Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
After a heavy loss to Aston Villa on Thursday, 16th-placed Nottingham Forest return to Premier League action. They are home to Newcastle United who are three places above them. Only three points separate the two clubs and a win for Forest would see them go above the Magpies in the table. This is a fixture that usually sees a few goals and our match prediction for Sunday's fixture is BTTS.
Nottingham Forest's unbeaten run ended on Thursday with a 4-0 loss at Aston Villa in the second leg of their Europa League semi-final. The Tricky Trees now need to ensure their place in the Premier League. With three games to go, they are six points clear of the relegation zone.
Newcastle United finally returned to winning ways last weekend. They are struggling to qualify for European football next season and a loss at the City Ground would all but end them. Can they get a second straight win in the Premier League?
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Nottingham Forest v Newcastle Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 | 3.55 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.96 | 3.44 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.91 | 3.46 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.45 | 2.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.22% for a win of Nottingham Forest against Newcastle with odds of 3.02 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle is 17.43% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest with odds of 2.47 at 888Starz.
Nottingham Forest - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nottingham Forest Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 48.22% | 3.02 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.59% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Newcastle / Full-time: Nottingham Forest | 16.78% | 29 at Bet365 |
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Form
Nottingham Forest and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
|
16
|
44 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 |
Nottingham Forest and Newcastle Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2026 - Europa League
4 May 2026 - Premier League
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
24 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2026 - Europa League
4 May 2026 - Premier League
24 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Nottingham Forest - Newcastle: Form Analysis
A form guide for the last five Premier League matches has Nottingham Forest top of the table with 13 points. They won 3-1 at Chelsea on Monday to boost their chances of avoiding relegation to the Championship.
The Reds didn't have a good night on Thursday though with a crushing 4-0 loss at Aston Villa. That saw them exit from the Europa League and leave them with some work to do to stay out of the bottom three.
Their recent good form in the league has taken them six points clear of the relegation zone. Just one more win is likely to be enough to achieve safety. They are unbeaten in their last home games. A win over Newcastle will be their fourth straight home victory.
Eddie Howe is going to stay in charge of Newcastle but it doesn't look as if his team will have European football to play. The Magpies are six points behind seventh place and five adrift of eighth.
A return to form for United.
Last weekend saw them beat Brighton and Hove Albion 3-1 at home, ending a run of five straight losses. United have only won four away league games this season (the same number of home victories for Forest), last winning in the league at Chelsea in March.
Eight of their last ten away games have seen both teams score. That's a stat that has come up in 18 of their last 20 matches. Last season saw them win 3-1 at Forest and both sides have scored in 11 of the last 13 matches played between these two clubs.
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Nottingham Forest against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Ortega
DefenderE. da Silva Moreira
MidfielderJ. McAtee
O. Hutchinson
J. Sinclair
R. Yates
A. Whitehall
ForwardC. Wood
L. Lucca
A. Ramsdale
DefenderA. Murphy
K. Trippier
J. Ramsey
J. Willock
ForwardH. Barnes
A. Gordon
A. Elanga
Y. Wissa
Missing players
O. Aina
N. Savona
MidfielderM. Gibbs-White
Murillo
ForwardC. Hudson Odoi
D. Ndoye
F. Schar
T. Livramento
MidfielderL. Miley
Nottingham Forest & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Nottingham Forest will hope that Morgan Gibbs-White is fit to start this game against Newcastle United. Forest made a massive mistake at Chelsea on Monday when they brought him on as a half-time sub when 2-0 up and then saw him get injured.
That ruled him out of Thursday's game against Aston Villa and his absence showed just how influential he has been in recent weeks. Forest do at least have Chris Wood back and he has already been among the goals since his return from injury. Murillo and Ola Aina are both doubtful.
Osula is in form for the Magpies.
Newcastle will be hoping for strikes from William Osula. He's scored four goals in his last six matches and that has helped get them back into winning ways. Lewis Miley is a doubt for this away trip to Forest.
Away performances have been disappointing for the Magpies this season with just four league wins and nine losses. Scoring on the road is a regular occurrence for them but it's usually just one with only two being scored twice in their last ten away fixtures.
Most goals and assists
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
M. Gibbs-White
(15 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
O. Hutchinson
(5 Assists)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
Nottingham Forest - Newcastle Key Points
- 11 of the last 13 games between these two clubs have seen both teams score.
- The last two Nottingham Forest home league games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Both teams have scored in 18 of the last 20 Newcastle matches.
- On the road, eight of the last ten Newcastle games have seen both teams score.
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Our Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction
One more win is probably going to be enough to keep Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. Their league form has been impressive in recent months but they suffered a setback when being knocked out of the Europa League on Thursday.
Newcastle United have had plenty of problems this season and a European campaign next term is not looking likely. They will look to build on last weekend's win but although they score regularly, they rarely keep a clean sheet. Our main Nottingham Forest v Newcastle prediction is BTTS.
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nottingham Forest Newcastle
| Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 2.57 | 3.02 | +17.5% |
| Draw | 3.54 | 3.6 | +1.7% |
| Newcastle wins | 2.91 | 2.47 | -15.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nottingham Forest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.9% and is now 33.1% (-5.8%)
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Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
