Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions
Norwich City will play host to Birmingham City at Carrow Road on matchday 33 of the EFL Championship. Birmingham won the previous matchup between these two sides 4-1 back in November. Will they be able to repeat the same feat? Here's our match prediction.
Norwich City are in 17th place in the league standings with 39 points. They have maintained a seven-point cushion over the relegation zone.
The Canaries' recent match was a 3-1 home victory against West Bromwich in the fourth round of the FA Cup. This extended their winning run across all competitions to three games.
This comes after back-to-back wins against Blackburn (2-0) and Oxford United (3-0) in the EFL Championship. It leaves them with an impressive return of five wins in six matches.
The promotion playoff spot is well within Birmingham's reach. With 46 accumulated from 32 games, they sit 11th in the standings and are a mere two points adrift of the desired spot.
The Blues are in urgent need of a response following their FA Cup setback against Leeds United. In front of their home crowd, they lost 4-2 on penalties after playing a 1-1 draw in regular tim,e with little to separate the sides in extra time.
A goalless draw against West Bromwich at home halted a two-match winning streak. On the bright side, it extended their unbeaten run to seven games.
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Norwich v Birmingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.65 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
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|
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2.62 | 3.28 | 2.59 |
|
|
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2.63 | 3.28 | 2.59 |
|
|
|
2.65 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
|
|
|
2.66 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Norwich and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Norwich vs Birmingham match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Norwich and Birmingham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.56% for a win of Norwich against Birmingham with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norwich vs Birmingham is 13.95% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Norwich with odds of 2.65 at LSbet.
Norwich - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Norwich Birmingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich wins | 46.56% | 2.7 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.95% | 1.98 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Norwich | 19.34% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Norwich vs Birmingham Form
Norwich and Birmingham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | +7 |
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
Norwich and Birmingham Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
26 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
26 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
Norwich vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 May 2024 - Championship
30 Sept 2023 - Championship
30 Aug 2022 - Championship
23 Feb 2021 - Championship
18 Jan 2019 - Championship
Norwich against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Grimshaw
DefenderH. Darling
J. Stacey
P. Maghoma
T. Springett
J. Wright
ForwardM. Kvistgaarden
E. Mundle-Smith
E. Marcondes
R. Allsop
DefenderE. Laird
P. Neumann
J. Robinson
MidfielderT. Doyle
K. Fujimoto
P. Roberts
J. Stansfield
I. Osman
Missing players
S. Duffy
H. Amass
L. Mahovo
MidfielderM. Topic
M. Jurasek
G. Forsyth
ForwardA. Crnac
J. Makama
L. Buchanan
Most goals and assists
Norwich - Birmingham Key Points
- Norwich City have seen both teams score in three of their last four home matches across all competitions.
- Birmingham City have scored in six of their last seven league games.
- Norwich City and Birmingham City have seen both teams score in five of their last seven meetings in all competitions.
- Two of Birmingham City's last three away matches against Norwich City have ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction
Both Norwich City and Birmingham City come into this match in superb shape in the EFL Championship. There's little to separate these two sides in what will turn out to be a closely contested affair.
An entertaining affair shouldn't be ruled out. The last time these two sides locked horns was back in November, with Birmingham snatching three points in a 4-1 victory. However, neither side will want to drop points. That said, a high-scoring draw is on the cards. Our Norwich City vs Birmingham City prediction: BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Norwich Birmingham
| Norwich vs Birmingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich wins | 2.6 | 2.7 | +3.8% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.45 | +3.0% |
| Birmingham wins | 2.6 | 2.65 | +1.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Norwich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.5% and is now 37.0% (-1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.