Napoli vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Napoli’s unbeaten home run will be on the line when they host Lazio in their next Serie A game. Going by recent results, it seems Napoli will have to contend with finishing second while Lazio are currently 13 points below the top six. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
A 1-1 draw with Parma left huge consequences for Napoli in the last round. They have now fallen nine points behind league leaders Inter Milan. With six games to go, the title race seems almost over.
The one stat that Napoli have managed to hold on to well is their home form. Partenopei are the only remaining unbeaten side at home in the league (11W, 4D).
As Napoli’s title defense took a hit, so did Lazio’s top-six hopes as they suffered a 1-0 defeat to Fiorentina. That was their second straight winless league game.
With 18 points to fight for, their hopes for Europe are as good as dead. Lazio’s case is made even tougher by an unimpressive away record, having only won once in the last six away league games.
Generally, this season Le Aquile haven’t been strong on the road, winning just four of 16 matches. They, however, hold a three-game winning run when visiting Napoli.
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Napoli v Lazio Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.56 | 4 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.88 | 7 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.88 | 7 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.52 | 3.8 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Lazio?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Lazio match is: Napoli wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Napoli and Lazio in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.04% for a win of Napoli against Lazio with odds of 1.59 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Lazio is 38.34% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Napoli with odds of 7.32 at 888Starz.
Napoli - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Lazio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 46.04% | 1.59 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 57.49% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Napoli/Napoli | 18.76% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
Napoli vs Lazio Form
Napoli and Lazio's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
76 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 |
|
9
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 |
Napoli and Lazio Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
6 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
6 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
10 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
9 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
9 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
30 Jan 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
Napoli vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
2 Sept 2023 - Serie A
Napoli against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Meret
N. Contini
DefenderP. Mazzocchi
M. Gutierrez
J. Jesus
A. Rrahmani
MidfielderE. Elmas
B. Gilmour
A. Santos
Giovane
G. Giacomone
N. Pannozzo
DefenderL. Pellegrini
O. Provstgaard
E. Hysaj
Patric
F. Dele-Bashiru
A. Przyborek
R. Belahyane
ForwardPedro
P. Ratkov
G. Isaksen
B. Dia
D. Maldini
Missing players
R. Lukaku
A. Furlanetto
DefenderS. Gigot
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Lazio
R. Hojlund
(12 Goals)
G. Isaksen
(5 Goals)
, 
Pedro
(5 Goals)
Giovane
(6 Assists)
T. Castellanos
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Basic
(3 Assists)
Napoli - Lazio Key Points
- Lazio are winless in their last two outings.
- Napoli have won five of their last six matches.
- Napoli are unbeaten at home in Serie A, winning 11 of 15 games.
- Lazio have failed to win 12 times in 16 away league games, losing six.
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Our Napoli vs Lazio Prediction
Napoli took a costly stumble in their Serie A title defence in the last game but will still want to push Inter Milan to the final day. Beating Lazio will enhance that even though they haven’t won this fixture at home lately.
Their home should give them a reason to stay confident, being the only side in the league yet to taste a home defeat. Meanwhile, Lazio aren’t coming here with a strong away record, which gives Napoli a further edge. Our prediction for Napoli v Lazio is that Napoli wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Lazio
| Napoli vs Lazio | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.7 | 1.59 | -6.5% |
| Draw | 3.92 | 4.1 | +4.6% |
| Lazio wins | 5.78 | 7.32 | +26.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 62.9% (4.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
