Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Newcastle United and Bournemouth are both eyeing late fights for places in Europe in the last six Premier League rounds. Both start the 33rd round in the bottom half, with Bournemouth 11th on 45 points and hosts Newcastle United 14th, six points below the top six. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
The two major talking points ahead of this game will be Bournemouth’s win at Arsenal last time out and the two managers’ positions. Though placed low, Bournemouth threw the title race wide open after beating Arsenal at the Emirates. That result couldn’t be celebrated a lot in light of the announcement that manager Andoni Iraola will be leaving the Cherries at the end of the season.
On the other hand, Newcastle United have been on a poor run, and the man in charge there, Eddie Howe, is said to be serving his final days at the club. An interesting angle to this is that the Magpies are rumored to be Iraola’s next employers.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Newcastle v Bournemouth Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.18 | 3.75 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.58 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.6 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.7 | 3 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Bournemouth match is: draw or Bournemouth.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Newcastle and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.82% for a win of Newcastle against Bournemouth with odds of 2.27 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Bournemouth is 38.17% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Newcastle with odds of 3.35 at 888Starz.
Newcastle - Bournemouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Bournemouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 41.01% | 3.35 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.29% | 1.6 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 74.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bournemouth | 19.28% | 8.25 at LSbet |
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Form
Newcastle and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
Newcastle and Bournemouth Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Newcastle United are enduring a tough period in their season, one that threatens to end their hopes for European football. Ahead of this match, the Magpies are dealing with a three-match winless run in all competitions.
They’ve lost all three matches, the most recent a painful one as they relinquished an 80th-minute lead to lose 2-1 to Crystal Palace. With only one win and four defeats recorded in six competitive matches, this isn’t unfolding well for Eddie Howe. The fact that they’ve lost four of the last five league matches at home doesn’t aid in easing pressure on the manager.
The reverse meeting between these sides in September ended 0-0.
Bournemouth will start this round three points behind sixth, and their ambitions for Europe remain achievable. They haven’t lost a Premier League game against Newcastle United in their last six meetings. However, their 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture was the fourth instance they shared spoils in that period.
The Cherries come here on a high and looking to extend their unbeaten EPL run against Newcastle. They defeated league leaders Arsenal 2-1 last time out to record their 13th undefeated match in all competitions. That streak had eight draws, though, and three of them were goalless.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Newcastle against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Pope
DefenderA. Murphy
K. Trippier
D. Burn
B. Guimaraes
J. Willock
Y. Wissa
J. Murphy
N. Woltemade
C. Mandas
DefenderA. Smith
B. Diakite
MidfielderD. Brooks
A. Toth
T. Adams
A. Adli
B. Doak
E. Unal
Missing players
F. Schar
E. Krafth
ForwardJoelinton
A. Gordon
J. Soler
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderL. Cook
ForwardJ. Kluivert
Newcastle & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Newcastle United will miss the services of a few key players in this game. As Bruno Guimaraes continues with his recovery from a muscle injury, his Brazilian counterpart Joelinton will be suspended. Joelinton, who started against Palace, received his 10th yellow card of the season.
Emil Krafth is still nursing a knee injury and is out for the season remainder, as earlier communicated. The Swede has only played 45 minutes this season, and Fabian Schar, who got him in the treatment room, is scheduled to leave earlier. The Swiss defender will, however, miss this game too, as his ankle hasn’t healed yet.
Bournemouth’s Julio Soler, dealing with a hamstring injury, is a major doubt for this game.
At Bournemouth, Junior Kroupi will be a man in focus after the Frenchman got his 10th league goal of the season last time out. He opened the scoring in the win against Arsenal after earning his 15th start of the campaign. The Frenchman has done his international chances a big favor with the World Cup approaching and Hugo Ekitike out injured.
While his 6.61 xG heading into this game makes him a favorite to score, he needs to avoid a fifth booking of the season in this match. The Cherries will be without Lewis Cook (hamstring) and Justin Kluivert (knee).
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Bournemouth
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
Newcastle - Bournemouth Key Points
- Six times in the last 10 meetings, these sides drew.
- Eight of Bournemouth’s last 12 matches were drawn.
- Seven of Newcastle’s last 10 league matches ended in defeat.
- Newcastle United have lost or drawn five of their last six matches.
- Bournemouth won three and drew twice in their last five away league games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction
Newcastle United are still chasing their European dream, and the same has come onto Bournemouth’s radar after recent performances. That makes this a key game for both sides, and as such, we expect a very competitive outing.
Bournemouth will go into the match as the in-form side, but this encounter has produced more draws in recent meetings. Given Newcastle United’s struggles in the Premier League, they are likely to be short of confidence. Our prediction for Newcastle United v Bournemouth is a double chance: draw or Bournemouth.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Alternative Predictions
Draw
In January, Newcastle United managed their first win against Bournemouth in four years. That wasn’t outright but through post-match penalties after a 2-2 draw in the FA Cup. Draws have been common in this encounter, six of the last 10 meetings seeing spoils shared.
The likelihood of a draw here remains high, with the most in-form side, Bournemouth, registering six such results in eight league games. Our second prediction here is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Bournemouth
| Newcastle vs Bournemouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 1.88 | 2.27 | +20.7% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 3.8 | -3.8% |
| Bournemouth wins | 3.75 | 3.35 | -10.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bournemouth is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 29.9% (3.2%)
Newcastle vs Bournemouth - FAQs
The Newcastle United v Bournemouth match will be played on Saturday, 18th April.
The Newcastle United v Bournemouth match will be played at St. James’ Park.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
