New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Major League Soccer
USA - Major League Soccer
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by Nella Wagah | in Major League Soccer Predictions
Toronto FC will take their chase for a playoff spot to New York when they face New York City FC next in the MLS. Heading into this encounter, NY City are fifth, seven places ahead of Toronto, with nine points separating them. With two straight wins ahead of this match, our prediction backs New York to win.
A third win on the bounce will see New York City leap above Chicago Fire to go fourth. The hosts saw off Fire 3-1 in the last round, and their prospects at home look even better.
They have recorded four wins in their nine home league games, and the latest ones were the last two they hosted. In this home form, we see New York extending their impressive record against Toronto.
Toronto have suffered six straight losses in matches against New York City. The first in that list was a Leagues Cup affair, but each of the last five were in the league
That will not be the only statistic the Canadians try to change in this encounter; they have also gone winless in the last 12 matches. Across their last nine outings, Toronto were beaten six times.
There isn’t much hope coming from their away record either, with the visitors currently on three losses in five on the road and failing to score in those defeats.
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New York City v Toronto FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.64 | 3.95 | 4.7 |
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1.65 | 4.37 | 5.06 |
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1.62 | 4.26 | 4.94 |
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1.62 | 4.26 | 4.94 |
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1.62 | 4.26 | 4.94 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between New York City and Toronto FC?
Our prediction for the New York City vs Toronto FC match is: New York City FC wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/07/2026 between New York City and Toronto FC in Major League Soccer :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.8% for a win of New York City against Toronto FC with odds of 1.68 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between New York City vs Toronto FC is 26.2% with odds of 4.37 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22% chance ⭐ for a win of Toronto FC vs New York City with odds of 5.25 at LSbet.
New York City vs Toronto FC Form
New York City and Toronto FC's standings in the Major League Soccer
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
25 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +7 |
|
26
|
16 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -8 |
New York City and Toronto FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
22 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
23 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
20 May 2026 - US Open Cup
16 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
13 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
10 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
3 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
22 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer
18 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer
4 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
23 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
20 May 2026 - US Open Cup
16 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
13 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
29 Apr 2026 - US Open Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
22 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
16 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
23 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
16 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
9 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
5 May 2026 - Canadian Championship
2 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
25 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer
22 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer
18 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
22 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
16 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer
23 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
16 May 2026 - Major League Soccer
8 Mar 2026 - Major League Soccer
New York City vs Toronto FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer
26 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
11 May 2024 - Major League Soccer
16 Mar 2024 - Major League Soccer
24 Sept 2023 - Major League Soccer
26 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
New York City vs Toronto FC last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
T. Romero
DefenderM. Ilenic
MidfielderM. Carrizo
H. Wolf
K. Pierre
ForwardTalles Magno
M. Murray
S. Reid
A. Farnos
W. Yarbrough
A. De Rosario
MidfielderA. Coello
M. Henry
D. Mihailovic
ForwardR. Edwards
D. Kerr
J. Vilsaint
Missing players
K. Trewin
Raul Gustavo
D. Baiera
MidfielderM. Moralez
K. Parks
A. O'Neill
ForwardA. Martinez
K. O'Toole
M. Pereira
N. Gomis
L. Stefanovic
R. Chukwu
MidfielderN. Palacio
M. Cimermancic
Most goals and assists
New York City - Toronto FC Key Points
- Toronto are winless in their last 12 matches.
- New York City have won back-to-back matches.
- New York won 14 of their total 25 points at home.
- Toronto suffered six defeats in their last nine away matches.
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Our New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction
Toronto FC have a poor run against NY City and in the city of New York in general. They come into this encounter having lost each of their last six meetings with New York City FC and only one of them was not in the MLS. That run aside, Toronto are winless in their last 12 matches across all competitions.
They suffered defeat in six of their last nine matches. Meanwhile, NYCFC will be going in search of their third straight win. Our prediction for New York City FC v Toronto FC is that New York City FC wins.
Get up to €100 to bet on the New York City vs. Toronto FC game

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.