Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips - Coppa Italia
Italy - Coppa Italia
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Napoli will be up against Cagliari in the round of 16 of the Coppa Italia as the Italian Serie A takes a break. The two sides have had contrasting runs ahead of this match, but both will be gunning for the win here. We have a prediction below.
Napoli overcame their injury woes to see off AS Roma 1-0 in Serie A, wrapping up a good week. They’ve now registered three straight wins and will hope to make it even better by booking a quarter-final slot in this competition.
Six times the winners in this competition, Napoli seek to clinch a first one since 2020. Last year, Napoli’s journey ended at this same stage after losing 3-1 to Lazio.
Cagliari have already lost to Napoli this season, and here they will be out to gain revenge. They fell 1-0 in their Serie A meeting and will be looking to avoid a repeat here.
The problem with that target is that they are winless in their last nine outings. The visitors suffered five defeats in those nine games. Their last win was in September, and it was in this particular competition.
That 4-1 win against Frosinone handed Cagliari their ticket to this round. Cagliari will hope for better luck this season, having lost 4-0 to Juventus at this same stage last season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Cagliari Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.39 | 4.2 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.4 | 7.32 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.4 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.28 | 8 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.3 | 7.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Cagliari?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Cagliari match is: Napoli leads at half time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/12/2025 between Napoli and Cagliari in Coppa Italia :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.25% for a win of Napoli against Cagliari with odds of 1.45 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Cagliari is 32.95% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs Napoli with odds of 8.7 at 888Starz.
Napoli - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Cagliari Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 58.25% | 1.45 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 53.07% | 1.98 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Napoli | 29.59% | 4 at Bet365 |
Napoli vs Cagliari Form
Napoli and Cagliari Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
Napoli vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 May 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2024 - Serie A
25 Feb 2024 - Serie A
16 Dec 2023 - Serie A
21 Feb 2022 - Serie A
Napoli against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
M. Ferrante
N. Contini
DefenderA. Buongiorno
A. Rrahmani
G. Di Lorenzo
MidfielderS. Lobotka
S. Mctominay
D. Neres
N. Lang
R. Hojlund
G. Ciocci
B. Radunovic
DefenderG. Zappa
N. Pintus
R. Idrissi
N. Grandu
M. Prati
N. Cavuoti
I. Sulev
J. Liteta
M. Rog
ForwardS. Esposito
M. Felici
G. Borrelli
Y. Junior Trepy
Missing players
A. Meret
DefenderM. Gutierrez
MidfielderK. De Bruyne
F. Anguissa
B. Gilmour
ForwardR. Lukaku
Ze Pedro
MidfielderL. Mazzitelli
ForwardA. Belotti
Napoli - Cagliari Key Points
- In Napoli’s last three matches, they led twice at halftime.
- Cagliari led at the break in just two of their last 10 outings.
- Napoli haven't trailed at halftime in any of their last eight games.
- Four times in Cagliari’s last nine matches, they were losing at halftime.
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Our Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction
Napoli head into this game off the back of an impressive win over the weekend. They beat Roma, who had started the weekend at the top of the league standings, and Napoli hauled themselves into joint leadership in Serie A. Going into this game, that win gives them the psychological edge, and three straight wins offer good momentum.
Their run in recent times is based on good starts to their matches and, largely, halftime leads. Cagliari, meanwhile, haven't led at the break in any of their last seven matches. Our prediction for Napoli v Cagliari is Napoli leads at half time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Cagliari
| Napoli vs Cagliari | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.33 | 1.45 | +9.0% |
| Draw | 4.9 | 4.7 | -4.1% |
| Cagliari wins | 8.25 | 8.7 | +5.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 69.0% (-6.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Cagliari game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Napoli and Cagliari? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Coppa Italia! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
