-to-head advantage on Alcaraz, it is the Spaniard whom we have as the favourite to win. Alcaraz has won 11 consecutive matches and lost just six times all year, with over 60 matches contested. He is also yet to lose a set in New York. With Djokovic showing signs of wear and tear, we are likely to witness a dominant display from Alcaraz.

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in straight sets

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Get a retirement guarantee for the Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz game!

bet365 2 goals ahead early payout

When you place a bet on the match between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Novak Djokovic or Carlos Alcaraz , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

Place your bets on ATP US Open with Bet365!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Please Gamble Responsibly

logo footer