Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Norwich
21/02/2026 10:00
Birmingham

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions

Norwich City will play host to Birmingham City at Carrow Road on matchday 33 of the EFL Championship. Birmingham won the previous matchup between these two sides 4-1 back in November. Will they be able to repeat the same feat? Here's our match prediction. 

Norwich City are in 17th place in the league standings with 39 points. They have maintained a seven-point cushion over the relegation zone.

The Canaries' recent match was a 3-1 home victory against West Bromwich in the fourth round of the FA Cup. This extended their winning run across all competitions to three games.

This comes after back-to-back wins against Blackburn (2-0) and Oxford United (3-0) in the EFL Championship. It leaves them with an impressive return of five wins in six matches.

The promotion playoff spot is well within Birmingham's reach. With 46 accumulated from 32 games, they sit 11th in the standings and are a mere two points adrift of the desired spot.

The Blues are in urgent need of a response following their FA Cup setback against Leeds United. In front of their home crowd, they lost 4-2 on penalties after playing a 1-1 draw in regular tim,e with little to separate the sides in extra time.

A goalless draw against West Bromwich at home halted a two-match winning streak. On the bright side, it extended their unbeaten run to seven games.

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Norwich v Birmingham Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.65 3.4 2.55
Melbet
2.62 3.28 2.59
Betwinner
2.63 3.28 2.59
Bet365
2.65 3.4 2.55
Roobet
2.66 3.25 2.62
Check all Norwich vs Birmingham odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Norwich and Birmingham?

Our prediction for the Norwich vs Birmingham match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Norwich and Birmingham in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.56% for a win of Norwich against Birmingham with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norwich vs Birmingham is 13.95% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Norwich with odds of 2.65 at LSbet.

Norwich - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:

Norwich Birmingham Prediction Probability Odds
Norwich wins 46.56% 2.7 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 50.95% 1.98 at Betsson
Both Team To Score: No 57.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Norwich 19.34% 6.5 at Bet365

Norwich vs Birmingham Form

Norwich and Birmingham's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Norwich
65 46 19 8 19 +7
10 Birmingham
64 46 17 13 16 +1

Norwich and Birmingham Last Matches

Norwich
Norwich Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Norwich
3 :  1
West Brom

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  3
Norwich

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  0
Blackburn

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Norwich

26 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Coventry City

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  5
Norwich
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Norwich
3 :  1
West Brom

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  0
Blackburn

26 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Coventry City

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Norwich
5 :  1
Walsall

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  2
Stoke

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford
D W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  3
Norwich

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Norwich

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  5
Norwich

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  2
Norwich

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Norwich

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Norwich
Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
W D W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Birmingham
1 :  1
Leeds

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  0
West Brom

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Leicester

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  2
Birmingham

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Stoke

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Birmingham
D W D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Birmingham
1 :  1
Leeds

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  0
West Brom

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Leicester

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Stoke

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  2
Coventry City

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton
L L W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  2
Birmingham

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Birmingham

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Birmingham

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Cambridge United
2 :  3
Birmingham

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Birmingham

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  0
Birmingham

Norwich vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Norwich

67 %

Draw

0 %

Birmingham

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  1
Norwich

4 May 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  0
Norwich

30 Sept 2023 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  0
Birmingham

30 Aug 2022 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  2
Norwich

23 Feb 2021 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  3
Norwich

18 Jan 2019 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  1
Birmingham

Norwich against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11

Norwich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
V. Kovacevic
35
K. Fisher
15
R. McConville
33
J. Cordoba
14
B. Chrisene
23
K. McLean
26
S. Field
8
L. Gibbs
20
A. Ben Slimane
21
A. Ahmed
37
M. Toure
29
A. Priske
10
D. Gray
33
M. Ducksch
23
C. Vicente
24
T. Iwata
14
J. Solis
31
K. Wagner
37
J. Panzo
4
C. Klarer
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
25
J. Beadle

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Birmingham

Substitutes

Norwich
Norwich
Goalkeeper

D. Grimshaw

Defender

H. Darling

J. Cordoba 90'

J. Stacey

B. Chrisene 84'

Midfielder

P. Maghoma

L. Gibbs 46'

T. Springett

A. Ahmed 90'

J. Wright

Forward

M. Kvistgaarden

M. Toure 71'

E. Mundle-Smith

E. Marcondes

Birmingham
Birmingham
Goalkeeper

R. Allsop

Defender

E. Laird

B. Osayi-Samuel 79'

P. Neumann

J. Robinson

Midfielder

T. Doyle

A. Priske 78'

K. Fujimoto

P. Roberts

C. Vicente 71'

Forward

J. Stansfield

M. Ducksch 71'

I. Osman

D. Gray 63'

Missing players

Norwich
Norwich
Defender

S. Duffy

H. Amass

L. Mahovo

Midfielder

M. Topic

M. Jurasek

G. Forsyth

Forward

A. Crnac

J. Makama

Birmingham
Birmingham
Defender

L. Buchanan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Norwich
CD Huachipato Birmingham
Top Goalscorer
England J. Makama (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (10 Goals) Germany M. Ducksch (10 Goals)
Best assists
Scotland K. McLean (4 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Stansfield (7 Assists)

Norwich - Birmingham Key Points

  1. Norwich City have seen both teams score in three of their last four home matches across all competitions.
  2. Birmingham City have scored in six of their last seven league games.
  3. Norwich City and Birmingham City have seen both teams score in five of their last seven meetings in all competitions.
  4. Two of Birmingham City's last three away matches against Norwich City have ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction

Both Norwich City and Birmingham City come into this match in superb shape in the EFL Championship. There's little to separate these two sides in what will turn out to be a closely contested affair.

An entertaining affair shouldn't be ruled out. The last time these two sides locked horns was back in November, with Birmingham snatching three points in a 4-1 victory. However, neither side will want to drop points. That said, a high-scoring draw is on the cards. Our Norwich City vs Birmingham City prediction: BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Norwich Birmingham

Norwich vs Birmingham Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Norwich wins 2.6 2.7 +3.8%
Draw 3.35 3.45 +3.0%
Birmingham wins 2.6 2.65 +1.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Norwich is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 38.5% and is now 37.0% (-1.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction