World - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in World Cup Predictions
It’s matchday six in Group I of the UEFA World Cup qualification campaign, and Norway could consolidate their top spot with a win against Moldova on Tuesday. This match at Ullevaal Stadion between the group leaders Red, White, and Blue and the bottom-placed Tricolours comes with our prediction of a Norway win with a -3 European Handicap.
With 12 points from four matches, Norway are top with a three-point lead over Israel. Moldova are at the bottom with no points from four matches and are already out of the race to finish top.
Norway edged out Finland 1-0 at home on Thursday to extend their winning run. The Norwegians have now won seven matches in a row, and having scored 23 goals in this sequence, they are in line to extend that run.
Home form is even better, as Norway have landed six consecutive victories in matches played at home, five of which came via a clean sheet.
Moldova lost 4-0 to Israel on Friday to stay at the bottom of the group standings. That result was their fifth defeat in a row, and with four of those coming without scoring, finding a goal from Moldova could be a lofty ambition.
This fixture could be tricky, as Moldova have lost each of their last nine away World Cup qualifiers.
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The Best Betting Odds for Norway v Moldova Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.05 | 12 | 34 |
|
|
1.05 | 13 | 41 |
|
|
1.06 | 13 | 46 |
|
|
1.04 | 11 | 26 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 | 36 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Norway and Moldova?
Our prediction for the Norway vs Moldova match is: Norway -3 European handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Norway and Moldova in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 83.61% for a win of Norway against Moldova with odds of 1.06 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norway vs Moldova is 11.08% with odds of 19 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 5.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Moldova vs Norway with odds of 50 at 22bet.
Norway vs Moldova Form
Norway and Moldova's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
|
5
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 |
Norway and Moldova Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Norway vs Moldova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Missing players
M. Odegaard
Most goals and assists
Norway
Moldova
E. Haaland
(4 Goals)
I. Nicolaescu
(1 Goals)
,
M. Caimacov
(1 Goals)
Norway - Moldova Key Points
- Norway won the reverse fixture 5-0 in March.
- Norway won their last seven matches, four of which have come by a margin of three or more goals.
- Moldova lost their recent five matches, two of which came by a margin of four or more goals.
- Moldova lost their nine away matches in the World Cup qualifiers, failing to score in six of those games.
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Our Norway vs Moldova Prediction
Norway are heavy favourites to win here, and there’s no value in backing them in the win market, while there’s low value even in backing a win with a clean sheet. Moldova have been the punching bags in recent games, and they lost their five recent fixtures, conceding 3.2 goals per game. That could continue, as they have struggled on the road too, losing their last nine away qualifiers in a row.
There’s value in the handicap market, and our Norway vs Moldova prediction is Norway -3 European handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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