Napoli vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Two straight draws have left Napoli worse off in the Serie A title race, and they hope to address it when they host Parma. Napoli are third in the standings with 39 points, while Parma are 14th on 21 points. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
While Napoli are coming off another winless outing, they will be happy at the effort. Twice against Inter Milan, Napoli had to come from behind to earn a point in a 2-2 draw.
I Partenopei remain four points behind the league leaders, and competing teams are now closing in. Having David Neres out injured, Juan Jesus suspended, and Antonio Conte banned from the touchline here won’t be very helpful to Napoli’s ambitions.
Parma completed their own comeback in a 2-1 win away to Lecce and will want to get on the front foot here. They staged an impressive second-half revival to record their fifth league win of the season.
Having only lost one of their last four league matches, the visitors will be lining up a possible upset at Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. The last time they faced Napoli, Parma forced a 0-0 draw, though by then Napoli had already been confirmed champions.
Parma’s last win against Napoli was in 2020. They will be confident of troubling their hosts again, having won 10 of the last available 12 points away in the league.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Parma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.2 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.9 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.6 | 11 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Parma?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Parma match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/01/2026 between Napoli and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.39% for a win of Napoli against Parma with odds of 1.33 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Parma is 22.28% with odds of 5.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Napoli with odds of 11.9 at 888Starz.
Napoli - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 57.39% | 1.33 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 54.09% | 2.06 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Napoli/Napoli | 24.39% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Napoli vs Parma Form
Napoli and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
40 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +13 |
|
14
|
22 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -8 |
Napoli and Parma Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
Napoli vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
31 Jan 2021 - Serie A
20 Sept 2020 - Serie A
22 Jul 2020 - Serie A
14 Dec 2019 - Serie A
Napoli against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Ferrante
N. Contini
DefenderS. Beukema
M. Gutierrez
L. Marianucci
L. Spinazzola
A. Vergara
E. Elmas
L. Lucca
G. Ambrosino
D. Neres
E. Corvi
G. Casentini
DefenderD. Drobnic
E. Valeri
E. Del Prato
A. Bernabe
G. Oristanio
B. Cremaschi
ForwardM. Pellegrino
A. Benedyczak
M. Djuric
Missing players
J. Jesus
MidfielderK. De Bruyne
F. Anguissa
B. Gilmour
L. Hasa
ForwardR. Lukaku
V. Guaita
Z. Suzuki
DefenderN. Ndiaye
M. Lovik
ForwardP. Almqvist
M. Frigan
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Parma
R. Hojlund
(6 Goals)
M. Pellegrino
(6 Goals)
M. Politano
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Mctominay
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Neres
(3 Assists)
A. Benedyczak
(2 Assists)
, 
S. Britschgi
(2 Assists)
Napoli - Parma Key Points
- Parma scored in each of their last six away matches.
- Napoli conceded twice in each of their last two matches.
- In three of Napoli’s last five home games, both teams scored.
- Both teams scored in four of Parma’s last five away league games.
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Our Napoli vs Parma Prediction
Parma have only lost twice in their last eight away matches and will feel there are a lot of positives to take from that record. They have a good scoring run in their latest away league matches too. Though traveling to a tough venue for visitors, Parma will still have their hopes high.
As for Napoli, the pressure is going a notch higher, and they’ve been struggling to keep clean sheets. In their last two games alone, they conceded four times. However, they haven't seemed to have problems in attack. As such, our prediction for Napoli v Parma is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Parma
| Napoli vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.3 | 1.33 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 5.6 | 5.6 | 0% |
| Parma wins | 11 | 11.9 | +8.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 75.2% (-1.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Parma game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
