France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Nice will be targeting another strong run at home this season in Ligue 1. They start their domestic campaign by hosting Toulouse at the Allianz Riviera. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Last season Nice only lost two home league outings all season. They were the third-best performers in that line and will hope it comes with a good omen. Nice haven't won an opening game of the season in the last four seasons.
If their home form comes into play, they may end that run. Les Aiglons' competitive campaign started in Europe and they already lost twice. They fell 4-0 against Benfica in the Champions League qualifiers.
Toulouse had a strong run towards the end of the season last term, but that could not earn them a spot in Europe. Much of their woes were occasioned by a shaky start to the campaign.
Still, Toulouse will be glad at their 10th-placed finish as they look to do better this season. That was their highest Ligue 1 finish in over a decade, and having been improving by the season, this will be another campaign to set high targets.
Les Violets aren’t really strong starters in Ligue 1 campaigns but are unbeaten in the last four, with three draws and a win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nice v Toulouse Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.05 | 3.3 | 3.75 |
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2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
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2.1 | 3.25 | 3.3 |
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2.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
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2.07 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Nice vs Toulouse match is: Nice wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2025 between Nice and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.2% for a win of Nice against Toulouse with odds of 2.16 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs Toulouse is 24.94% with odds of 3.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Nice with odds of 4.7 at Stake.
Nice vs Toulouse Form
Nice and Toulouse Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2 May 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1

0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
Nice vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
21 May 2023 - Ligue 1
7 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
Missing players

A. Abdi
M. Bombito
A. Mohamed
MidfielderT. Ndombele
M. Sanson
Y. Ndayishimiye

R. Nicolaisen
MidfielderC. Casseres Jr
Nice - Toulouse Key Points
- Nice lost only once in their last six league matches.
- In their last nine league games, Toulouse lost five.
- Toulouse have one win in five away league games.
- Nice suffered only two Ligue 1 losses at home last season.
- Nice are unbeaten in five home matches against Toulouse.
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Our Nice vs Toulouse Prediction
Toulouse rarely win away from home in this fixture. If Nice keeps their home form as seen last season, then Toulouse are in for a losing start here. The last five times Toulouse visited Nice, they failed to win, though three of them ended in draws.
That undefeated run aside, Nice only lost twice at home in Ligue 1 last season. Meanwhile, Toulouse had just six away wins from 17 matches. Our prediction for Nice v Toulouse is that Nice wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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