Nottingham Forest vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions
Will we see an all English semi-final in this season's Europa League? Nottingham Forest are home to Porto in the second leg of this quarter-final with the scores level at 1-1. The Tricky Trees will look to get a home win here. Read our match prediction below.
The winners of this last eight tie will be up against either Aston Villa or Bologna in the semi-finals. Villa lead that tie 3-1 after the away leg so have one foot in the semi-final. It's going to be tougher for Forest who are also battling relegation in the Premier League. They are struggling for home victories at present but earlier this season did beat Porto 2-0 in the league phase. Can they repeat that result on Thursday?
There is still a chance of an all-Portuguese final with Braga still in this competition. Porto haven't reached a European semi-final since 2011 when they went on to win this competition. They are top of the Primeira League and have won two away games in this season's Europa League.
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Nottingham Forest v Porto Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.44 | 3.15 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.12 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.08 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Porto?
Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest vs Porto match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/04/2026 between Nottingham Forest and Porto in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.2% for a win of Nottingham Forest against Porto with odds of 2.54 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nottingham Forest vs Porto is 36.14% with odds of 3.2 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Nottingham Forest with odds of 3.23 at 888Starz.
Nottingham Forest - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nottingham Forest Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 42.66% | 3.23 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 60.15% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Porto | 24.54% | 7.5 at LSbet |
Nottingham Forest vs Porto Form
Nottingham Forest and Porto Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
Nottingham Forest vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
Nottingham Forest - Porto: Form Analysis
Nottingham Forest finished 13th in the league phase with 14 points, that's three points and eight places below Porto. They won four of their eight games and that included a 2-0 home victory over Porto.
Three of their four home games were won in the league phase. However, the Reds have lost each of their last two Europa League home games in the knockout stages, losing to Fenerbahce and Midtjylland.
Forest are struggling at the City Ground.
Forest are 16th in the Premier League and drew with Aston Villa at the weekend. They have gone seven home games without a victory, last winning in January against Ferencvaros. That's their only home win in the last 11 played.
Porto are in a strong position to win the Primeira League this season. The Dragons won 3-1 at Estoril at the weekend to remain five points clear at the top of the table, though they have played a game more than Sporting.
They are unbeaten in their last eight matches with one loss in 14. Two of their five away games in this season's Europa League have been won, most recently at Stuttgart in the last 16 of this competition.
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Nottingham Forest against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
K. Willows
M. Sels
DefenderMorato
Z. Abbott
N. Milenkovic
J. Sinclair
J. McAtee
R. Yates
ForwardL. Lucca
D. Bakwa
Igor Jesus
C. Hudson Odoi
Claudio Ramos
J. Costa
DefenderF. Moura
G. Bras
D. Prpic
J. Kiwior
A. Varela
V. Froholdt
R. Mora
T. Silva
ForwardPepe
D. Gul
Missing players
John Victor
DefenderN. Savona
Nottingham Forest & Porto Squad Analysis
Reaching a Europa League semi-final is a great achievement but probably not the most important thing for Forest at present. Winning this trophy will take them into next season's Champions League but they could do so as a Championship side.
Anderson makes his return.
Forest have another vital league game at the weekend but before that they host Porto for the second time this season. They will have England international Eliot Anderson back for this game after being suspended for the first leg in Portugal.
Although Forest have a survival battle in the Premier League, it is likely that they are unlikely to field a weakened line-up.
Porto are in good form but have failed to beat Forest in two games this season. They will be without Samu Aghehowa, Nehuen Perez, Luuk de Jong and Martim Fernandes for this trip to Forest
An unchanged side is likely to be named by the Blue and Whites. They really should have won the first leg and will be determined not to exit the Europa League on Thursday, though it is a game that may well need extra time to determine the victors.
Most goals and assists
Nottingham Forest
Porto
Igor Jesus
(7 Goals)
W. Gomes
(4 Goals)
M. Gibbs-White
(3 Assists)
B. Sainz
(3 Assists)
Nottingham Forest - Porto Key Points
- Both of the two matches played between these two sides this season have had less than 2.5 goals scored.
- Less than 2.5 goals have been scored in eight of Forest's last ten home games.
- Forest have failed to score in four of their last six home fixtures.
- Four of the last six Forest matches have seen less than 2.5 goals scored.
- Only 34 goals have been scored in Forest's 16 home league games this season. They are the lowest home goal scorers in the Premier League.
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Our Nottingham Forest vs Porto Prediction
Tottenham won the Europa League last season despite finishing only 16th in the Premier League. Nottingham Forest currently hold that position in the top flight and are still battling to avoid relegation. They have done well to reach this stage of the Europa League but are struggling at home.
Porto are chasing title glory in Portugal but haven't reached a European semi-final for 15 years. They should have earned a lead in the first leg and have already lost once at Forest this season. Our main Nottingham Forest v Porto prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Nottingham Forest vs Porto Alternative Predictions
Draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nottingham Forest Porto
| Nottingham Forest vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 2.3 | 2.54 | +10.4% |
| Draw | 3.37 | 3.2 | -5.0% |
| Porto wins | 3.53 | 3.23 | -8.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.3% and is now 31.0% (2.6%)
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Nottingham Forest vs Porto - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
