Newcastle United Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Matchday 14 in the A-League kicks off with Newcastle Jets taking on Wellington Phoenix at McDonald Jones Stadium on Friday. The Jets are third in the league standings, while the Nix are eighth. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Newcastle Jets cut the gap to the league-leading Auckland to three points last weekend when they defeated Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 on the road.
That result took the Jets to a third consecutive victory and their fifth in six games. They are also the highest-scoring team in the league with 26 goals, led by Lachlan Rose with six.
However, the hosts have not been good at home this season, having only taken six points in as many games at McDonald Jones Stadium. They also lost to this opponent 2-1 here last season.
Meanwhile, Wellington Phoenix moved above Perth and Melbourne Victory to eighth place in the league standings last week after stunning high-flying Sydney FC 2-0 on the road.
The Nix are now unbeaten in their last three games (W2 D1) and scored two or more goals in each of those matches. This is the first time they’ve gone three games unbeaten since the start of the season.
The visitors also won their last two away games and kept clean sheets in both games.
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Newcastle United Jets v Wellington Phoenix Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.66 | 4.4 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.76 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.62 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.4 | 4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle United Jets and Wellington Phoenix?
Our prediction for the Newcastle United Jets vs Wellington Phoenix match is: over 2.5 & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/01/2026 between Newcastle United Jets and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.27% for a win of Newcastle United Jets against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 1.7 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle United Jets vs Wellington Phoenix is 17.78% with odds of 4.78 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle United Jets with odds of 4.6 at LSbet.
Newcastle United Jets - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle United Jets Wellington Phoenix Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 41.95% | 4.6 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.47% | 1.32 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 72.92% | |
| Half-time : Newcastle United Jets / Full-time : Wellington Phoenix | 15.06% | 30 at LSbet |
Newcastle United Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Form
Newcastle United Jets and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
48 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | +16 |
|
8
|
33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 |
Newcastle United Jets and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
11 Jan 2026 - A-League
31 Dec 2025 - A-League
26 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
6 Dec 2025 - A-League
23 Nov 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
11 Jan 2026 - A-League
31 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
29 Nov 2025 - A-League
9 Nov 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
2 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
Newcastle United Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
20 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
6 Apr 2025 - A-League
27 Dec 2024 - A-League
19 Apr 2024 - A-League
27 Jan 2024 - A-League
Newcastle United Jets against Wellington Phoenix Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
A. Nassiep
DefenderM. Cooper
MidfielderK. Mizunuma
L. Dean Scicluna
A. Nunes
B. Gibson
X. Bertoncello
A. Kelly-Heald
DefenderL. Kelly-Heald
B. Tuiloma
L. Brooke-Smith
S. Kartum
P. Retre
N. Mileusnic
Most goals and assists
Newcastle United Jets
Wellington Phoenix
E. Adams
(10 Goals)
E. Ifeanyi
(10 Goals)
D. Wilmering
(9 Assists)
K. Nagasawa
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Piper
(4 Assists)
,
T. Payne
(4 Assists)
Newcastle United Jets - Wellington Phoenix Key Points
- Three of the Jets’ last four games have ended with both teams scoring.
- The Jets have scored two or more goals in five of their last six games.
- Six of Wellington’s last eight games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Three of Wellington’s last four away games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in each of the last five games between these sides.
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Our Newcastle United Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
The Newcastle Jets are installed as the clear favourites in this match, and they are on a three-match winning streak, but their home form this season has not been great, having only taken six points in as many games.
Wellington Phoenix are on an upward trajectory, now unbeaten in their last three games, following an impressive victory over Sydney last week. This is a tough one to call, but we’re expecting to see a few goals, given these sides’ recent form. Our Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is over 2.5 & BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle United Jets Wellington Phoenix
| Newcastle United Jets vs Wellington Phoenix | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United Jets wins | 1.66 | 1.7 | +2.4% |
| Draw | 4.38 | 4.78 | +9.1% |
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 4.48 | 4.6 | +2.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wellington Phoenix is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.3% and is now 21.7% (-0.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
