New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Ita Emmanuel | in NBA Predictions
New York hosts San Antonio again in Game 4 of the NBA Finals series tonight. The Knicks, leading the series 2–1, will look to clap back and re-extend their lead after Monday's setback. With an impressive 13–1 record across their last 14 playoff games, they head into this contest as favorites against a San Antonio side that has dropped five of their last nine outings. This is why our prediction favors the home team.
After sweeping their two-game roadstand in San Antonio, the New York Knicks fell below expectations on Monday against a determined San Antonio Spurs side. They trailed by 11 points in the opening period, then rallied back to erase the deficit and establish a seven-point lead heading into halftime.
However, Mike Brown's side found themselves trailing again at the end of the third quarter and eventually fell by just four points at the final buzzer. Despite that setback, the Knickerbockers are back tonight as favorites and will count on their formidable home record this postseason to move within one game of clinching the NBA crown. What are their chances? Continue reading as we explain further.
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New York Knicks v San Antonio Spurs Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.74 | 2.15 |
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1.72 | 2.12 |
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1.73 | 2.12 |
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1.77 | 2.1 |
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1.77 | 2.1 |
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Who will win the New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Basketball game?
Our prediction for the New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs match is: New York Knicks wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs game on 10/06/2026 of the current NBA season:
- New York Knicks has a 56.05% chance to pick up the win against San Antonio Spurs according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.77.
- There is a probability of 43.95% ⭐ for San Antonio Spurs to win vs New York Knicks with odds of 2.15 at Bet365.
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Form
New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
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0/6 (0%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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New York Knicks - San Antonio Spurs: Form Analysis
The New York Knicks fell to a narrow 115–111 defeat on Monday, with Stephon Castle's late free throws helping seal the win for the San Antonio Spurs. However, that result only ended the Knicks' terrific winning run this postseason, spanning 13 games.
The Mike Brown-led team will be confident of returning to winning ways here. They haven't only enjoyed an impressive postseason run, but have also turned Madison Square Garden into a near-fortress against the San Antonio Spurs, taking six of the last seven meetings between the two sides at the venue. The Knickerbockers have also picked up five wins in their last six home games.
No NBA team has ever lost the NBA Finals after winning the opening two games on the road
The San Antonio Spurs snapped their back-to-back opening defeats in this series with Monday's victory. However, the Spurs' overall postseason form stands in stark contrast to the New York Knicks' They have dropped five of their last nine games and a poor record in their previous seven visits to Madison Square Garden points to another tough test tonight.
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Players list
J. Hart
J. Brunson
M. Bridges
K. Towns
O. Anunoby
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
Substitutes
M. McBride
T. Kolek
J. Alvarado
J. Clarkson
L. Shamet
M. Diawara
J. Sochan
P. Dadiet
D. Harper
J. McLaughlin
L. Waters III
H. Barnes
C. Bryant
New York Knicks & San Antonio Spurs Squad Analysis
Jalen Brunson was crucial for the New York Knicks on Monday, scoring a joint-game-leading 32 points on 11-of-25 shooting from the field and is available to lead the charge for the hosts' expected response. Ogugua Anunoby also shone bright for the Knicks, adding 28 points on 9-of-13 shooting – his best playoff tally so far since recovering from a muscle injury.
Karl-Anthony Towns got held to just 11 points in Game 3, marking his second-lowest scoring record in the playoffs. Nevertheless, the clutch center remains a priority option for Mike Brown and is expected back in the starting lineup tonight.
Victor Wembanyama leads this NBA Finals in scoring with 87 points
Victor Wembanyama stole the spotlight again on Monday after exploding for 32 points to lead the San Antonio Spurs' triumph. That tally marked the French center's highest points in the last six games.
Wembanyama is available to champion the Spurs' offense alongside Stephon Castle, who added 23 points for San Antonio, including clutch free throws that sealed the visitors' win. The New York Knicks will also have to keep tabs on Dylan Harper who grabbed nine rebounds to keep San Antonio Spurs competitive throughout Game 3.
New York Knicks - San Antonio Spurs Key Points
- The New York Knicks have won 13 of their last 14 playoff games.
- The Knicks have won five of their last six home games.
- The San Antonio Spurs have lost five of their last nine games.
- The Spurs have lost six of their last seven NBA away games against the New York Knicks.
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Our New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
It is hard to fancy back-to-back wins at Madison Square Garden for the San Antonio Spurs. This is why bookmakers are generally skeptical about their chances heading into this clash. Beyond that, the Spurs have found themselves struggling for consistency throughout these playoffs.
Meanwhile, the New York Knicks will be eager not only to avenge Monday's defeat but re-extend their lead. They have shown enough consistency to make that happen, with their dominant recent home record against the Spurs also worth noting. Our New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs prediction : New York Knicks wins.
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Alternative Predictions
Victor Wembanyama to score at least 25 points
Victor Wembanyama has arguably been the best player in this NBA finals despite the San Antonio Spurs trailing. He has tallied the highest number of points, averaging 29 points per game.
If your team in the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs game takes a 20-point lead, you win!

If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.