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by Daniel Ngulu | in World Cup Predictions
Norway are set to secure their long-awaited return to the FIFA World Cup when they host Estonia this Thursday. In this Group I World Cup qualifier, Norway sits at the summit while Estonia are fourth. See our prediction for the match below.
Norway have been unstoppable in this group. They come into this game from six wins in as many games and have only conceded three goals while scoring 29.
Erling Haaland has been a key factor in that, with 12 goals and two assists. This run makes Norway one of three nations with 100% records.
While they are only ahead of Italy by three points, a superior goal difference means only time stops them from being confirmed for the 2026 World Cup.
Estonia are a distant fourth with only four points garnered. Their World Cup dream was over long ago, even as they played to a 1-1 draw with bottom side Moldova last time out.
Though they look weak, Estonia have been holding their own in meetings with Norway. Their latest in this group ended in a 1-0 win for the Norwegians, and they will want to keep scores low.
A rampant Norway can, however, be unforgiving.
In their four meetings with Norway, Estonia have one win and two losses, with the other ending in a draw. Only one of the four meetings hit over 2.5 goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Norway v Estonia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.02 | 21 | 41 |
|
|
1.02 | 23 | 67 |
|
|
1.03 | 17 | 81 |
|
|
1.01 | 15 | 41 |
|
|
1 | 20 | 45 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Norway and Estonia?
Our prediction for the Norway vs Estonia match is: Norway to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/11/2025 between Norway and Estonia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 80.75% for a win of Norway against Estonia with odds of 1.03 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norway vs Estonia is 14.01% with odds of 23 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 5.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Estonia vs Norway with odds of 81 at William Hill.
Norway vs Estonia Form
Norway and Estonia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
|
4
|
4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 |
Norway and Estonia Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Norway vs Estonia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Most goals and assists
Norway
Estonia
E. Haaland
(12 Goals)
M. Kait
(3 Goals)
Norway - Estonia Key Points
- Norway have only conceded three times in these qualifiers.
- Norway kept clean sheets in their last two meetings with Estonia.
- Estonia failed to score in three of their last five matches.
- Estonia have posted one win in the last 11 games.
- Norway won six of six in these qualifiers.
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Our Norway vs Estonia Prediction
Norway have been unstoppable in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, and they are about to reap their reward. Though famed for their attacking prowess, Norway have added an extra quality to their game – defence.
They have kept six clean sheets in their last 10 matches, and this will be enhanced by the fact they are playing at home and against one of the weak teams. In the last two meetings they haven't conceded a goal against Estonia. So, our prediction for Norway v Estonia is for Norway to win to nil.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
