Newcastle United Jets vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Joseph King | in A-League Predictions
Matchday two in the 2025-26 A-League season sees Newcastle United Jets hosting Melbourne Victory. Both teams are searching for their first win of the season, which side will come out on top? Check out our match prediction.
Newcastle Jets suffered a devastating 3-2 away defeat to Western Sydney Wanderers to open their campaign. They had a chance to win the match deep into stoppage time with a penalty, only to miss and see Western Sydney score the winner moments later.
It will be interesting to see how they respond here after snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Last season, Newcastle Jets finished ninth and while they are just outsiders to compete for the title, they’ve publicly made it known that they are targeting qualification to the finals series this season (i.e. a top six finish).
After losing out 1-0 in the final to local rivals Melbourne City, the Victory will be targeting the title this time around. They got off to an OK start, drawing 0-0 at home against last season’s regular season leaders Auckland FC. Melbourne came into that match as underdogs, despite having home field advantage, so shouldn’t be too discouraged by earning just a point.
There were some encouraging signs in their chance creation as the Victory created three clear cut scoring chances against arguably the best defense in the division.
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Newcastle United Jets v Melbourne Victory FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.55 | 2.36 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.8 | 2.64 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.72 | 2.47 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.8 | 2.13 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.75 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle United Jets and Melbourne Victory FC?
Our prediction for the Newcastle United Jets vs Melbourne Victory FC match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/10/2025 between Newcastle United Jets and Melbourne Victory FC in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.27% for a win of Newcastle United Jets against Melbourne Victory FC with odds of 3.15 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle United Jets vs Melbourne Victory FC is 11.74% with odds of 3.82 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory FC vs Newcastle United Jets with odds of 2.64 at 1xbet.
Newcastle United Jets - Melbourne Victory FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle United Jets Melbourne Victory FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory FC wins | 44.99% | 2.64 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.22% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 59.38% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Melbourne Victory FC/Melbourne Victory FC | 18.34% | 4 at Bet365 |
Newcastle United Jets vs Melbourne Victory FC Form
Newcastle United Jets and Melbourne Victory FC's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
48 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | +16 |
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
Newcastle United Jets and Melbourne Victory FC Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - A-League
4 Oct 2025 - FFA Cup
31 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
24 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
13 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
30 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
30 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
6 Apr 2025 - A-League
16 Mar 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - A-League
4 Oct 2025 - FFA Cup
31 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
13 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
4 May 2025 - A-League
20 Apr 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2025 - A-League
24 May 2025 - A-League
17 May 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
31 May 2025 - A-League
24 May 2025 - A-League
10 May 2025 - A-League
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
Newcastle United Jets vs Melbourne Victory FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 May 2025 - A-League
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
3 Feb 2024 - A-League
11 Feb 2023 - A-League
Newcastle United Jets against Melbourne Victory FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Baylis
DefenderM. Cooper
MidfielderL. Rose
J. Bertolissio
L. Bayliss
C. Bracco
O. Fryer
J. Warshawsky
DefenderJ. Rawlins
A. Traore
MidfielderJ. Mata
M. Grimaldi
O. Dragicevic
J. Reec
Most goals and assists
Newcastle United Jets
Melbourne Victory FC
E. Adams
(10 Goals)
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
D. Wilmering
(9 Assists)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
Newcastle United Jets - Melbourne Victory FC Key Points
- 3.38 average goals scored in Newcastle’s 13 home matches last season.
- Newcastle Jets saw over 3.5 goals scored in 12 of their 26 matches in 2024-25.
- Melbourne created three clear cut chances in their last match against one of the league’s best defences.
- There were a total of nine clear cut chances created and five goals in Newcastle’s opening fixture.
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Our Newcastle United Jets vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction
If Newcastle Jets’ first match was anything to go by, this has the potential to be a high-scoring outing. The hosts looked good going forward but there appears to be some serious problems on the defensive side.
That should give Melbourne Victory encouragement that they can grab their first win of the new season. If they perform like they did against Auckland FC, they shouldn’t have too much of a problem. While we like the visitors to win this, we believe more value lies in backing the over at this price. Our Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory prediction is more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle United Jets Melbourne Victory FC
| Newcastle United Jets vs Melbourne Victory FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United Jets wins | 3.15 | 3.15 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.82 | +0.5% |
| Melbourne Victory FC wins | 2 | 2.64 | +32.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 32.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 37.9% (-12.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Newcastle United Jets vs. Melbourne Victory FC game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between Newcastle United Jets and Melbourne Victory FC when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
