Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Prediction
Newcastle United and Arsenal are back in Premier League action this weekend with the former hosting Saturday’s round 11 fixture. The two teams are separated by seven points in the standings with second-placed Arsenal having the advantage over Newcastle in sixth.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.1 | 2.62 |
|
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Who will win the Newcastle vs Arsenal Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Newcastle and Arsenal of Premier League on 11/4/23 :
- There is a probability of 45.04% ⭐ for Newcastle to win this match against Arsenal ⚽ with odds of 2.8 found at Bet365.
- NetBet ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.1 which implies a probability of 17.9%.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Arsenal to win the match are about 2.7 at Bet365. That means a probability of 37.06%.
Newcastle - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle is favoured to win | 45.04 % | 2.8 |
| Draw | 17.9 % | 3.1 |
| Arsenal wins the game | 37.06 % | 2.7 |
Newcastle vs Arsenal Form
Newcastle and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 61 |
|
6
|
57 | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
Newcastle and Arsenal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
28 Oct 2023 - Premier League
25 Oct 2023 - Champions League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
4 Oct 2023 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
28 Oct 2023 - Premier League
24 Oct 2023 - Champions League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
3 Oct 2023 - Champions League
Newcastle against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 May 2023 - Premier League
3 Jan 2023 - Premier League
16 May 2022 - Premier League
27 Nov 2021 - Premier League
2 May 2021 - Premier League
18 Jan 2021 - Premier League
Newcastle - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Newcastle secured a resounding victory over Manchester United in midweek in the League Cup. Eddie Howe’s men were much changed at Old Trafford and still won 3-0. The result saw them get back to winning ways after two matches without a victory. Newcastle have amassed 17 points after 10 rounds of play and sit five points outside of the top five. They have won five of their fixtures with four of those coming with them as the home side. The Magpies drew 2-2 away to Wolves last time out in the league.
Arsenal were also in League Cup action on Wednesday. The Gunners however had an unfortunate outing as they succumbed to a 3-1 defeat away to West Ham. The loss was only their second this season across all competitions and Mikel Arteta’s men will be keen for an immediate response. Arsenal are one of two teams yet to lose a Premier League match this season. They sit two points off the pace after
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Newcastle against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
K. Trippier
S. Botman
J. Lascelles
M. Targett
F. Schar
MidfielderS. Tonali
L. Miley
J. Willock
ForwardC. Wilson
J. Timber
Newcastle & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Newcastle have a long injury list which was added to in midweek after Matt Target limped off injured against Manchester United. The hosts have had to do without Alexander Isak, Jacob Murphy, Sven Botman, Elliot Anderson, Javier Manquillo, and Harvey Barnes due to injury. Summer signing Sandro Tonali is also unavailable as he is suspended after breaching betting rules. Isak’s potential absence is a big blow for Newcastle as he has been in rich form upfront. Callum Wilson, scorer of seven league goals so far, should lead the line again here.
Arsenal have also had to deal with the absence of key players due to injury. Gabriel Jesus and Thomas Partey are out of this match while Jurrien Timber remains a long-term absentee. Academy graduate Emile Smith Rowe is the latest addition to the Gunners’ treatment room. The Englishman is expected to be out for a lengthy spell due to a knee issue. In the absence of Gabriel Jesus, Eddie Nketiah has led the visitors’ attack. The forward scored his first Premier League hat-trick last weekend in the 5-0 win over Sheffield and has five league goals thus far.
Newcastle - Arsenal Key Points
- Three of Arsenal’s last five matches have seen both teams score
- Arsenal haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last four away matches which have all seen both teams score
- Newcastle have conceded in three of their last five games with two of those seeing both teams score
- Both teams have scored in two of Newcastle’s five league matches at home this season
- Both Arsenal and Newcastle have scored more than 20 goals each in the league after 10 matches
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Our Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction
Our prediction for Newcastle United v Arsenal is for both teams to score. Both Newcastle and Arsenal have been in excellent offensive form this season. The two have scored with much ease and we expect this to continue as both teams’ defences have been porous lately.
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