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Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Newcastle
05/10/2025 14:00
Nottingham Forest

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

1.75
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions

Two struggling teams from the lower half of the 2025-26 English Premier League table will battle it out on Sunday as Newcastle host Nottingham Forest. This match at St James’ Park between the 15th-placed Magpies and the 17th-placed Tricky Trees comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.

Newcastle’s six points put them just two points above the relegation zone ahead of this round. They would be keen to restart their season after enduring some heartbreaking losses. The defeats to Liverpool and Arsenal here were due to late goals, so the home fans will pray that it’s not the case this weekend.

Nottingham have five points and start closer to the relegation zone than their hosts. After starting the season with a win, the visitors have struggled for tempo, and the change of manager hasn’t helped yet. Is this the game to see a change for Nottingham? Or, will Newcastle change the script and close out games favourably? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.

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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.55 4.33 5.5
Betfred
1.6 4.2 5.5
William Hill
1.6 4 5
Betway
1.6 4.2 5
Unibet
1.56 4.35 5.6
Check all Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Nottingham Forest?

Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Newcastle and Nottingham Forest in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.61% for a win of Newcastle against Nottingham Forest with odds of 1.71 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest is 24.77% with odds of 4.35 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle with odds of 5.6 at Unibet.

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Form

Newcastle and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15
Newcastle
Newcastle
6 6 1 3 2 -1
17
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
5 6 1 2 3 -5

Newcastle and Nottingham Forest Last Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
W L D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  4
Newcastle

28 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Arsenal

24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
4 :  1
Bradford City FC

21 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle

18 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Barcelona

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Wolves
L L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Arsenal

24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
4 :  1
Bradford City FC

18 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Barcelona

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Wolves

25 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Liverpool

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid
L D D D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  4
Newcastle

21 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Tottenham
1 :  1
Newcastle

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

K-League Allstars
1 :  0
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest Last matches
L L D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
FC Midtjylland

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Sunderland

24 Sep 2025 - Europa League

Betis
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

17 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
3 :  2
Nottingham Forest

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Nottingham Forest
D D W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
FC Midtjylland

27 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Sunderland

31 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
West Ham

17 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Brentford

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Al Qadsiah

5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Fiorentina
L D L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Sep 2025 - Europa League

Betis
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

20 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

17 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
3 :  2
Nottingham Forest

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Nottingham Forest

24 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Birmingham
1 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

67 %

Draw

17 %

Nottingham Forest

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (home team)
1.83
Goals scored (away team)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

23 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Nottingham Forest

10 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  3
Newcastle

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Newcastle

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  3
Newcastle

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  3
Nottingham Forest

17 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Newcastle
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Newcastle - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis

Newcastle thumped Union St Gilloise 4-0 away from home in this week’s Champions League fixture. It was their second win in three competitive games (W2, L1), giving hope of turning the season around.

That said, league form is still a challenge for the Magpies. They were beaten 2-1 at home by Arsenal last weekend, although the winner came late to stun Newcastle. That defeat forms part of two defeats in their three home league games this season.

Newcastle won eight of their last nine home league matches against Forest (W8, L1).

Forest endured a difficult midweek European experience, losing 3-2 at home to Midtjylland in the Europa League. That result continued their poor recent record, seeing them lose five and draw three of their last eight competitive games.

The visitors have won only once this season, a 3-1 home win on matchday one over Brentford. They have lost three of their last four Premier League matches, although drawing two of three away trips so far.

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Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest last Lineups

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
N. Pope
2
K. Trippier
12
M. Thiaw
4
S. Botman
33
D. Burn
39
B. Guimaraes
8
S. Tonali
7
Joelinton
20
A. Elanga
27
N. Woltemade
10
A. Gordon
7
C. Hudson-Odoi
19
I. Jesus
10
M. Gibbs-White
3
N. Williams
6
I. Sangare
8
E. Anderson
14
D. Ndoye
5
Murillo
4
Morato
31
N. Milenkovic
26
M. Sels

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Nottingham Forest

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

T. Livramento

Midfielder

J. Ramsey

Y. Wissa

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Defender

O. Aina

O. Zinchenko

Midfielder

D. Luiz

Newcastle & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis

Newcastle are likely to stick to their tried and tested 4-3-3 formation with Nick Woltemade playing in the central striker position. The German youngster scored in his last two matches and will be keen to continue that momentum.

It would be the midfield mastery of Sandro Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, and Joelinton that could decide Newcastle’s fate. Tonali’s 309 attempted passes are the most by any Magpie player, while Guimaraes’ passing percentage (82.3) is among the best for the club. On the injury front, Tino Livramento is out for nearly eight weeks, while Jacob Ramsey is also out of contention.

Chris Wood scored three goals in his last two visits to Newcastle.

The Nottingham striker has scored in their loss to Midtjylland and will be keen to continue that scoring record. He is expected to lead the line in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation, although they tested a bit with the 3-4-3 system in the midweek Europa League game.

The visitors have Ola Aina and Douglas Luiz sidelined due to injuries. Igor Jesus could be pushing for a start, although Wood could keep him on the bench.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Nottingham Forest
Top Goalscorer
England A. Gordon (3 Goals)
Germany N. Woltemade (3 Goals)
Denmark W. Osula (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil I. Jesus (4 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (2 Assists)
Italy S. Tonali (2 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Gibbs-White (3 Assists)

Newcastle and Nottingham Forest Stats in Premier League

Newcastle
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
17%
Wins
17%
50%
Draw
33%
33%
Losses
50%
1.5
Total goals per match
2.5
0.67
Goals scored per match
0.83
0.83
Goals conceded per match
1.67
33%
Over 2.5
50%
67%
Under 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sheet
0%

Newcastle - Nottingham Forest Key Points

  1. In three of their last five competitive matches, Newcastle saw both teams score goals.
  2. Four of Newcastle’s five home matches in all competitions this season saw both teams net goals.
  3. In four of their last five competitive games, Nottingham Forest saw both teams score goals.
  4. In two of their three away league games this season, Forest saw goals scored by both teams.
  5. In 11 of the last 12 matches between these sides in all competitions including six in a row saw both teams score goals.
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Our Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

With only a point separating these two sides hovering marginally above the relegation zone, points are of paramount importance for both Newcastle and Forest. The loser here could end up in the relegation zone at the end of the match day, so expect both teams to give it their all. Newcastle have found some rhythm in the recent weeks, and the heavy win in the midweek Champions League fixture should raise their spirits.

Expect both teams to net here, and our Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest prediction is both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

1.75
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Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest - Other Interesting Predictions

Nick Woltemade to score anytime

Odds 2.5

Nick Woltemade made headlines with his heavy money move in the summer, but the lanky striker is making the right noises lately. After scoring against Arsenal last weekend, he found the back of the net against Union St Gilloise in the Champions League. He could fancy his chances of scoring here.

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Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest match : Frequently asked questions

The Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest English Premier League match is scheduled for a 2 pm UK Time kick-off on Sunday, October 5, 2025.
The Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest English Premier League match will be played at the St. James’ Park football stadium in Newcastle upon Tyne. It is the home of Newcastle United and with a seating capacity of 52,264, it is the 10th largest football stadium in England.

The Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest English Premier League match will be shown live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Ultra HDR in the UK.

You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!

Both teams are reeling under some unwanted lows ahead of this round. Newcastle’s tally of six points this season is their worst start to a Premier League under Eddie Howe. What's more, it is their lowest total after six games since the 2021-22 campaign under Steve Bruce when they had three points at this stage.

Nottingham Forest have five points so far, and four of those (80%) were won under former manager Nuno Espirito Santo. This is the lowest total for a side that finished the previous season in the top seven since West Ham had collected just four points in the 2022-23 season. Talk about revival?

Keep an eye on Newcastle as the clock winds down because they have lost to Liverpool and Arsenal through a winning goal in the 90th minute or in stoppage time.

Peter Bankes is the match referee for this Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest English Premier League fixture. He will be assisted on the pitch by the duo of Edward Smart and Blake Antrobus, while Robert Jones will be the fourth official. In the crucial VAR room, it will be Chris Kavanagh who will be the VAR and Simon Bennett who will be the VAR Assistant.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
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