Northampton Town vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Ian John | in League One Predictions
There's some rare Friday night action in League One this week as Northampton Town host AFC Wimbledon with both teams struggling for form at present. The Cobblers have been lacking consistency all season under Kevin Nolan while Johnnie Jackson's Dons had started the campaign strongly, but have struggled for form in recent weeks. Here's our prediction for the match.
In terms of league position, the visitors have a slight advantage. Northampton lie 14th in the table with 24 points from their 19 league games and a -2 goal difference. AFC Wimbledon are in tenth position with 27 points from their 19 league matches, but with a -3 goal difference, ostensibly because of their poor recent form.
Northampton have won two of their last four games. That run started with a 3-0 away win over Plymouth Argyle, which was followed by a 2-0 home win over Wycombe in the Football League Trophy. They then drew 1-1 at home to Huddersfield Town but last weekend went down to a 2-1 defeat away to an improving Peterborough United.
It has been a miserable run of form for AFC Wimbledon in the league. A 3-3 draw away at Huddersfield was a positive, as was a 5-1 away win over an under-strength Cardiff in the Football League Trophy. However, they were beaten 1-0 away to Exeter in the league in midweek and last weekend were held 0-0 at home by Mansfield Town.
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Northampton Town v AFC Wimbledon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.29 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
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2.24 | 3.16 | 3.46 |
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2.24 | 3.16 | 3.46 |
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2.15 | 3.05 | 3.4 |
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2.22 | 3 | 3.25 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Northampton Town and AFC Wimbledon?
Our prediction for the Northampton Town vs AFC Wimbledon match is: Northampton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/12/2025 between Northampton Town and AFC Wimbledon in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.32% for a win of Northampton Town against AFC Wimbledon with odds of 2.3 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Northampton Town vs AFC Wimbledon is 19.78% with odds of 3.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.9% chance ⭐ for a win of AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town with odds of 3.46 at Melbet.
Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Northampton Town AFC Wimbledon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton Town wins | 42.32% | 2.3 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.63% | 2.55 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Northampton Town | 20.89% | 5.5 at LSbet |
Northampton Town vs AFC Wimbledon Form
Northampton Town and AFC Wimbledon's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19
|
53 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | -21 |
|
24
|
35 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | -35 |
Northampton Town and AFC Wimbledon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
29 Nov 2025 - League One
22 Nov 2025 - League One
11 Nov 2025 - EFL Trophy
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
22 Nov 2025 - League One
11 Nov 2025 - EFL Trophy
8 Nov 2025 - League One
25 Oct 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - League One
29 Nov 2025 - League One
1 Nov 2025 - FA Cup
21 Oct 2025 - League One
18 Oct 2025 - League One
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
29 Nov 2025 - League One
22 Nov 2025 - League One
11 Nov 2025 - EFL Trophy
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - League One
22 Nov 2025 - League One
1 Nov 2025 - FA Cup
25 Oct 2025 - League One
11 Oct 2025 - League One
27 Sept 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
29 Nov 2025 - League One
11 Nov 2025 - EFL Trophy
8 Nov 2025 - League One
18 Oct 2025 - League One
Players list
R. Fitzsimons
DefenderJ. Thorniley
N. Guinness-Walker
M. Forbes
C. McCarthy
MidfielderD. Campbell
T. Taylor
C. McGeehan
ForwardT. Eaves
E. Wheatley
S. Hoskins
N. Bishop
DefenderS. Seddon
I. Ogundere
N. Asiimwe
R. Johnson
J. Lewis
MidfielderA. Smith
J. Reeves
M. Hippolyte
M. Browne
ForwardO. Bugiel
Substitutes
L. Burge
DefenderM. Dyche
J. Guthrie
MidfielderJ. Burroughs
K. Swyer
E. List
K. Edwards
J. McDonnell
DefenderP. Bauer
MidfielderC. Maycock
ForwardD. Orsi-Dadomo
A. Hackford
M. Stevens
R. Junior Nkeng
Most goals and assists
Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon Key Points
- Northampton have lost just one of their last four games in all competitions (W2, D1).
- AFC Wimbledon have not won any of their last six league games (L4, D2).
- AFC Wimbledon concede an average of 1.9 goals per game in their away league fixtures this season.
- Northampton have lost just three of the 19 games played against AFC Wimbledon (W8, D8).
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Our Northampton Town vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction
Our prediction for the Northampton Town vs. AFC Wimbledon League One match is: Northampton wins.
This is a tricky game to predict as neither of these two teams is in particularly good form and the data set for both paints a very mixed picture. However, AFC Wimbledon are stuck in a rut of poor results and without a win in six games and their record against Northampton is poor historically. Northampton's inconsistency makes this trickier than it should really be, but we are backing them to take a narrow win here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Northampton Town AFC Wimbledon
| Northampton Town vs AFC Wimbledon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton Town wins | 2.7 | 2.3 | -14.8% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.2 | +4.9% |
| AFC Wimbledon wins | 2.7 | 3.46 | +28.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Northampton Town is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 43.5% (6.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.