Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Newcastle United return to Premier League action after being beaten in the Carabao Cup in midweek. The Magpies are 11th in the table and this Saturday are home to seventh-placed Brentford. Time for our match prediction.
United lost 3-1 at Manchester City on Wednesday ending their reign as Carabao Cup holders. They are eight points behind the top four after 24 games of a rather inconsistent season. 33 is the special number for United. That’s the number of league goals they have both scored and conceded and their total number of points. If they are to again qualify for Europe, they need to cut down the number of goals currently being conceded.
Brentford are still dreaming of European football next season, perhaps even playing in the Champions League. The Bees are only five points adrift of fourth place and just four of fifth if that’s again good enough to secure Champions League football. As you will read in the form section of this preview, they’d be much higher but for their away form, though that has shown improvement in recent weeks.
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Newcastle v Brentford Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.68 | 3.82 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.6 | 3.46 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Brentford?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Brentford match is: both teams score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Newcastle and Brentford in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.22% for a win of Newcastle against Brentford with odds of 2.12 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Brentford is 13.66% with odds of 3.75 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Newcastle with odds of 3.82 at Melbet.
Newcastle - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Brentford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 44.12% | 3.82 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.71% | 2.28 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 62.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Brentford/Brentford | 15.33% | 6 at Bet365 |
Newcastle vs Brentford Form
Newcastle and Brentford's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 |
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
Newcastle and Brentford Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
Newcastle vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
16 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - Brentford: Form Analysis
Newcastle United have lost their last two games in the EPL. Their most recent league fixture saw them beaten 4-1 at Liverpool. That followed a disappointing home loss to Aston Villa, their third home league defeat of the season.
Defensive problems for United.
The Magpies have only earned one point from their last three league games. Seven of their 12 home Premier League fixtures have been won but they have conceded seven goals in the last four. Both teams have scored in each of their last three matches.
Only Wolves and Burnley have lost more away Premier League fixtures this season than Brentford. That’s not the kind of statistic that is often written about a team that has Champions League aspirations.
There is hope though because the Bees may have lost eight times on their Premier League travels but have won three of the last four. Last weekend saw them win 1-0 at Aston Villa following victories at Wolves and Everton. Seven of the last eight games between these clubs saw both teams score.
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Newcastle against Brentford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Ramsdale
DefenderL. Shahar
A. Murphy
D. Burn
J. Ramsey
A. Elanga
W. Osula
N. Woltemade
S. Neave
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderE. Pinnock
N. Collins
A. Hickey
MidfielderY. Yarmoliuk
R. Donovan
M. Damsgaard
R. Nelson
K. Furo
Missing players
F. Schar
MidfielderL. Miley
ForwardJoelinton
J. Dasilva
F. Carvalho
A. Milambo
Newcastle & Brentford Squad Analysis
Following the visit of Brentford, Newcastle have four successive away league and cup games. After losing their grip on the Carabao Cup in midweek, the Magpies are in danger of seeing their hopes of another season in European football fade away.
United have conceded seven goals at Liverpool and Manchester City in the past week. Home form is inconsistent too with both Bournemouth and Leeds recently scoring three goals against them.
Wissa needs to score more goals.
A stronger defensive display is definitely needed this weekend. Up front they have some problems too with Anthony Gordon suffering a hamstring injury in the loss at Manchester City in midweek. Yoanne Wissa will play against his former club but is struggling with one goal in his last ten games.
Brentford have improved their away performances of late and will be confident of exploiting any problems the home side has here. The Bees will be without midfielder Kevin Schade who is suspended after last weekend's dismissal at Villa.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Brentford
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
I. Thiago
(22 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
M. Damsgaard
(4 Assists)
, 
V. Janelt
(4 Assists)
Newcastle - Brentford Key Points
- Both teams have scored in eight of the last nine games between Newcastle and Brentford.
- Of the ten previous Newcastle home games against Brentford, eight saw both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in each of Newcastle's last three fixtures.
- Brentford have scored in three of their last four away league games. Newcastle have scored in all but two of their last 12 home matches.
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Our Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction
Brentford travel to Newcastle and are above their opponents in the Premier League table. But for poor away form earlier in the season, the Bees would be in the top five. Recent away performances have improved and they will be a tough side for United to face this weekend.
Newcastle are in a key section of their season. They need to get back to winning ways with games in the Premier League, ECL and FA Cup. They are conceding far too many goals at present. Our Newcastle v Brentford prediction is both teams score.
Newcastle vs Brentford Alternative Predictions
Second half to have most goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Brentford
| Newcastle vs Brentford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 1.78 | 2.12 | +19.1% |
| Draw | 4.04 | 3.75 | -7.2% |
| Brentford wins | 4.88 | 3.82 | -21.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 21.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 20.5% and is now 26.2% (5.7%)
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Newcastle vs Brentford - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
