Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Prediction
Brighton will seek to keep their Champions League ambitions alive when they travel to Newcastle United for their next Premier League game. Newcastle have the advantage in that race, being third while Brighton are a distant sixth, eight points below the top four. Brighton have four more games to play thus this is a crucial game in the teams’ top four quests.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 4 | 4 |
|
|
1.77 | 4 | 4.1 |
|
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Despite Brighton’s recent rise, they will go into this game as the underdogs. A win for the visitors here is priced at 3.6 while Newcastle United have odds of 2.06 to win. A draw comes with odds of 4.00.
Who will win the Newcastle vs Brighton Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Newcastle and Brighton of Premier League on 5/18/23 :
- There is a probability of % ⭐ for Newcastle to win this match against Brighton ⚽ with odds of 1.8 found at Bet365.
- Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 4 which implies a probability of %.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Brighton to win the match are about 4.1 at NetBet. That means a probability of %.
Newcastle - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle vs Brighton prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle is favoured to win | % | 1.8 |
| Draw | % | 4 |
| Brighton wins the game | % | 4.1 |
Newcastle vs Brighton Form
Newcastle and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
71 | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 35 |
|
6
|
62 | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 19 |
Newcastle and Brighton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2023 - Premier League
7 May 2023 - Premier League
30 Apr 2023 - Premier League
27 Apr 2023 - Premier League
23 Apr 2023 - Premier League
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2023 - Premier League
8 May 2023 - Premier League
4 May 2023 - Premier League
29 Apr 2023 - Premier League
26 Apr 2023 - Premier League
23 Apr 2023 - FA Cup
Newcastle against Brighton : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Aug 2022 - Premier League
5 Mar 2022 - Premier League
6 Nov 2021 - Premier League
20 Mar 2021 - Premier League
20 Sep 2020 - Premier League
20 Jul 2020 - Premier League
Newcastle - Brighton: Form Analysis
Newcastle United are coming from two straight outings without a win. They almost pulled a comeback win against Leeds United in the last game but Leeds rallied to see the game end 2-2. Ahead of that game, the Magpies had lost 2-0 at home to Arsenal. As they return home, Newcastle United will be focused on strengthening their hold of third place. Newcastle United have scored in all but one of their last five matches and are strong at home. They have seven wins in 10 home matches and only failed to score twice – against Arsenal and Liverpool. The hosts have however not been very strong defensively of late. Coming into this game, they’ve kept no clean sheet in the last five games and four have had over 2.5 goals. In the last three meetings with Brighton, Newcastle United haven't lost.
Brighton have been superb against teams in the higher league positions. They are coming from wins over sides in the top four in two of their last three matches. However, they are without a win against Newcastle in three meetings. The most recent one ended in a 0-0 draw in August 2022. Three times in their last five matches, Brighton have kept clean sheets. It will be interesting to see how they extend that here when facing the in-form Callum Wilson. A 3-0 win away to Arsenal in their last game is a massive boost for Brighton. They're good in attack, netting in each of their last five matches and the same is the case away from home. Brighton have failed to score once in five matches against Newcastle United.
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Newcastle against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Pope
DefenderE. Krafth
J. Lascelles
J. Manquillo
MidfielderM. Ritchie
J. Willock
ForwardR. Fraser
Joelinton
R. Sanchez
DefenderT. Lamptey
MidfielderA. Lallana
J. Sarmiento
J. Moder
S. March
Newcastle & Brighton Squad Analysis
Newcastle United will once again rely on Callum Wilson in attack, after he scored twice in the last game. The forward has seven goals in the last five matches. While Eddie Howe can count on Wilson, he still has four men out injured. For Sean Longstaff, Emile Kraft, Jamal Lascelles and Matt Ritchie, this game comes too soon.
At Brighton, Julio Enciso limped off the game against Arsenal after scoring and is a doubt for this one. He will be the only fresh injury concern though. Jakub Moder, Tariq Lamptey, Jeremy Sarmiento, Adam Webster, Adam Lallana and Solomon March are all still out.
Newcastle - Brighton Key Points
- Brighton have scored in each of their last 12 away league games and Newcastle 11 of the last 12 at home.
- Newcastle beat Brighton 2-1 at home last season.
- Four of Newcastle’s last five matches have had over 2.5 goals
- Four of Brighton’s last five matches have had over 2.5 goals
- Both teams have been on the scoresheet in five of the last seven Newcastle home games.
- Six of the last eight Newcastle games have seen both teams score.
- Both sides have scored in ten of the last 12 Brighton away league fixtures.
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Our Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction
Both Brighton and Newcastle United are in good scoring form, just what they need to fuel their European ambitions. However, they have fallen short defensively more often than not, and their matches have returned very few clean sheets. Both teams scoring is a regular occurrence in their recent matches. Our prediction for Newcastle United v Brighton is for both teams to score.
Newcastle vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Newcastle United have scored two or more goals in four of the last five matches. Brighton have experienced the same in three of five away games. Both teams are coming from high scoring games, a trend we expect to continue in this game. We will go for over 2.5 goals here too.
Callum Wilson to score
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