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by Daniel Ngulu | in World Cup Predictions
Nigeria will welcome the inclusion of foreign-based players to their camp as the World Cup qualifiers return, with a home game against Rwanda. We have a prediction for the Group C match below.
Nigeria had a dismal showing at CHAN, failing to advance past their group. This is, therefore, a chance to restate their position in African football.
While they have the head-to-head advantage, the Super Eagles haven't been really dominant in this fixture, winning just three of their total nine meetings.
Nigeria actually lost 2-1 to Rwanda the last time they hosted this match. That was back in November 2024, but they avenged it with an away win of their own in March this year. Victor Osimhen’s brace secured the 2-0 win.
Rwanda will look to tap into the inspiration from their last visit to Nigeria. They have had a good start to these qualifiers, and a win here will open a four-point gap from their hosts.
The Rwandese trail the leaders, South Africa, by five points, and at best they can target a second-place finish to try and advance to the playoffs. They are currently ninth on that list, with the top four set to get the second bite at the cherry.
Rwanda will be disappointed at having collected just one point from the last two qualification matches, both at home. They come here winless in four straight outings, having lost three, the most recent a 2-0 reverse against Algeria.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nigeria v Rwanda Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 4.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.2 | 11 |
|
|
1.36 | 4 | 11 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.2 | 10 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.3 | 9.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nigeria and Rwanda?
Our prediction for the Nigeria vs Rwanda match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2025 between Nigeria and Rwanda in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.13% for a win of Nigeria against Rwanda with odds of 1.36 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nigeria vs Rwanda is 25.88% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Rwanda vs Nigeria with odds of 13 at Bet365.
Nigeria - Rwanda Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nigeria Rwanda Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 51.13% | 1.36 at William Hill |
| Under 2.5 | 65.55% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nigeria | 23.04% | 3.75 at Betfair |
Nigeria vs Rwanda Form
Nigeria and Rwanda's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
|
5
|
11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 |
Nigeria and Rwanda Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
31 May 2025 - International Friendlies
28 May 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
7 Sept 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
31 May 2025 - International Friendlies
28 May 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4 Sept 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Nigeria vs Rwanda Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
Nigeria - Rwanda Key Points
- Rwanda’s last five outings produced a total of 11 goals.
- Rwanda failed to score in three of their last four matches.
- Four of Nigeria’s last six matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Nigeria kept clean sheets in five of their last six meetings with Rwanda.
- Eight of nine meetings between these two nations had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Nigeria vs Rwanda Prediction
These two sides are familiar foes, this being their 10th meeting, a fixture dominated by Nigeria. The one outstanding stat about this game is how it has, over time, been a low-scoring one. Only once in the previous nine meetings has this encounter had more than two goals.
Ahead of the match also, the two nations haven't been scoring a lot. Rwanda, who won on their last visit to Nigeria, scored only once in their last four outings. In the goals market, our prediction for Nigeria v Rwanda is for under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nigeria Rwanda
| Nigeria vs Rwanda | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 1.36 | 1.3 | -4.4% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.5 | +9.8% |
| Rwanda wins | 8 | 13 | +62.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nigeria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 76.9% (3.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Nigeria vs. Rwanda game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
