Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
17/01/2026 11:30
Arsenal

Prediction :

 

Arsenal wins

1.62
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions

Relegation-threatened Nottingham Forest will play host to title contenders Arsenal in the next round of Premier League matches. The Gunners are heading to the City Ground for their third straight away outing, having won the previous two. This will, however, be the first in the league, and they are looking at the possibility of extending their six-point buffer. Read on for our prediction of the match, scheduled for Saturday.

Arsenal missed the chance to go eight points clear after drawing at home against Liverpool in their last league game. They will be looking to make amends in this tricky outing.

Nottingham Forest, on their part, will be out to recover from a shock loss in the FA Cup, which accentuated an already poor campaign domestically. The hosts couldn’t get past a Championship opponent but will be hoping to rise to the occasion against the league leaders. The said league leaders have shown signs of shakiness even though they remain strong contenders for a quadruple.

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The Best Betting Odds for Nottingham Forest v Arsenal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.5 4 1.6
Stake
5.8 4.1 1.63
Melbet
5.85 4 1.58
BC Game
5.6 4 1.58
Tonybet
6.2 4.2 1.58
Check all Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal?

Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.74% for a win of Nottingham Forest against Arsenal with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal is 9.98% with odds of 4.27 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 65.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest with odds of 1.65 at Shangrila.

Nottingham Forest - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:

Nottingham Forest Arsenal Prediction Probability Odds
Arsenal wins 65.27% 1.65 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 72.59% 2.05 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 52.92% 2 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal 33.55% 2.5 at Bet365

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Form

Nottingham Forest and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Arsenal
Arsenal
50 22 15 5 2 +26
17
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
22 22 6 4 12 -13

Nottingham Forest and Arsenal Last Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest Last matches
L L L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
3 :  3
Nottingham Forest

6 Jan 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

3 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Everton

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Manchester City

22 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Everton

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Manchester City

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  0
Tottenham

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Brighton

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  0
Malmo

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds
L W L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
3 :  3
Nottingham Forest

6 Jan 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

3 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

22 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

Utrecht
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

8 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

3 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  3
Arsenal

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brighton
W W D W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brighton

23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Wolves

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

3 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  3
Arsenal

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Club Brugge
0 :  3
Arsenal

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Arsenal

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Nottingham Forest

17 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

13 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Nottingham Forest

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

23 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Nottingham Forest

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Arsenal

12 Aug 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

20 May 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Arsenal

Nottingham Forest - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Nottingham Forest are under pressure to not just win this but start a consistent run that will match their high finish last season. Their recent results don’t reflect the targets they are setting, and they will be more concerned at their defensive output.

Nottingham’s 3-3 draw with Wrexham in the FA Cup captured their biggest worry. They have conceded 2+ goals in four of their last five matches and will look to build on their 2-1 win over West Ham in the league. The Tricky Trees have lost three times in the last four home matches. They will, however, take encouragement from their three wins in five at home against Arsenal.

The Gunners have won five straight matches on the road.

Arsenal have dominated this fixture and will be expected to secure a win here too. The last time the Gunners lost in this encounter was in 2023. Mikel Arteta’s side is competing on four fronts, and so far all is going well. They are coming off a 3-2 win at Chelsea in the first-leg semi-final of the League Cup.

That marked a 10th unbeaten outing for the league leaders, and they’ve only drawn twice in the process. The same momentum is carried in their away games, with the Gunners having posted five straight wins away from home. They scored 3+ in four of those five away games.

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Nottingham Forest against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Nottingham Forest

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

26
M. Sels
34
O. Aina
31
N. Milenkovic
5
Murillo
3
N. Williams
8
E. Anderson
6
I. Sangare
16
N. Dominguez
10
M. Gibbs-White
19
Igor Jesus
7
C. Hudson-Odoi
11
G. Martinelli
14
V. Gyokeres
20
N. Madueke
41
D. Rice
36
M. Zubimendi
8
M. Odegaard
12
J. Timber
6
G. Magalhaes
2
W. Saliba
4
B. White
1
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Substitutes

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Goalkeeper

A. Gunn

Defender

Morato

N. Savona

Midfielder

D. Luiz

R. Yates

O. Hutchinson

N. Dominguez 89'

J. McAtee

Forward

D. Ndoye

Igor Jesus 76'

T. Awoniyi

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

C. Mosquera

Midfielder

M. Lewis-Skelly

M. Merino

M. Odegaard 57'

L. Trossard

G. Martinelli 46'

Forward

B. Saka

N. Madueke 57'

K. Havertz

G. Jesus

V. Gyokeres 57'

E. Eze

M. Zubimendi 79'

Missing players

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Goalkeeper

J. Victor

Forward

C. Wood

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

R. Calafiori

P. Hincapie

Midfielder

M. Dowman

Nottingham Forest & Arsenal Squad Analysis

The first name struck off the Nottingham Forest list for this game is Oleksandr Zinchenko’s. The Ukrainian is at Forest as a loanee from Arsenal, and the agreement bars him from facing the Gunners.

Forest will also be without Chris Wood, whose battle with a knee injury continues. The New Zealander last featured for Forest in October. Ryan Yates is another long-term absentee. Last playing in December, the midfielder is out with a hamstring injury.

Arsenal are thin in defence but blossoming in attack.

The Gunners are also grappling with key absences occasioned by injury, and they are hit heavily in defence. With Piero Hincapie and Ricardo Calafiori out, Arsenal are thin on the left back, as Myles Lewis Skelly has been shaky lately. Mikel Arteta reorganized his options, sending Jurrien Timber to the top left against Chelsea.

The Dutchman was not as effective as he normally is on the right, but he did the job. The Spanish manager might stick with the same here, going for experience. In attack, with Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz recovering, Arteta has options. However, after scoring and assisting at Chelsea, we expect Viktor Gyokeres to keep his place.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Nottingham Forest
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
England M. Gibbs-White (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (5 Goals) Belgium L. Trossard (5 Goals)
Best assists
England E. Anderson (2 Assists)
England O. Hutchinson (2 Assists)
Ivory Coast I. Sangare (2 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (4 Assists)

Nottingham Forest - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Arsenal have five straight wins away from home.
  2. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 matches, winning eight.
  3. Against Nottingham, Arsenal won four of the last five meetings.
  4. Nottingham Forest lost four times in their last five matches.
  5. At home in the league, Nottingham lost three of the last four games.
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Our Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction

Arsenal will go here looking to make amends for the missed opportunity in the Liverpool draw. Playing away from home will not be an impediment for this Gunners side on five straight wins on the road. They have also dominated this fixture and will look to make the most of Nottingham’s struggles.

They have a horde of tough matches coming up and will feel the urge to secure these points just in case things turn in the near future. Nottingham are also in need of the points for their survival push, but going toe-to-toe with Arsenal could cost them. Our prediction for Nottingham Forest v Arsenal is that Arsenal wins.

Prediction :

 

Arsenal wins

1.62
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Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Odds 1.9

Our second prediction in this game would be in the goals market. These two sides are good in attack. Nottingham only failed to score once in their last five matches, while they have zero clean sheets in those five games.

Arsenal have been prolific in attack, and their attacking players are returning to the fore after injuries. Having scored 3+ in four of the last five matches, we will back over 2.5 goals here.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nottingham Forest Arsenal

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Nottingham Forest wins 6 6.2 +3.3%
Draw 4.3 4.27 -0.7%
Arsenal wins 1.49 1.65 +10.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Arsenal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 10.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 67.1% and is now 60.6% (-6.5%)

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Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal - FAQs

The Nottingham Forest v Arsenal match will be played on Saturday, 17th January.

The Nottingham Forest v Arsenal match will be played at the City Ground.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction