Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
A massive three points are on the line this weekend when Nottingham Forest face Aston Villa in a Premier League Matchday 32 clash at the City Ground on Sunday afternoon. The Tricky Trees are 16th in the league standings, while the Villans are in fourth place with seven games left to play. Check out our match prediction below!
The race for European qualification is red-hot, with the teams between third and 10th in the EPL separated by just 12 points as we enter the final stretch of the season. Unai Emery’s side are five clear of Liverpool in fifth, but fixture congestion could play a part in their push to secure a spot in the Champions League next term.
Meanwhile, the primary objective for Vitor Pereira for the remainder of the season is to ensure the Reds do not go down. They picked up a crucial victory in North London before the international break, but a loss here could result in their advantage over the bottom three being wiped out. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.7 | 3.35 | 2.7 |
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2.58 | 3.3 | 2.76 |
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|
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2.68 | 3.32 | 2.63 |
|
|
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2.55 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
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2.66 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa match is: 2-4 match goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.16% for a win of Nottingham Forest against Aston Villa with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa is 27.46% with odds of 3.46 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest with odds of 2.85 at Shangrila.
Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nottingham Forest Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 41.37% | 2.85 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 55.89% | 1.91 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 24.42% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Form
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
|
16
|
44 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 |
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
27 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
5 Nov 2023 - Premier League
8 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Nottingham Forest opened up a three-point gap above the dotted line ahead of the international break by securing a 3-0 victory over fellow relegation candidates Tottenham Hotspur on the road.
The Tricky Trees returned from the international break with a hard-fought 1-1 draw away to Porto in the Europa League on Thursday. They are now unbeaten in four matches across all competitions (W2 D2).
However, the hosts’ home form of late has been very poor, as they have failed to win any of their last six games at the City Ground in all competitions. They have earned just 14 points in 15 league games here this term - the fifth-worst record in the top flight.
Forest have scored the fewest home goals in the EPL this season (13)!
Meanwhile, Aston Villa took a massive step toward a semi-final spot in the UEL on Thursday night, when they recorded an impressive 3-1 victory over Bologna at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara.
The Villans entered the international break off the back of an important 2-0 win against West Ham United at home, a result that brought an end to their four-game winless run in the top flight (D1 L3).
However, the visitors are still winless in their last three away league games (D1 L2) and have failed to win any of their last three Prem matches at this venue, losing two and drawing one.
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Nottingham Forest against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Ortega
DefenderL. Netz
Morato
MidfielderR. Yates
N. Dominguez
J. McAtee
ForwardC. Wood
D. Bakwa
D. Ndoye
J. Wright
DefenderI. Maatsen
E. Konsa
MidfielderDouglas Luiz
L. Bogarde
A. Garcia
E. Buendia
L. Bailey
T. Abraham
Missing players
N. Savona
J. Cunha
B. Kamara
ForwardAlysson
Nottingham Forest & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Nottingham Forest received a significant boost over the international break, with Chris Wood cleared to return from injury. The New Zealander played the first half against Porto, but should start on the bench here, with Igor Jesus likely to lead the line.
Pereira will undoubtedly be keeping one eye on next week’s UEL clash, and may feel the need to rotate some of his starters. That could open the door for the likes of Neco Williams, Omari Hutchinson and Ibrahim Sangare to make the starting lineup.
Jair Cunha, Willy Boly, Nicolo Savona and John Victor are ruled out through injury. Elliot Anderson will return to the squad after missing the trip to Portugal through suspension.
John McGinn has four goal contributions in his last four games against Forest!
The Lions’ skipper has featured in every match since returning from a knee injury at the start of March and bagged a brace in the team’s 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture at Villa Park back in January.
Ollie Watkins played a starring role in the win over Bologna on Thursday, scoring twice in the second half. The Englishman was also on the scoresheet in the reverse fixture and is likely to get the nod ahead of Tammy Abraham in this match.
Boubacar Kamara is ruled out for the remainder of the season for Villa with a knee issue, while Manchester United loanee Jaden Sancho is sidelined for a few weeks with a shoulder injury.
Most goals and assists
Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa Key Points
- Seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 10 games in all competitions have ended between 2 and 4 goals.
- Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa are averaging 1.49 and 1.43 xGA per 90 this season.
- Eight of Aston Villa’s last 10 games in all competitions have ended between 2 and 4 goals.
- Aston Villa have only kept one clean sheet in their last five away matches.
- Six of the last seven EPL matches between these sides ended between 2 and 4 goals.
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Our Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction
This is one of the toughest matches to call this weekend, given that both teams are in desperate need of all three points - albeit for different reasons - while also having to keep one eye on their Europa League fixtures on Thursday as well.
With both managers likely to rotate their squads here, and considering both teams will be aiming for a victory, we are expecting to see a few goals in this match. We’re going with between 2 and 4 goals as a low-risk primary wager. Our Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa prediction is 2-4 match goals.
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
BTTS
Five of Forest’s last eight games have ended with both teams scoring. Additionally, both teams scored in each of the last four matches between these sides.
Draw
We do not see a clear favourite in this match, and the bookies seem to concur with very little to separate these teams according to the latest betting odds. Four of Forest’s last eight games have ended in a draw, and we feel this one will end level as well.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nottingham Forest Aston Villa
| Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 2.5 | 2.8 | +12.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.46 | +1.8% |
| Aston Villa wins | 2.65 | 2.85 | +7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.7% and is now 35.1% (-2.6%)
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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa - FAQs
The Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa will take place on April 12 at 14:00 (UK time).
The Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa will be played at the City Ground in Nottingham.
The Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.