Norwich vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Norwich
04/01/2026 10:00
Stoke

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions

After their New Year's win in the Championship, Norwich and Stoke now meet for the second time following their 1-1 stalemate earlier. Will The Canaries or The Potters extend their one-game  winning streak in 2026, or are we in for another draw? See our best bet in this match prediction!

Norwich is fighting to stay afloat after an abysmal start to the season that has placed them in the relegation zone (22nd). However, things have been getting greener for Norwich as of late. The Canaries, who won only two of their first 17 league games, are now unbeaten in five of their last six games and seven of their last nine.

The New Year’s 2-1 win over QPR away from home also made it four wins in that nine-game span and six victories for the season. They mostly have their offence to thank, as Norwich has now scored in 11 of its last 12 games.

In contrast, Stoke, who started with only three defeats in 14 games, are now struggling to even walk away with a draw. The Potters did just beat 5th-place Hull 1-0 away from home. However, that's just their first victory in four games. But even more glaring are the seven defeats Stoke has racked up in their last 11 games, leaving them just 10 points above relegation-bound Norwich.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

The Best Betting Odds for Norwich v Stoke Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.15 3.5 3.05
Betfred
2.2 3.4 3.2
William Hill
2.2 3.3 3.1
Unibet
2.15 3.35 3.3
Betway
2.15 3.3 3.2
Check all Norwich vs Stoke odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Norwich and Stoke?

Our prediction for the Norwich vs Stoke match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Norwich and Stoke in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.36% for a win of Norwich against Stoke with odds of 2.27 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norwich vs Stoke is 19.77% with odds of 3.55 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 27.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Norwich with odds of 3.3 at Unibet.

Norwich vs Stoke Form

Norwich and Stoke's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Stoke
Stoke
37 25 11 4 10 7
22
Norwich
Norwich
24 25 6 6 13 -9

Norwich and Stoke Last Matches

Norwich
Norwich Last matches
D W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Norwich

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  0
Charlton Athletic

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Norwich

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Southampton

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  1
Norwich
L D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  0
Charlton Athletic

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Southampton

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  1
QPR

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Oxford United

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Leicester
D L L D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Norwich

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Norwich

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  1
Norwich

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  2
Norwich

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  1
Norwich

5 Nov 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Norwich
Stoke
Stoke Last matches
L W L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Stoke

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Sheffield United

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  0
Stoke
L W L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Sheffield United

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Hull

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  0
Charlton Athletic

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  1
Coventry City
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Stoke

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  0
Stoke

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
4 :  0
Stoke

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Stoke

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  3
Stoke

Norwich vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Norwich

50 %

Draw

50 %

Stoke

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Norwich

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  2
Stoke

19 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Norwich

16 Mar 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  3
Norwich

16 Sept 2023 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  0
Stoke

18 Mar 2023 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Norwich

Norwich vs Stoke last Lineups

Norwich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
V. Kovacevic
35
K. Fisher
15
R. McConville
33
J. Cordoba
14
B. Chrisene
7
P. Mattsson
23
K. McLean
16
J. Wright
10
M. Jurasek
29
O. Schwartau
9
J. Sargent
11
R. Bozenik
29
M. Cisse
10
B. Joon-ho
7
S. Thomas
19
T. Rigo
18
B. Lawal
23
B. Gibson
16
B. Wilmot
26
A. Phillips
40
M. Talovierov
25
T. Simkin

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Stoke

Missing players

Norwich
Norwich
Defender

L. Mahovo

S. Duffy

Midfielder

G. Forsyth

J. Schlupp

M. Topic

Forward

P. Diallo

A. Crnac

F. Amankwah

Stoke
Stoke
Defender

E. Bocat

J. Tchamadeu

Midfielder

L. Baker

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Norwich
CD Huachipato Stoke
Top Goalscorer
England J. Makama (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales S. Thomas (8 Goals)
Best assists
USA J. Sargent (3 Assists)
Best assists
Wales S. Thomas (4 Assists)

Norwich and Stoke Stats in Championship

Norwich
Norwich
Stoke
Stoke
24%
Wins
44%
24%
Draw
16%
52%
Losses
40%
2.6
Total goals per match
2.12
1.12
Goals scored per match
1.2
1.48
Goals conceded per match
0.92
48%
Over 2.5
44%
52%
Under 2.5
56%
72%
BTTS
36%
8%
Clean Sheet
36%

Norwich - Stoke Key Points

  1. Stoke has conceded the fewest goals this season (23).
  2. Stoke has also kept the joint-most clean sheets (9).
  3. Four of Stoke’s last six games and their last three away games finished with under 2.5 goals.
  4. Four of Norwich's last six games and six of its last nine away home games finished with under 2.5 goals.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Norwich vs Stoke Prediction

Stoke’s defensive solidity is the biggest factor in our decision to back the under 2.5 goals bet. We can't call them the best defensive team considering their position. But The Potters are up there after having conceded the fewest goals while keeping the joint-fewest clean sheets.

Their first leg ended 1-1. And while we're not sure of a draw, we expect a similar number of goals or possibly fewer, especially as Stoke and Norwich are 15th and 16th of 24 teams in goals scored this season. Hence, our Norwich vs Stoke prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Norwich vs. Stoke game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Norwich and Stoke? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Norwich vs Stoke Prediction