Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Joseph King | in Premier League Prediction
Matchday 14 in the English Premier League sees seventh-place Newcastle playing host to sixth-placed Manchester United. Both teams are facing quick turnaround times after each suffering disappointing results in their midweek Champions League fixtures. Newcastle conceded a 1-0 lead deep into stoppage time against PSG by way of a Kylian Mbappe penalty to finish 1-1. Meanwhile, Manchester United saw a 3-1 away lead evaporate in Istanbul against Galatasaray to draw 3-3. These two teams come into this fixture separated by just one point in the standings. A win for either side combined with a Tottenham defeat would see them enter into the top five.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.3 | 3.35 |
|
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Who will win the Newcastle vs Manchester United Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Newcastle and Manchester United of Premier League on 12/2/23 :
- There is a probability of 46.99% ⭐ for Newcastle to win this match against Manchester United ⚽ with odds of 1.95 found at Bet365.
- Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.6 which implies a probability of 15.84%.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Manchester United to win the match are about 3.6 at Bet365. That means a probability of 37.17%.
Newcastle - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle vs Manchester United prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle is favoured to win | 46.99 % | 1.95 |
| Draw | 15.84 % | 3.6 |
| Manchester United wins the game | 37.17 % | 3.6 |
Newcastle vs Manchester United Form
Newcastle and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
57 | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 21 |
|
8
|
57 | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | -3 |
Newcastle and Manchester United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
7 Nov 2023 - Champions League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2023 - Champions League
26 Nov 2023 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
8 Nov 2023 - Champions League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
Newcastle against Manchester United : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
2 Apr 2023 - Premier League
26 Feb 2023 - Carabao Cup
16 Oct 2022 - Premier League
27 Dec 2021 - Premier League
11 Sep 2021 - Premier League
Newcastle - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Newcastle looked set to pick up a huge 1-0 away win in Paris that would have seen them move up to second in their Champions League group. Instead, a 98th minute penalty by Kylian Mbappe means that the Magpies are now significant underdogs to qualify for the knockout rounds. They’ll have to put their disappointment behind them as they refocus their attention to the current top-four race in the Premier League. Newcastle trail fourth-place Aston Villa by four points but can potentially move up into fifth-place with a win and a Tottenham loss. Eddie Howe’s men have the advantage of playing this match on home soil where they have been terrific so far. Across all competitions, Newcastle have recorded eight wins and only two losses at St. James’ Park this campaign. That includes wins over Man City, PSG, Arsenal and Chelsea.
Manchester United saw their round of 16 hopes take a huge blow on Wednesday as the Red Devils gave up two second-half goals to squander a 3-1 lead against Galatasaray. Their only way to progress in the competition requires them to defeat Bayern Munich at Old Trafford and hope that the other fixture in the group ends in a draw. It’s the type of result that could kill squad morale as it’s a draw that undoubtedly feels like a loss. United had previously won their last two on the trot prior to the draw, keeping two clean sheets along the way. The visitors can at least take solace in the fact that their away form in the Premier League has been excellent. Manchester United have won their last four away league trips, outscoring their opponents 7-1.
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Newcastle against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
K. Trippier
S. Botman
J. Lascelles
M. Targett
F. Schar
MidfielderS. Tonali
L. Miley
J. Willock
ForwardC. Wilson
T. Malacia
L. Shaw
V. Lindelof
L. Martinez
R. Varane
H. Maguire
MidfielderB. Fernandes
M. Mount
A. Diallo
ForwardA. Martial
M. Rashford
Newcastle & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Both teams are chock-full of injuries at the moment which has resulted in a number of promising young players getting some looks for these two sides. Newcastle have no fewer than 10 players on the injury report while also missing star midfielder Sandro Tonali who is serving a 10-month ban. Even with all the absences, Newcastle can still field a formidable starting 11. Expect the likes of Gordon, Isak and Almiron to take up the attacking spots, with Joelinton and Guimares making up the engine room in midfield.
Man United manager Erik ten Hag has his own injury problems to deal with as seven players are confirmed out for the trip up north. Among the missing players are Casemiro, Lisandro Martinez, Mason Mount, Christian Eriksen and Johnny Evans. About the only good news the Dutch manager will have received is that Marcus Rashford is available for selection after missing out on the trip to Istanbul with a booking suspension.
Newcastle - Manchester United Key Points
- Newcastle have already beaten Manchester United this season, running out 3-0 away winners in the EFL Cup.
- The hosts have been superb at St. James' Park this season, racking up six wins from seven league matches and accumulating a +14 goal differential.
- Newcastle are tied as the second-highest scoring team in the Premier League with 31 goals (avg 2.38 scored per match).
- Manchester United's last trip to St. James' Park ended in a 2-0 defeat back in April of 2023.
- The Red Devils are 11th in the Premier League in expected goal differential per 90 (xG/90) at -0.12 while Newcastle rank third at +0.92 xG/90.
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Our Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
