Newcastle vs Everton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Newcastle
28/02/2026 10:00
Everton

Prediction :

 

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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

Newcastle and Everton continue their bids to qualify for European football next season. Newcastle are 11th in the Premier League, a point and two places below their opponents. Can the Magpies climb above the Toffees? Read our match prediction below.

Midweek saw United reach the last 16 of the Champions League. They face a battle to be in that competition next season with a nine point gap between them and fifth place. The Magpies are struggling for wins in the Premier League, especially at home. That needs to change in the coming weeks.

Everton are relieved not to be in a relegation fight. That's been the case for them in the past few seasons but they are ninth after 27 games this season. They are still inconsistent with as many league losses as wins this season. Life at their new stadium is proving to be a bit of a struggle of late but on the road, they are on a good run and the Toffees will give Newcastle a good test this Saturday.

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Newcastle v Everton Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.79 3.9 4.4
Melbet
1.74 3.88 4.5
Betwinner
1.74 3.88 4.5
Bet365
1.75 3.9 4.33
Roobet
1.73 3.85 4.4
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Everton?

Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Everton match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Newcastle and Everton in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.62% for a win of Newcastle against Everton with odds of 1.81 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Everton is 25.63% with odds of 4.04 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Everton vs Newcastle with odds of 4.67 at 888Starz.

Newcastle - Everton Prediction and Best Odds:

Newcastle Everton Prediction Probability Odds
Everton wins 39.76% 4.67 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 53.57% 2.17 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 53.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Everton 16.09% 10 at Bet365

Newcastle vs Everton Form

Newcastle and Everton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12 Newcastle
49 38 14 7 17 -2
13 Everton
49 38 13 10 15 -3

Newcastle and Everton Last Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  2
Qarabag FK

21 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle

18 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
1 :  6
Newcastle

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

10 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Newcastle

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Brentford
D L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  2
Qarabag FK

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Brentford

25 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  2
Aston Villa

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  2
Manchester City

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
3 :  3
Bournemouth
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle

18 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
1 :  6
Newcastle

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

10 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Newcastle

4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Newcastle

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Newcastle
Everton
Everton Last matches
W D D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Manchester United

10 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Bournemouth

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Everton

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

26 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Leeds

18 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Everton
L D D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Manchester United

10 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Bournemouth

26 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Leeds

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Everton
1 :  1
Sunderland

7 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Wolves

4 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  4
Brentford
L D W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Everton

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

18 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Everton

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Everton

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Everton

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Everton

Newcastle vs Everton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

33 %

Draw

33 %

Everton

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  4
Newcastle

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  1
Everton

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Newcastle

2 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Everton

7 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Newcastle

27 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  4
Newcastle

Newcastle - Everton: Form Analysis

Newcastle United have won seven home league games this season. However, four have been lost and that includes the last two the Toon have played. 15 goals have been conceded by them in their last seven home league and cup fixtures.

Each of their last nine matches have seen both teams get on the scoresheet. Three of the last five home league fixtures have seen both teams score. The reverse fixture against Everton in November produced a 4-1 win for United.

Good away form for Everton.

Everton have won ten league games this season and six of those victories have come on their travels. Last weekend saw them lose 1-0 at home to Manchester United. They are eight points adrift of fifth place.

The Toffees are unbeaten in their last five away EPL games since a loss at Chelsea. Over the last ten away league fixtures, they have earned 18 points, the third best record in the division. Four of their last five games have seen both teams score.

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Newcastle vs Everton Prediction

Newcastle against Everton Lineups: Starting 11

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
N. Pope
2
K. Trippier
12
M. Thiaw
33
D. Burn
3
L. Hall
41
J. Ramsey
8
S. Tonali
7
Joelinton
20
A. Elanga
27
N. Woltemade
10
A. Gordon
9
Beto
7
D. McNeil
22
K. Dewsbury-Hall
10
I. Ndiaye
37
J. Garner
27
I. Gueye
16
V. Mykolenko
32
J. Branthwaite
6
J. Tarkowski
15
J. O'Brien
1
J. Pickford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Everton

Substitutes

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

A. Ramsdale

Defender

S. Botman

A. Murphy

L. Shahar

Midfielder

J. Willock

J. Ramsey 46'

J. Murphy

A. Elanga 56'

Forward

H. Barnes

N. Woltemade 56'

W. Osula

A. Gordon 86'

Y. Wissa

K. Trippier 75'

Everton
Everton
Goalkeeper

M. Travers

Defender

N. Patterson

M. Keane

K. Dewsbury-Hall 89'

Midfielder

H. Armstrong

D. McNeil 81'

M. Rohl

T. Iroegbunam

T. George

Forward

T. Barry

Beto 74'

T. Dibling

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

F. Schar

Midfielder

B. Guimaraes

L. Miley

Everton
Everton
Midfielder

C. Alcaraz

Newcastle & Everton Squad Analysis

Newcastle won at home in the Champions League in midweek and will want to follow that up with success on Saturday. They will continue to be without key players such as Bruno Guimaraes, Tino Livramento and Fabian Schar.

Doubtful for this game is Jacob Ramsey who didn't play against Qarabag. If absent, Sandro Tonali and Joelinton are possible replacements. Anthony Gordon could play as centre forward as he plays against his former club. 

Yoane Wissa made an appearance as a sub in midweek and could well start this game against Everton.

While the goals are flowing at home for them, the Magpies just can't stop conceding. Tightening up at the back is going to be important for them in the final weeks and months of the season. Defender Malick Thiaw is available to play for United after being suspended for the UCL game.

Still no Grealish for Everton.

Everton are also needing a victory this weekend but are without a defeat in their last five away league fixtures. Jack Grealish is still absent though and the Blues would be very thankful for his creativity.

Carlos Alcaraz is also going to be absent for the Toffees. Jake O'Brien could return after serving his suspension. That will strengthen their back four and James Garner is expected to return to midfield as Everton look to continue their good away run.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Everton
Top Goalscorer
Brazil B. Guimaraes (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Guinea-Bissau Beto (9 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil B. Guimaraes (5 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Garner (7 Assists)

Newcastle - Everton Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in seven of Everton's last nine league and cup fixtures.
  2. Five of the last seven home games Newcastle have played against Everton have seen both teams score.
  3. Both teams have scored in each of Newcastle's last nine games.
  4. Three of Newcastle's last five home league games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our Newcastle vs Everton Prediction

Both clubs have plenty of work to do if they want to be playing in European competition next season. They have both won ten league games this season but between them have been beaten 21 times and have a combined goal difference of -3.

Newcastle have lost their last two home league games. Recent matches on home soil have produced plenty of goals for both sides. Everton are in good form on the road and our main Newcastle v Everton prediction is both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

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Newcastle vs Everton Alternative Predictions

Draw

Odds 3.8
Two of the last four games between these clubs have ended level.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Everton

Newcastle vs Everton Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Newcastle wins 1.67 1.81 +8.4%
Draw 4.24 4.04 -4.7%
Everton wins 5.5 4.67 -15.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Everton is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 18.2% and is now 21.4% (3.2%)

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Newcastle vs Everton - FAQs

15:00 UK time on Saturday February 28 is when this Premier League game is being played.
This is the 14th home league game of the season for Newcastle. It will be played at St James's Park in Newcastle.
With this being a Saturday 15:00 UK time kick-off, it won't be shown live on television. Pay a visit to our Premier League livescore to read updated statistics and  text commentary.to assist you with your in-play bets on the game.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.