Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
Nice will look to make their home advantage count and get closer to the league stage of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League when they host Benfica Lisbon on Wednesday. This fixture is the first leg of the third qualifying round, and this match at the Allianz Riviera between the hosting Eaglets and the Eagles comes with our prediction of an away win.
The winner of this two-legged tie will move to the playoff round of the competition, while the loser is transferred to the league phase of the UEFA Europa League.
Nice finished fourth in Ligue 1 last year to get a ticket to this round and are looking to book their spot in the group phases of Europe’s top tournament for the first time in 65 years.
With four wins out of six friendlies (W4, D1, L1), they are making the right noises, but recent defensive concerns are a worry.
Benfica come here after defeating rivals Sporting in the Super Cup final last week for their first silverware of the season. This followed their impressive run to the last 16 in the FIFA Club World Cup, where they were unbeaten during regular time (W2, D2).
Having remained unbeaten in 18 competitive games, including six wins out of their last seven away fixtures, put Benfica in a sweet spot.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nice v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.6 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.5 | 2.23 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Nice vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Benfica Lisbon wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/08/2025 between Nice and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.35% for a win of Nice against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 3.05 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs Benfica Lisbon is 22.64% with odds of 3.68 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Nice with odds of 2.44 at BC Game.
Nice - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nice Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 48.02% | 2.44 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.47% | 1.9 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time : Nice / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon | 18.85% | 26 at Bet365 |
Nice vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Nice and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2 May 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Players list
Y. Diouf
DefenderA. Mendy
J. Clauss
K. Peprah Oppong
A. Bah
M. Bard
MidfielderJ. Boga
H. Boudaoui
T. Louchet
S. Diop
ForwardB. Nguene
A. Trubin
DefenderA. Silva
A. Dedic
N. Otamendi
MidfielderF. Aursnes
L. Barreiro
R. Rios
S. Dahl
F. Luis
ForwardH. Araujo
G. Prestianni
Substitutes
T. Boulhendi
M. Dupe
DefenderH. Koutoune
K. Peprah Oppong
T. Louchet
D. Coulibaly
P. Rosario
G. Bernardeau
J. Boga
B. Nguene
S. Diop
B. Brahimi
S. Soares
D. Ferreira
DefenderG. Oliveira
R. Obrador
L. Santos
MidfielderL. Barreiro
D. Prioste
J. Veloso
F. Luis
H. Araujo
G. Prestianni
T. Gouveia
Most goals and assists
Nice
Benfica Lisbon
J. Boga
(2 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(3 Goals)
T. Louchet
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Boudaoui
(2 Assists)
G. Sudakov
(2 Assists)
Nice - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Nice lost five of their last seven matches in UEFA competitions, drawing the other two.
- Nice conceded at least two goals in three of their last four friendly matches.
- Benfica are unbeaten in their last 18 competitive matches, winning 12 and drawing six.
- Benfica won six of their last seven away competitive games, not considering those played on neutral soil.
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Our Nice vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Benfica are far ahead of Nice in terms of competitive football, having already played in the FIFA Club World Cup and also in the Portugal Super Cup that they won against Sporting CP last week. Nice are looking to end a drought of 65 years to get into the main draw of Europe’s top competition, but recent defensive concerns throw a spanner in their works.
This could be Benfica’s chance to make the best use of their preparations, and our Nice vs Benfica Lisbon prediction is Benfica Lisbon wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nice Benfica Lisbon
| Nice vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice wins | 3 | 2.7 | -10.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 2.2 | 2.38 | +8.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 42.0% (-3.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Nice vs. Benfica Lisbon game!
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Try your luck on this year's Champions League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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