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02 December 2023 - 20:00 

- Day 14

England - Premier League

Newcastle
VS
Manchester United

Prediction :

Newcastle wins the match

Odds : 1.99

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Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Joseph King |

Matchday 14 in the English Premier League sees seventh-place Newcastle playing host to sixth-placed Manchester United. Both teams are facing quick turnaround times after each suffering disappointing results in their midweek Champions League fixtures. Newcastle conceded a 1-0 lead deep into stoppage time against PSG by way of a Kylian Mbappe penalty to finish 1-1. Meanwhile, Manchester United saw a 3-1 away lead evaporate in Istanbul against Galatasaray to draw 3-3. These two teams come into this fixture separated by just one point in the standings. A win for either side combined with a Tottenham defeat would see them enter into the top five.

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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Manchester United Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.95 3.6 3.6
1xbet
2.04 3.83 3.81
22bet
2.04 3.83 3.81
Betwinner
1.97 3.68 3.66
Check all Newcastle vs Manchester United odds
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Who will win the Newcastle vs Manchester United Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Newcastle and Manchester United of Premier League on 12/2/23 :

  • There is a probability of 46.99% ⭐ for Newcastle to win this match against Manchester United ⚽ with odds of 2.04 found at 1xbet.
  • 1xbet ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.83 which implies a probability of 15.84%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Manchester United to win the match are about 3.81 at 1xbet. That means a probability of 37.17%.

Newcastle vs Manchester United Teams Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Manchester United
Manchester United
44 25 14 2 9 1
8
Newcastle
Newcastle
37 25 11 4 10 12

Newcastle and Manchester United Last Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
W W L L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

28 Nov 2023 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Newcastle

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Chelsea

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Newcastle

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Newcastle

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Arsenal

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
0 :  3
Newcastle
Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
L W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

29 Nov 2023 - Champions League

Galatasaray
3 :  3
Manchester United

26 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  3
Manchester United

11 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Luton Town

8 Nov 2023 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
4 :  3
Manchester United

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
Manchester United

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
0 :  3
Newcastle

Newcastle against Manchester United : Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

33 %

Draw

33 %

Manchester United

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.17
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
0 :  3
Newcastle

2 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Manchester United

26 Feb 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
2 :  0
Newcastle

16 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Newcastle

27 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Manchester United

11 Sep 2021 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Newcastle
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Newcastle - Manchester United: Form Analysis

Newcastle looked set to pick up a huge 1-0 away win in Paris that would have seen them move up to second in their Champions League group. Instead, a 98th minute penalty by Kylian Mbappe means that the Magpies are now significant underdogs to qualify for the knockout rounds. They’ll have to put their disappointment behind them as they refocus their attention to the current top-four race in the Premier League. Newcastle trail fourth-place Aston Villa by four points but can potentially move up into fifth-place with a win and a Tottenham loss. Eddie Howe’s men have the advantage of playing this match on home soil where they have been terrific so far. Across all competitions, Newcastle have recorded eight wins and only two losses at St. James’ Park this campaign. That includes wins over Man City, PSG, Arsenal and Chelsea.

Manchester United saw their round of 16 hopes take a huge blow on Wednesday as the Red Devils gave up two second-half goals to squander a 3-1 lead against Galatasaray. Their only way to progress in the competition requires them to defeat Bayern Munich at Old Trafford and hope that the other fixture in the group ends in a draw. It’s the type of result that could kill squad morale as it’s a draw that undoubtedly feels like a loss. United had previously won their last two on the trot prior to the draw, keeping two clean sheets along the way. The visitors can at least take solace in the fact that their away form in the Premier League has been excellent. Manchester United have won their last four away league trips, outscoring their opponents 7-1.

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Newcastle against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
N. Pope
2
K. Trippier
6
J. Lascelles
5
F. Schar
21
V. Livramento
67
L. Miley
39
B. Guimaraes
7
Joelinton
24
M. Almiron
14
A. Isak
10
A. Gordon
9
A. Martial
17
A. Garnacho
8
B. Fernandes
10
M. Rashford
37
K. Mainoo
39
S. Mctominay
20
D. Dalot
23
L. Shaw
5
H. Maguire
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
24
A. Onana

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Manchester United

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

N. Pope

Defender

M. Targett

F. Schar

Midfielder

S. Tonali

E. Anderson

J. Willock

Forward

Joelinton

A. Isak

C. Wilson

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

T. Malacia

A. Wan-Bissaka

L. Martinez

L. Shaw

Midfielder

M. Mount

Forward

A. Martial

Newcastle & Manchester United Squad Analysis

Both teams are chock-full of injuries at the moment which has resulted in a number of promising young players getting some looks for these two sides. Newcastle have no fewer than 10 players on the injury report while also missing star midfielder Sandro Tonali who is serving a 10-month ban. Even with all the absences, Newcastle can still field a formidable starting 11. Expect the likes of Gordon, Isak and Almiron to take up the attacking spots, with Joelinton and Guimares making up the engine room in midfield. 

Man United manager Erik ten Hag has his own injury problems to deal with as seven players are confirmed out for the trip up north. Among the missing players are Casemiro, Lisandro Martinez, Mason Mount, Christian Eriksen and Johnny Evans. About the only good news the Dutch manager will have received is that Marcus Rashford is available for selection after missing out on the trip to Istanbul with a booking suspension.

Newcastle - Manchester United Key Points

  1. Newcastle have already beaten Manchester United this season, running out 3-0 away winners in the EFL Cup.
  2. The hosts have been superb at St. James' Park this season, racking up six wins from seven league matches and accumulating a +14 goal differential.
  3. Newcastle are tied as the second-highest scoring team in the Premier League with 31 goals (avg 2.38 scored per match).
  4. Manchester United's last trip to St. James' Park ended in a 2-0 defeat back in April of 2023.
  5. The Red Devils are 11th in the Premier League in expected goal differential per 90 (xG/90) at -0.12 while Newcastle rank third at +0.92 xG/90.
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Our Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction

Manchester United have managed to get consistent results on the road so far this season with four wins from six away matches. However, their underlying metrics are far from impressive and point to a team that is likely overachieving and could be in for some regression. Newcastle are in the opposite situation as their underlying numbers are among the best in the Premier League. Combined with their stellar home form, we see this one finishing in three points for the Magpies. Our Newcastle vs Manchester United prediction is for Newcastle to win the match.

Prediction :

Newcastle wins the match

Odds : 1.99

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Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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