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26 May 2024 - 11:00 

- Day 38

Italy - Serie A

Napoli
VS
Lecce

Prediction :

Draw

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Napoli vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Serie A Predictions

Napoli will end their season at home with a Serie A game against Lecce this Sunday. It hasn’t been a great season for Napoli, but at least they can finish in the top half, while Lecce managed to secure their Serie A spot. After their fine run to win the league title last season, Napoli were expected to put up a big fight this term. However, they were easily dethroned and are a shadow of the side that won the league title last season. Napoli have so far managed just 13 wins, not even half of what they managed last term. That they are 41 points behind the new champions says all about Napoli’s season. Heading into this game, Napoli haven't won any of their last six matches. They failed to protect an early lead against Fiorentina last time out and eventually had to come from down to draw 2-2. Their win over Monza early in April stands as their only victory in the last 11 matches. They haven't kept a clean sheet either in their last 18 matches. Playing at home doesn’t offer much guarantee either, with Napoli failing to win any of the last five.

With eight wins so far in the league, Lecce have already matched their tally for last season. They’ve also bettered their tally of 36 points last season and as a result, survival is already assured. Heading into this game, Lecce are four points above the drop zone with a game to go. They will be looking to end a three-game winless run against Napoli here. In their last meeting, Lecce suffered a 4-0 loss, marking the first time in five games that they failed to score in this fixture. They will take heart in the fact no home team has won this fixture in the last six meetings. In their last two visits to Naples, Lecce collected four points in a 1-1 draw and a 3-2 win. They’ve however managed just a win in the last seven meetings with Napoli. Right ahead of this game, Lecce lost back-to-back games, at home to Atalanta and Udinese. These results left them without a win in the last four matches. This promises to be another tough game for Lecce, who have managed just two wins in 18 away league matches this season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Lecce Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
7 1.18 15
Ladbrokes
1.36 5 8
NetBet
1.32 5.2 7.75
1xbet
1.15 7.21 10
22bet
1.15 7.21 10
Betwinner
1.36 5.45 7.4
Melbet
1.37 5.45 7.1
Tonybet
1.44 5 6.8
Check all Napoli vs Lecce odds
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What is SportyTrader's prediction for the football match between Napoli and Lecce?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 5/26/24 between Napoli and Lecce in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.19% for a win of Napoli against Lecce with odds of 7 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Lecce is 34.99% with odds of 7.21 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Napoli with odds of 15 at Bet365.

Napoli - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:

Napoli vs Lecce prediction

Probability

Best Odds
Napoli wins the match39.19 %7
Draw34.99 %7.21
Lecce wins the match25.82 %15

Napoli vs Lecce Form

Napoli and Lecce's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10
Napoli
Napoli
53 38 13 14 11 7
14
Lecce
Lecce
38 38 8 14 16 -22

Napoli and Lecce Last Matches

Napoli
Napoli Last matches
D L D D L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

17 May 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Napoli

11 May 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  2
Bologna

6 May 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Napoli

28 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Roma

20 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
1 :  0
Napoli

14 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Frosinone
Lecce
Lecce Last matches
W W D D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

18 May 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Atalanta

13 May 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Udinese

5 May 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Lecce

27 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Monza

21 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  3
Lecce

13 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Empoli

Napoli against Lecce : Head to Head (H2H)

Napoli

60 %

Draw

20 %

Lecce

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.8
BTTS
80%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.6
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.2
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5
20%

30 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Napoli

7 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Napoli

31 Aug 2022 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  1
Lecce

9 Feb 2020 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  3
Lecce

22 Sep 2019 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  4
Napoli
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Napoli against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11

Napoli

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
A. Meret
22
G. Di Lorenzo
55
L. Ostigard
5
J. Jesus
17
M. Olivera
99
F. Anguissa
68
S. Lobotka
24
J. Cajuste
21
M. Politano
18
G. Simeone
77
K. Kvaratskhelia
9
N. Krstovic
18
M. Berisha
13
P. Dorgu
20
Y. Ramadani
29
A. Blin
7
P. Almqvist
25
A. Gallo
5
M. Pongracic
6
F. Baschirotto
17
V. Gendrey
30
W. Falcone

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Lecce

Missing players

Napoli
Napoli
Defender

M. Rui

Midfielder

P. Zielinski

Lecce
Lecce
Defender

K. Dermaku

Midfielder

M. Kaba

Forward

L. Banda

N. Sansone

Napoli - Lecce Key Points

  1. Lecce have two wins in 18 away league matches this season
  2. Lecce have no win in their last four matches, drawing twice
  3. Napoli have no win in their last six matches, drawing four
  4. In the last eight home matches, Napoli played to five draws
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Our Napoli vs Lecce Prediction

Napoli have had a tough season and even to their final game, they don’t carry a great run. Most of their recent matches have ended in draws, while they haven't done much better at home. They face a Lecce side also on an unstable run, without many wins in recent matches. Without much to achieve in the season remainder, we don’t expect either side to put up a huge fight. Our prediction for Napoli v Lecce is for the game to end in a draw.

Prediction :

Draw

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Napoli vs Lecce Prediction

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