New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

New York City
31/07/2026 19:30
Toronto FC

Prediction :

 

New York City wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Major League Soccer Predictions

Toronto FC will take their chase for a playoff spot to New York when they face New York City FC next in the MLS. Heading into this encounter, NY City are fifth, seven places ahead of Toronto, with nine points separating them. With two straight wins ahead of this match, our prediction backs New York to win.

A third win on the bounce will see New York City leap above Chicago Fire to go fourth. The hosts saw off Fire 3-1 in the last round, and their prospects at home look even better.

They have recorded four wins in their nine home league games, and the latest ones were the last two they hosted. In this home form, we see New York extending their impressive record against Toronto.

Toronto have suffered six straight losses in matches against New York City. The first in that list was a Leagues Cup affair, but each of the last five were in the league

That will not be the only statistic the Canadians try to change in this encounter; they have also gone winless in the last 12 matches. Across their last nine outings, Toronto were beaten six times.

There isn’t much hope coming from their away record either, with the visitors currently on three losses in five on the road and failing to score in those defeats.

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New York City v Toronto FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.64 3.95 4.7
1xbet
1.65 4.37 5.06
Melbet
1.62 4.26 4.94
Betwinner
1.62 4.26 4.94
22bet
1.62 4.26 4.94
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What is the prediction for the football match between New York City and Toronto FC?

Our prediction for the New York City vs Toronto FC match is: New York City FC wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/07/2026 between New York City and Toronto FC in Major League Soccer :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.8% for a win of New York City against Toronto FC with odds of 1.68 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between New York City vs Toronto FC is 26.2% with odds of 4.37 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22% chance ⭐ for a win of Toronto FC vs New York City with odds of 5.25 at LSbet.

New York City vs Toronto FC Form

New York City and Toronto FC's standings in the Major League Soccer

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 New York City
25 17 7 4 6 +7
26 Toronto FC
16 17 3 7 7 -8

New York City and Toronto FC Last Matches

New York City
New York City Last matches
W D L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
3 :  1
Chicago Fire

22 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
1 :  2
New York City

23 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
2 :  1
New York City

20 May 2026 - US Open Cup

Columbus Crew
1 :  0
New York City

16 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  1
New York City

13 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
0 :  1
New York City
D L D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
3 :  1
Chicago Fire

10 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
3 :  0
Columbus Crew

3 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
0 :  2
DC United

22 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
4 :  4
FC Cincinnati

18 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  2
Charlotte FC

4 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York City
1 :  1
Saint Louis City SC
W W D L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
1 :  2
New York City

23 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Nashville SC
2 :  1
New York City

20 May 2026 - US Open Cup

Columbus Crew
1 :  0
New York City

16 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls
1 :  1
New York City

13 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
0 :  1
New York City

29 Apr 2026 - US Open Cup

New York Red Bulls
1 :  3
New York City
Toronto FC
Toronto FC Last matches
L L L D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

DC United
2 :  1
Toronto FC

22 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
0 :  0
Toronto FC

16 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
0 :  0
Toronto FC

23 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  1
Toronto FC

16 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
3 :  1
Toronto FC

9 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  4
Inter Miami
D D L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  4
Inter Miami

5 May 2026 - Canadian Championship

Toronto FC
1 :  3
Atletico Ottawa

2 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  1
San Jose Earthquakes

25 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
1 :  2
Atlanta United Fc

22 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Philadelphia Union

18 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Austin FC
W L L D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

DC United
2 :  1
Toronto FC

22 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

New England Revolution
0 :  0
Toronto FC

16 Jul 2026 - Major League Soccer

CF Montreal
0 :  0
Toronto FC

23 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
2 :  1
Toronto FC

16 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
3 :  1
Toronto FC

8 Mar 2026 - Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati
0 :  1
Toronto FC

New York City vs Toronto FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

New York City

100 %

Draw

0 %

Toronto FC

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.83
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

3 Jul 2025 - Major League Soccer

New York City
3 :  1
Toronto FC

26 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
0 :  1
New York City

11 May 2024 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
2 :  3
New York City

16 Mar 2024 - Major League Soccer

New York City
2 :  1
Toronto FC

24 Sept 2023 - Major League Soccer

New York City
3 :  0
Toronto FC

26 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup

New York City
5 :  0
Toronto FC
New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction

New York City vs Toronto FC last Lineups

New York City

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

8
A. Perea
6
J. Sands
49
M. Freese
24
T. Gray
7
N. Fernandez
9
B. Traore
26
A. Ojeda
32
J. Shore
88
M. Jones
2
N. Cavallo
13
T. Martins
17
E. Aristizabal
11
D. Etienne
7
T. Corbeanu
20
D. Salloi
21
J. Osorio
22
R. Laryea
19
K. Franklin
38
J. Gilman
25
W. Zimmerman
12
Z. Monlouis
1
L. Gavran

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Toronto FC

Substitutes

New York City
New York City
Goalkeeper

T. Romero

Defender

M. Ilenic

Midfielder

M. Carrizo

H. Wolf

K. Pierre

Forward

Talles Magno

M. Murray

S. Reid

A. Farnos

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Goalkeeper

W. Yarbrough

A. De Rosario

Midfielder

A. Coello

M. Henry

D. Mihailovic

Forward

R. Edwards

D. Kerr

J. Vilsaint

Missing players

New York City
New York City
Defender

K. Trewin

Raul Gustavo

D. Baiera

Midfielder

M. Moralez

K. Parks

A. O'Neill

Forward

A. Martinez

K. O'Toole

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Defender

M. Pereira

N. Gomis

L. Stefanovic

R. Chukwu

Midfielder

N. Palacio

M. Cimermancic

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato New York City
CD Huachipato Toronto FC
Top Goalscorer
Argentina N. Fernandez (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Hungary D. Salloi (4 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina M. Moralez (6 Assists)
Best assists
Canada J. Osorio (3 Assists)
Hungary D. Salloi (3 Assists)
Spain A. Coello (3 Assists)

New York City - Toronto FC Key Points

  1. Toronto are winless in their last 12 matches.
  2. New York City have won back-to-back matches.
  3. New York won 14 of their total 25 points at home.
  4. Toronto suffered six defeats in their last nine away matches.
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Our New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction

Toronto FC have a poor run against NY City and in the city of New York in general. They come into this encounter having lost each of their last six meetings with New York City FC and only one of them was not in the MLS. That run aside, Toronto are winless in their last 12 matches across all competitions.

They suffered defeat in six of their last nine matches. Meanwhile, NYCFC will be going in search of their third straight win. Our prediction for New York City FC v Toronto FC is that New York City FC wins.

Prediction :

 

New York City wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.