Northampton Town vs Barnsley Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
Northampton Town face Barnsley on Tuesday night in what is both teams penultimate League One match of the season. It's been a miserable season for the Cobblers who are bottom of the table, while after flirting with the playoffs, the Tykes poor recent form dropped them right out of contention. Here's our prediction for the match between two of League One's out of sorts teams.
The current table shows Northampton's fate is already sealed with the Cobblers sitting bottom of the pile with 35 points from 44 games, four behind Port Vale above them and 16 away from safety. Barnsley's poor form of late has seen them drop down to 15th with 56 points from 44 games, seven clear of relegation and 16 points off the playoff spots. A win for Barnsley could move them up to 13th in the table.
Northampton have lost ten in a row in all competitions and that run includes two 3-1 home defeats, first against Wigan Athletic and then against Doncaster Rovers. In between those losses, they went down 2-1 at Luton and at the weekend were thrashed 5-1 away at promoted Cardiff City.
Barnsley's recent form isn't much better with one win in their last eleven games, a 3-1 win at Rotherham. They followed that up with two draws 0-0 at Port Vale and then 2-2 at home to Bradford City. They were then beaten 1-0 at Stevenage and then 2-1 at Luton Town last weekend.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Northampton Town v Barnsley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3 | 3.75 | 2.19 |
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2.82 | 3.78 | 2.23 |
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2.93 | 3.66 | 2.21 |
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2.7 | 3.9 | 2.15 |
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2.8 | 3.65 | 2.2 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Northampton Town and Barnsley?
Our prediction for the Northampton Town vs Barnsley match is: Barnsley wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/04/2026 between Northampton Town and Barnsley in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.86% for a win of Northampton Town against Barnsley with odds of 3 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Northampton Town vs Barnsley is 34.39% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Barnsley vs Northampton Town with odds of 2.25 at LSbet.
Northampton Town - Barnsley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Northampton Town Barnsley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley wins | 45.76% | 2.25 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.55% | 1.63 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Barnsley/Barnsley | 21.69% | 3.5 at Bet365 |
Northampton Town vs Barnsley Form
Northampton Town and Barnsley's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
59 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | -5 |
|
24
|
35 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | -35 |
Northampton Town and Barnsley Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League One
18 Apr 2026 - League One
15 Apr 2026 - League One
6 Apr 2026 - League One
3 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - League One
6 Apr 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
28 Feb 2026 - League One
24 Feb 2026 - League One
21 Feb 2026 - League One
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League One
15 Apr 2026 - League One
3 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
8 Mar 2026 - League One
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Apr 2026 - League One
18 Apr 2026 - League One
14 Apr 2026 - League One
11 Apr 2026 - League One
6 Apr 2026 - League One
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - League One
6 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Mar 2026 - League One
17 Mar 2026 - League One
10 Mar 2026 - League One
7 Mar 2026 - League One
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - League One
21 Apr 2026 - League One
14 Apr 2026 - League One
11 Apr 2026 - League One
3 Apr 2026 - League One
14 Mar 2026 - League One
Northampton Town vs Barnsley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
75 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Feb 2026 - League One
25 Feb 2025 - League One
24 Aug 2024 - League One
27 Apr 2024 - League One
Players list
L. Burge
DefenderN. Guinness-Walker
M. Dyche
J. Guthrie
C. McCarthy
MidfielderT. Fornah
C. McGeehan
D. Campbell
K. McAdam
ForwardJ. Evans
S. Hoskins
K. Flavell
DefenderM. de Gevigney
E. O'Connell
C. O'Keeffe
MidfielderL. Connell
J. Bland
P. Kelly
J. Earl
ForwardD. McGoldrick
R. Cleary
T. Bradshaw
Substitutes
R. Fitzsimons
MidfielderK. Swyer
T. Taylor
E. List
ForwardM. Jacobs
T. Eaves
J. Vale
O. Goodman
DefenderJ. Shepherd
G. Gent
MidfielderS. Banks
A. Phillips
K. Nwakali
ForwardL. Farrell
Most goals and assists
Northampton Town - Barnsley Key Points
- Northampton have not won any of their last 14 league matches (D2, L12).
- Barnsley are unbeaten in their last five against Northampton (W2 D3)
- Northampton have lost all of their last nine league games.
- Two of Barnsley's last three wins have come away against teams in the bottom five.
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Our Northampton Town vs Barnsley Prediction
Our prediction for the Northampton Town vs. Barnsley League One match is: Barnsley wins.
It is fair to say that both these teams' recent form is dreadful, with Northampton on a run of nine consecutive defeats while Barnsley have also find wins hard to come by. There is a good argument for a draw in this game based on recent form, but neither team benefits greatly from that result and with Barnsley having won two of their last three away, against teams in the bottom five, backing them to repeat that success here makes a good value bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Northampton Town Barnsley
| Northampton Town vs Barnsley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton Town wins | 2.85 | 3 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.9 | +6.8% |
| Barnsley wins | 2.29 | 2.25 | -1.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barnsley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.7% and is now 44.4% (0.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.