Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Sunday’s Premier League card brings us a full-blooded fight-for-survival fixture, with Nottingham Forest facing off against Burnley at the City Ground. The Tricky Trees are 16th in the league standings, while the Clarets are in 19th place after 32 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Four managers in a single campaign spent largely keeping their heads above water, yet amid the chaos, Forest are somehow on course for European silverware. Still, top-flight survival remains the priority for Vitor Pereira, and with Sunderland to come on Friday, this marks the start of a defining week for the Reds' EPL future.
As for Scott Parker’s team - a defeat to a soaring Seagulls outfit last week has left them 12 points adrift of safety with six games remaining. Indeed, another loss here could see their return to the Championship confirmed as early as next week, though they may yet have a say in who they take down with them. A classic Premier League six-pointer - let’s dive into the key stats!
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Nottingham Forest v Burnley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.49 | 4.6 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.36 | 6.95 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.4 | 7 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.4 | 6.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest vs Burnley match is: 1-3 match goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2026 between Nottingham Forest and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.35% for a win of Nottingham Forest against Burnley with odds of 1.52 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nottingham Forest vs Burnley is 34.98% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Nottingham Forest with odds of 7.32 at 888Starz.
Nottingham Forest - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nottingham Forest Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 38.35% | 1.52 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 61.91% | 2.17 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.13% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Nottingham Forest/Nottingham Forest | 16.74% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Form
Nottingham Forest and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
44 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Nottingham Forest and Burnley Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
23 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
18 Sept 2023 - Premier League
30 Aug 2023 - Carabao Cup
Nottingham Forest - Burnley: Form Analysis
Vitor Pereira made his intentions clear with his team selection on MD32, and it paid off as Forest were able to hold Aston Villa to a crucial 1-1 draw that kept them three points above the dotted line.
The Tricky Trees punched their ticket to the semi-final of the Europa League on Thursday, beating Porto 1-0 at home (2-1 on aggregate). The Reds are now unbeaten in six matches across all competitions (W3 D3).
The hosts have only won three home league games this season (D6 L7), but they have been tough to beat at the City Ground lately, losing only one of their last six, while drawing the other five.
Forest have scored the fewest home goals in the EPL this season (14)!
Meanwhile, Burnley suffered their 20th loss of the season last weekend (W4 D8), going down 2-0 to Brighton & Hove Albion at home in a match where they recorded just 0.87 xG across the 90.
The Clarets are now winless in their last six league games (D2 L4) and failed to score in three of their last four. They have also conceded 63 goals this term - the most of any team in the top flight.
The visitors have earned a mere nine points from 16 away matches this season (W2 D3 L11). However, they have taken a point from this venue in each of their last three league visits (EPL and Championship).
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Nottingham Forest against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Ortega
DefenderL. Netz
Morato
J. Cunha
N. Dominguez
R. Yates
J. McAtee
ForwardIgor Jesus
T. Awoniyi
M. Weiss
DefenderJ. Worrall
B. Humphreys
MidfielderJ. Laurent
A. Broja
L. Foster
M. Tresor
J. Bruun Larsen
L. Tchaouna
Missing players
W. Boly
N. Savona
ForwardC. Hudson-Odoi
C. Roberts
A. Tuanzebe
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
H. Mejbri
ForwardZ. Amdouni
Nottingham Forest & Burnley Squad Analysis
The victory over Porto came at a cost for Forest, as Chris Wood, Murillo and Callum Hudson-Odoi were all forced off through injury. Pereira remained optimistic that the former two could be in contention for this weekend, but Hudson-Odoi faces a stint on the sidelines.
Joining Hudson-Odoi on the sidelines this weekend are Willy Boly, Nicolo Savona and John Victor, while Elliot Anderson is listed as a major doubt following the passing of his mother last week.
One to watch for the hosts this weekend is Morgan Gibbs-White, who scored the winner against Porto on Thursday night. He is the team’s top scorer this season with nine league goals, including three in his last five appearances.
Hannibal Mejbri faces a race against time to feature for Tunisia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup!
The former Manchester United midfielder sustained a hamstring injury against Fulham, which forced him to sit out Tunisia’s international friendlies last month. He is still undergoing treatment and could miss the rest of the season for Burnley.
In addition to Mejbri, the Clarets are expected to be missing a further five players through injury this weekend, including Axel Tuanzebe, Josh Cullen, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts and Zeki Amdouni.
Jaidon Anthony has been a consistent bright spot in this difficult campaign for Scott Parker’s side. He had a goal disallowed against the Seagulls last week, and is likely to be the visitors’ main attacking threat in this one.
Most goals and assists
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
M. Gibbs-White
(15 Goals)
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
O. Hutchinson
(5 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
Nottingham Forest - Burnley Key Points
- Seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 10 games have ended with between 1 and 3 goals.
- Nottingham Forest and Burnley are averaging 1.15 and 0.88 xG per 90 this season, respectively.
- Seven of Burnley’s last 10 games have ended with between 1 and 3 goals.
- Each of the last six competitive matches between these sides ended with between 1 and 3 goals.
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Our Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Prediction
Nottingham Forest will be in high spirits coming into this crucial fixture, having just secured their spot in the quarter-final of this season’s Europa League by seeing off Porto 2-1 on aggregate on Thursday night.
The hosts are also unbeaten in their last four league games, but they have been far from prolific at home, having failed to score in five of their last seven at the City Ground. Given Burnley’s attacking output this term - or lack thereof - we’re expecting this to be a low-scoring affair. Our Nottingham Forest vs Burnley prediction is 1-3 match goals.
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Alternative Predictions
BTTS (NO)
Nottingham Forest have failed to score in five of their last seven home league games, while Burnley have drawn a blank in three of their last four EPL matches.
Nottingham Forest wins
Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in their last four league games, which is their joint-longest run without defeat in the top flight this season. Burnley have only won one of their last 23 league matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nottingham Forest Burnley
| Nottingham Forest vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 1.64 | 1.52 | -7.3% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.7 | +16.0% |
| Burnley wins | 6.3 | 7.32 | +16.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nottingham Forest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.0% and is now 65.8% (4.8%)
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley - FAQs
The Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Burnley will take place on April 19 at 14:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Burnley will be played at the City Ground in Nottinghamshire.
The Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Burnley will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
