Newcastle vs West Ham Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
West Ham United’s survival in the English Premier League (EPL) could take a defining turn on matchday 37 when they visit St James’ Park on Sunday to play Newcastle United. This match between the 13th-placed Magpies and the 18th-placed Hammers could follow the recent trend of goals in this outing, which is a main factor in our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.
The Magpies have 46 points (W13, D7, L16) and are out of reckoning for European places. All that remains for the hosts is a chance to finish inside the top ten, although on recent form, they have been too generous in dropping points.
The Hammers have 36 points (W9, D9, L18) and are two points adrift of safety. They have spent most of their season in and around the danger zone and even failed to take advantage of Tottenham’s poor form. Can they revive their season with a crucial win here? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Newcastle v West Ham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.21 | 3.8 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.76 | 3.08 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.66 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.8 | 3 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.75 | 2.98 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and West Ham?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs West Ham match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Newcastle and West Ham in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.32% for a win of Newcastle against West Ham with odds of 2.31 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs West Ham is 18.66% with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.01% chance ⭐ for a win of West Ham vs Newcastle with odds of 3.13 at 888Starz.
Newcastle - West Ham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle West Ham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 42.01% | 3.13 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.35% | 1.55 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: West Ham | 18.75% | 7.75 at LSbet |
Newcastle vs West Ham Form
Newcastle and West Ham's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
|
18
|
39 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 |
Newcastle and West Ham Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
Newcastle vs West Ham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
5 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - West Ham: Form Analysis
Newcastle failed to hold their lead in a 1-1 away draw against Nottingham Forest last weekend. It was a fourth point in two league games for the Magpies (W1, D1), which was a relief coming after a run of five consecutive defeats in all competitions.
The drop in form is also visible in their home form, as Newcastle lost five of their last seven home EPL matches (W2). That said, one of those wins came in their latest outing at this venue, a 3-1 victory over Brighton.
West Ham have won two of their last three EPL games against Newcastle.
One of those came in the reverse fixture in November when the Hammers won 3-1. They would take a repeat of that result here with glee, as they were beaten 1-0 at home by Arsenal last weekend in controversial circumstances. That was a second defeat in a row in the league, leaving West Ham struggling for Premier League safety.
The Hammers have struggled for wins even on the road, as they lost three of their last five EPL trips (W1, D1).
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Newcastle against West Ham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Ramsdale
DefenderA. Murphy
D. Burn
J. Willock
J. Murphy
S. Neave
A. Gordon
A. Elanga
Y. Wissa
A. Areola
DefenderM. Kilman
S. Magassa
K. Walker-Peters
MidfielderF. Potts
O. Scarles
M. Kante
T. Castellanos
Pablo
Missing players
F. Schar
T. Livramento
MidfielderL. Miley
ForwardJoelinton
Newcastle & West Ham Squad Analysis
There are no fresh injury concerns for the hosts, with the likes of Tino Livramento and Fanian Schar out of contention. There are concerns over the availability of Joelinton because of a thigh injury.
Newcastle have usually lined up in a 4-3-3 formation, with a slight change of system to 4-2-3-1 in the last two weeks. That would see William Osula start slightly ahead as the lone striker, while midfielder Bruno Guimaraes looking to add to his tally of nine EPL goals this season.
Harvey Barnes has nine goals in 12 games against West Ham.
West Ham lined up in a 3-4-3 formation against Arsenal but have been lining up in a 4-4-1-1 system lately. They would still depend on veteran Jarrod Bowen to lead the attack, eight behind the striker, or on the right wing.
Bowen has eight goals and ten assists in this league campaign. On the personnel front, there are no fresh injuries for the Hammers. There could be good news on availability, as Callum Wilson could make his first start since March.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
West Ham
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
J. Bowen
(9 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
J. Bowen
(11 Assists)
Newcastle - West Ham Key Points
- Eight of Newcastle’s last nine home matches in all competitions produced over 2.5 goals.
- West Ham’s matches average 2.89 goals per game this EPL season and only five teams have seen a better average.
- West Ham conceded 1.7 goals per game this EPL season and only two teams have fared worse.
- Four of the last six EPL matches between these sides produced at least three goals each.
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Our Newcastle vs West Ham Prediction
West Ham have put their Premier League survival hopes on the edge, following back-to-back losses. The Hammers now have to win and hope Tottenham drop points. Thankfully for the visitors, Newcastle have struggled for consistency in recent weeks and have very little to play for. To go with that, the Magpies have failed to make their advantage count.
The reverse fixture was won 3-1 by West Ham, and goals could continue to be the order of the day here. Our Newcastle vs West Ham prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Newcastle vs West Ham Alternative Predictions
West Ham wins
Newcastle bounced back after five consecutive defeats in all competitions with four points from their last two league games. Is that enough to spark a home revival? West Ham won 2-0 on their last visit to this venue in November 2024, and their need for points could see them defy the odds. Back West Ham to win against the trend.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle West Ham
| Newcastle vs West Ham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 2 | 2.31 | +15.5% |
| Draw | 3.91 | 3.9 | -0.3% |
| West Ham wins | 3.84 | 3.13 | -18.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- West Ham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 18.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.0% and is now 31.9% (5.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
