Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions
Manchester United head to Newcastle United this week in the Premier League, seeking to continue with an exciting run of form. The Red Devils, brimming with confidence, have moved up to third in the table with 10 games left to play. The resurgent visitors lead their hosts, who are down in 13th, by 15 points. Read on for our preview and a prediction of the match.
With Manchester United set to play a total of 40 games this campaign, this marks the second and final meeting between the two this season. The Red Devils won the first meeting 1-0 on Boxing Day, thanks to a Patrick Dorgu first-half strike.
United are now eyeing a first league double over Newcastle since 2020/21. This fixture hasn’t produced a draw in the last eight meetings, thus minimizing the possibility of a draw. A loss will be costly for either team as we go into this stretch of matches.
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Newcastle v Manchester United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.75 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.66 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.66 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.7 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.65 | 2.48 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Manchester United match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2026 between Newcastle and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.59% for a win of Newcastle against Manchester United with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Manchester United is 20.12% with odds of 3.81 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Newcastle with odds of 2.62 at 888Starz.
Newcastle - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 48.29% | 2.62 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.74% | 1.6 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 65.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester United | 20.13% | 6.75 at LSbet |
Newcastle vs Manchester United Form
Newcastle and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 |
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
Newcastle and Manchester United Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
2 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
Newcastle - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Newcastle have been inconsistent this. With 12 losses, Eddie Howe’s men have lost more games than they have either won or drawn. The Magpies have won 10 matches and racked up 36 points. They sit nine points away from the European places heading into the last nine games of the campaign.
Newcastle were dealt another blow in their quest to scale up the standings over the weekend as they lost at home to Everton in a five-goal thriller. It was their second successive loss in the league and came after they had dished out the same treatment to Qarabag in the Champions League.
Manchester United have won six of their last seven games.
Only city rivals Manchester City are on a better run of form than United. The Red Devils haven’t lost in seven outings, and this run has coincided with the appointment as manager, on an interim basis, of Michael Carrick. Only once in this streak have the visitors failed to win.
Before this run, United had gone 13 matches without consecutive wins and had won on only three occasions. They seemed destined to once again miss out on Europe, but are now firm favorites to be one of the five teams that will qualify for the Champions League. United defeated Crystal Palace 2-1 over the weekend to improve to 51 points, thanks to 14 wins and nine draws.
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Newcastle against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Pope
DefenderS. Botman
L. Shahar
A. Murphy
MidfielderJ. Willock
Y. Wissa
J. Murphy
W. Osula
S. Neave
A. Bayindir
DefenderG. Kukonki
T. Malacia
D. Dalot
A. Heaven
MidfielderM. Ugarte
T. Fletcher
ForwardA. Diallo
J. Zirkzee
Missing players
F. Schar
E. Krafth
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
L. Miley
M. De Ligt
P. Dorgu
Newcastle & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Newcastle could be without up to six players here. Bruno Guimaraes remains out with a muscle injury, and so too are Tino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Lewis Miley and Emil Krafth. Jacob Ramsey was on the scoresheet against Everton, but he is listed as doubtful for this match due to illness.
Anthony Gordon will be looking to improve his league tally here, He has scored 14 goals but only found the net three times in the EPL. Nick Woltemade has been more prolific in the league, where seven of his 10 goals have come. Harvey Barnes has netted 12 goals, five times in the league and is another superb option for the hosts in attack.
Both Newcastle and United will miss key players here.
Patrick Dorgu scored the lone goal for United in the reverse game. He will, however, not be available on Tyneside due to a hamstring injury that has seen him miss the last five games. Matthijs de Ligt and Mason Mount are the other players ruled out.
Defenders Lisandro Martinez and Luke Shaw could also miss this trip, with illness. Meanwhile, Bryan Mbeumo continues to enjoy in his first season at United and leads the club’s scoring charts with 10 goals. He is followed closely by another debutant in Benjamin Sesko, who has netted eight of his nine goals in the league.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Manchester United
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(21 Assists)
Newcastle - Manchester United Key Points
- Newcastle United’s last nine matches produced 3+ goals.
- The last five meetings between these teams averaged 2.6 goals.
- Three times in their last five matches, Newcastle scored three or more.
- 14 goals were scored in Manchester United’s last five away matches.
- Newcastle and Manchester United have scored a combined 90 league goals and conceded 80.
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Our Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction
Our prediction for Newcastle United v Manchester United is for more than 2.5 goals. This match sees two teams in contrasting trajectories face off. Newcastle are struggling with inconsistency and have lost more games than they have won in recent weeks.
Their visitors, on the other hand, are one of the more in-form sides in the English topflight at the moment. Despite recent form, one thing is certain; both are strong attacking teams with fluid offences. They have shown this recently and should do so once again in this fixture.
Newcastle vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions
Manchester United wins
In our second prediction, we are settling for Manchester United to win. Only Manchester City, who are on a six-match winning streak, have put up a better run of results currently than United. The Red Devils have built up strong momentum that puts them ahead of an opponent that has been blowing hot and cold.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Manchester United
| Newcastle vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 2.44 | 2.7 | +10.7% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.81 | -2.3% |
| Manchester United wins | 2.49 | 2.62 | +5.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.2% and is now 38.2% (-2.0%)
Newcastle vs Manchester United - FAQs
The Newcastle United v Manchester United match will be played on Wednesday, 4 March.
The Newcastle United v Manchester United match will be played at St. James’ Park.
Fans in the UK will have a live telecast of this match on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate. Match updates of this and for other EPL fixtures will be available on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
