Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
12/03/2026 16:00
FC Midtjylland

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions

Nottingham Forest and FC Midtjylland will meet yet again in this season’s Europa League campaign. They are set to face off this week in the round of 16, with the winner setting up a meeting with FC Porto or Stuttgart. The English side will host this first-leg meeting with the Danish opponents, welcoming them for the return leg next week. Read on to find our prediction of this match. 

Forest lost a five-goal thriller at home when the two teams met in the league phase, for the very first time, back in October. Despite losing that first meeting and being out of form, bookmakers have Forest as the heavy favorites to win this encounter. 

Nottingham boss Vitor Pereira will continue with his search for a first home win, while Midtjylland are winless in two away games in Europe. Competitively, though, Midtjylland are unbeaten across their eight matches in 2026, winning five.

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Nottingham Forest v FC Midtjylland Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.55 4.4 6
Melbet
1.54 4.34 5.75
Betwinner
1.51 4.36 6.2
Bet365
1.53 4.33 5.75
Roobet
1.54 4.3 5.8
Check all Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and FC Midtjylland?

Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2026 between Nottingham Forest and FC Midtjylland in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.39% for a win of Nottingham Forest against FC Midtjylland with odds of 1.58 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland is 34.2% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.41% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Midtjylland vs Nottingham Forest with odds of 6.35 at 888Starz.

Nottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland Prediction and Best Odds:

Nottingham Forest FC Midtjylland Prediction Probability Odds
FC Midtjylland wins 41.41% 6.35 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 63.81% 1.94 at Stake
Both Team To Score 58.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: FC Midtjylland 15.59% 13 at LSbet

Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland Form

Nottingham Forest and FC Midtjylland Last Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest Last matches
D W L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

1 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

22 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Liverpool

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

11 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Wolves
D W D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

22 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Liverpool

11 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Wolves

1 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
4 :  0
Ferencvarosi Budapest

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal
L W L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

1 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

6 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

25 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Nottingham Forest

22 Jan 2026 - Europa League

SC Braga
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland Last matches
W W W W D D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - DBU Pokalen

FC Midtjylland
1 :  1
AGF Aarhus

1 Mar 2026 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
0 :  0
Brondby IF

22 Feb 2026 - Superliga

Silkeborg IF
0 :  4
FC Midtjylland

15 Feb 2026 - Superliga

Odense Boldklub
1 :  4
FC Midtjylland

12 Feb 2026 - DBU Pokalen

AGF Aarhus
0 :  1
FC Midtjylland

8 Feb 2026 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
2 :  1
FC Copenhagen
D W W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - DBU Pokalen

FC Midtjylland
1 :  1
AGF Aarhus

1 Mar 2026 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
0 :  0
Brondby IF

8 Feb 2026 - Superliga

FC Midtjylland
2 :  1
FC Copenhagen

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
2 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

15 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Midtjylland
3 :  0
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

15 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Midtjylland
1 :  1
Ferencvarosi Budapest
D L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Superliga

Silkeborg IF
0 :  4
FC Midtjylland

15 Feb 2026 - Superliga

Odense Boldklub
1 :  4
FC Midtjylland

12 Feb 2026 - DBU Pokalen

AGF Aarhus
0 :  1
FC Midtjylland

22 Jan 2026 - Europa League

SK Brann
3 :  3
FC Midtjylland

14 Dec 2025 - DBU Pokalen

FC Nordsjaelland
2 :  1
FC Midtjylland

7 Dec 2025 - Superliga

Viborg FF
3 :  3
FC Midtjylland

Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Nottingham Forest

0 %

Draw

0 %

FC Midtjylland

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
FC Midtjylland

Nottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland: Form Analysis

Nottingham Forest beat Fenerbahce 4-2 on aggregate in a two-legged playoff tie to get here. The Reds, who have qualified for the knockout rounds of a European tournament for the first time in 30 years, finished 13th in the league phase.

They won four of the eight matches. Forest are having a strong season in Europe but are struggling domestically. They sit in 17th place in the EPL, with only goal difference keeping them above the relegation zone. The Tricky Trees come into this game with only one win from their last eight games. They drew 2-2 away to Manchester City in their most recent fixture to halt a three-game skid.

Midtjylland have three straight wins in away matches.

Midtjylland won the last time they were in the East Midlands. Mike Tullberg’s men, who are having an exciting European campaign, were quick off the blocks in that match and will want a repeat of the same on Thursday. In their last visit here, the Danish heavyweights scored twice inside the first 24 minutes and went 3-1 up in the 88th minute.

Hedens Drenge, who are in the knockout rounds proper of the Europa League for the first time, qualified automatically for this round after finishing the league phase in third. They won six games and suffered just one loss. Midtjylland arrive for this match unbeaten in six games and drew 1-1 with Aarhus in the Danish Cup last weekend.

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Nottingham Forest against FC Midtjylland Lineups: Starting 11

Nottingham Forest

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

26
M. Sels
34
O. Aina
23
J. Cunha
4
Morato
5
Murillo
10
M. Gibbs-White
8
E. Anderson
16
N. Dominguez
21
O. Hutchinson
19
Igor Jesus
7
C. Hudson-Odoi
58
A. Simsir
74
J. Brumado
43
K. Mbabu
19
P. Bravo
8
P. Billing
21
D. Castillo
55
V. Jensen
22
M. Bech Sorensen
6
M. Erlic
4
O. Diao
16
E. Olafsson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

FC Midtjylland

Substitutes

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Goalkeeper

K. Willows

A. Gunn

Defender

N. Williams

Morato 46'

Z. Abbott

N. Milenkovic

J. Cunha 9'

Midfielder

J. McAtee

R. Yates

I. Sangare

N. Dominguez 69'

Forward

L. Lucca

Igor Jesus 69'

D. Bakwa

O. Aina 81'

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Goalkeeper

M. Ugboh

J. Lossl

Defender

A. Gabriel

L. Hanbeom

K. Mbabu 59'

Midfielder

E. Chilufya

V. Andreasen

D. Castillo 46'

Forward

A. Ze

C. Gue-sung

J. Brumado 57'

M. Uhre

A. Simsir 57'

Missing players

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Goalkeeper

S. Ortega

J. Victor

Defender

W. Boly

N. Savona

Forward

C. Wood

FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland

Nottingham Forest & FC Midtjylland Squad Analysis

Forest have relied heavily on Igor Jesus’ goals to stay alive in Europe. The Brazilian has netted seven of his 12 goals in the UEL, where he currently leads the race for the Golden Boot. Morgan Gibbs-White has also been a standout performer.

Forest’s second leading scorer with 10 goals, the England international has been involved in five goals in the EL so far. Chris Wood, who was among the scorers in the earlier meeting with Midtjylland, is still out injured. John Victor, Willy Boly, and Nicolo Savona are the other players who will miss this match due to injury.

Midtjylland will be without the suspended Dario Osorio.

Midtjylland will still be without long-term absentees Franculino, Mikel Gorgoza, and Ola Brynhildsen. Franculino’s absence is a big blow for the visitors, as the striker is the club’s leading scorer with 21 goals. Junior Brumado has held the fort well in Franculino’s absence and has so far netted 16 times.

Aral Simsir is another player to look out for, as he has been involved in four goals in the EL for the Danish side.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Nottingham Forest
CD Huachipato FC Midtjylland
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Igor Jesus (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Croatia M. Erlic (4 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Gibbs-White (3 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey A. Simsir (3 Assists)

Nottingham Forest - FC Midtjylland Key Points

  1. Forest have scored 19 goals in the Europa League.
  2. Midtjylland have found the net 19 times in the Europa League.
  3. Four of Forest’s five games under Pereira produced over 2.5 goals.
  4. Midtjylland scored three in three of their four away league stage matches.
  5. Five goals were scored in the earlier meeting this season between Forest and Midtjylland.
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Our Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland Prediction

Our prediction for Nottingham Forest v FC Midtjylland is for more than 2.5 goals. The league stage meeting earlier in the season, which was the very first meeting between these two sides, turned out to be a high-scoring affair.

Five goals were scored as Midtjylland won, and we feel another high-scoring game could be on the cards. Both teams have been in superb scoring form in Europe this season, and each is averaging two goals per outing. With both teams looking to take an early lead into the second leg, we can be sure of an interesting battle.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland Alternative Predictions

FC Midtjylland wins

Odds 5.25

In our second prediction, we are going for a win for Midtjylland. The visitors were victorious when they were last in Nottingham and showcased their attacking form by scoring three goals.

As one of the top-performing sides in Europe this season, the in-form visitors should find a way past their out-of-form hosts. Forest have failed to win eight times in their last 10 games at home, losing five.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nottingham Forest FC Midtjylland

Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Nottingham Forest wins 1.56 1.58 +1.3%
Draw 4.63 4.5 -2.8%
FC Midtjylland wins 6.4 6.35 -0.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • FC Midtjylland is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 15.6% and is now 15.7% (0.1%)

Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland - FAQs

This match will be played on Thursday, 12 March.

This match will be played at Forest’s City Ground Stadium in Nottinghamshire, England.

TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate will have a live telecast of this match for fans in the UK. Fans in Denmark can catch the game on Disney+. You can also follow detailed updates of this and other UEL fixtures this week on Sportytrader. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Nottingham Forest vs FC Midtjylland Prediction