England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
The marquee matchup of Matchday 12 sees Manchester City take a trip to Tyneside for a tantalising tussle with Newcastle United in front of the Toon Army on Saturday in the Premier League. The Magpies are 13th in the league standings, while the Citizens are in second place after 11 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Newcastle will be hoping to make a winning start upon returning from the international break, but this is an opponent they have struggled mightily against in recent times. In their last 35 league matches versus the Sky Blues, they’ve only won once (D6 L28) - in 2019 under Rafael Benitez. Eddie Howe, meanwhile, has never tasted victory against City in his managerial career (D2 L16).
After a poor league campaign by their lofty standards in 2024-25, Man City have announced themselves as genuine title contenders again this season, now just four points behind Arsenal at the summit. The visitors have netted in each of their last 33 league matches against this opponent and are the clear favourites in this contest. Let’s take a look at some more key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.8 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.8 | 1.92 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Manchester City match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Newcastle and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.23% for a win of Newcastle against Manchester City with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Manchester City is 12.07% with odds of 3.92 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Newcastle with odds of 2.05 at William Hill.
Newcastle vs Manchester City Form
Newcastle and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
|
14
|
12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 |
Newcastle and Manchester City Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
Newcastle vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2024 - Premier League
16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Sept 2023 - Carabao Cup
19 Aug 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Newcastle United slipped to 14th place in the league standings ahead of the international break after suffering a 3-1 loss to Brentford. That was their second league defeat by the same scoreline in succession, following a loss to West Ham.
Notably, the Magpies led in both those matches and have now lost three games this season after scoring first - as many such defeats as they conceded in the last two top-flight campaigns combined.
However, the hosts have been impressive at home of late, currently riding a five-match win streak in all competitions. Their only league defeats at St James’ this term were against Arsenal and Liverpool.
Newcastle are winless in their last six home league games against this opponent (D3 L3)!
Meanwhile, Manchester City cut the gap to the league leaders Arsenal to just four points after dismantling Liverpool at the Etihad Stadium leading into the November international break.
The Citizens lost two of their first three games this season and shipped four goals in that period. Since then, though, they have only conceded four more goals in their last eight matches and lost just once.
While the visitors are the leading scorers in the top flight this season with 23 goals, only seven of those have come on the road to date, four of which were in a single match against Wolves.
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Newcastle vs Manchester City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
N. Pope
DefenderT. Livramento
D. Burn
H. Ashby
MidfielderY. Wissa
S. Tonali
ForwardA. Gordon
W. Osula
Joelinton
M. Kovacic
Rodri
Newcastle & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Newcastle have scored the third-fewest goals in the league this season, with four coming from Nick Woltemade. The German netted three times in two games on international duty and will be hoping to add to his tally here.
Nick Pope and Joelinton were forced off in the loss to Brentford and are doubts for this match. Dan Burn was sent off against the Bees, which could open the door for Lewis Hall to return to the starting 11.
Sandro Tonali and Anthony Gordon were both spotted in training in midweek and are expected to be in contention to feature here, but Yoanne Wissa, Will Osula and Tino Livramento are ruled out through injury.
Erling Haaland is one goal away from 100 in the Premier League!
Haaland has been on a rampage this season, now on 19 goals in 15 matches across all competitions, and he is coming into this one after netting twice in under 90 seconds for Norway against Italy.
Adding to City’s firepower is Jeremy Doku, who was unplayable at times against Liverpool in his last league match, and followed up by bagging a brace for Belgium in their 7-0 annihilation of Liechtenstein on Tuesday.
Rodri (fitness) is a major doubt, and Mateo Kovacic (ankle) is sidelined for the foreseeable future, meaning Nico Gonzalez should continue at the base of the visitors' midfield this weekend.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Manchester City
N. Woltemade
(6 Goals)
E. Haaland
(19 Goals)
S. Tonali
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Murphy
(3 Assists)
, 
B. Guimaraes
(3 Assists)
T. Reijnders
(5 Assists)
Newcastle and Manchester City Stats in Premier League
Newcastle - Manchester City Key Points
- Five of Newcastle’s last six league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Newcastle have scored two or more goals in each of their last five home matches.
- Each of Manchester City’s last four games in all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Manchester City have the second-highest xG per 90 in the league this season (1.77).
- Six of the last seven league matches between these sides at this venue have produced 3+ goals.
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Our Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction
While Eddie Howe has retained the backing of the board (for now), he is under immense pressure to bounce back from two painful league defeats against teams that the Magpies were widely expected to beat.
However, that will certainly not be an easy task against the league’s top scorers and the in-form Erling Haaland. Matches between these two on Tynside have produced goals in recent times, and we’re expecting a few more in this one. Our Newcastle vs Manchester City prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Newcastle vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Erling Haaland to score anytime
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Newcastle vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Manchester City will take place on November 22 at 17:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Manchester City will be played at St James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne.
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Manchester City will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
