Napoli vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Deposed Serie A champions Napoli will be looking to secure second place when they host Bologna, whose European hopes hang in the balance. Napoli arrive for this match two points ahead of third-placed Juventus, while Bologna are 10th and locked out of the top six. Having posted 12 of their 21 Serie A wins at home, our prediction is for Napoli winning.
Though they finish their campaign on a low, Napoli will once again be proud of their home form. In 17 home league games, they lost just once this season.
A 0-0 draw with Como ahead of this game represents one of their low moments, having managed just a win in their last four league games.
Bologna are in worse shape. The visitors have failed to score in their last three league matches, losing twice.
After the back-to-back defeats to Roma and Juventus, though, a 0-0 draw with Cagliari will sound like an improvement. However, 14 defeats in 31 league games will call for Bologna to have a hard look at their season’s performance.
They face a tough side and are not only at risk of a fourth straight league loss but also of failing to score in four consecutive Serie A matches. That has only happened to them twice in the last 10 seasons.
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Napoli v Bologna Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.56 | 4.2 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.06 | 6 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.16 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.55 | 4 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Bologna?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Bologna match is: Napoli wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2026 between Napoli and Bologna in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.77% for a win of Napoli against Bologna with odds of 1.59 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Bologna is 16.52% with odds of 4.37 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Bologna vs Napoli with odds of 6.4 at 888Starz.
Napoli - Bologna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Bologna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 49.77% | 1.59 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.94 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Napoli/Napoli | 19.05% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
Napoli vs Bologna Form
Napoli and Bologna's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
76 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 |
|
8
|
56 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 |
Napoli and Bologna Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Serie A
24 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
6 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
Napoli vs Bologna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
11 May 2024 - Serie A
24 Sept 2023 - Serie A
Napoli against Bologna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Contini
A. Meret
DefenderM. Olivera
S. Beukema
P. Mazzocchi
L. Spinazzola
J. Jesus
MidfielderF. Anguissa
E. Elmas
B. Gilmour
A. Vergara
F. Ravaglia
L. Skorupski
DefenderT. Heggem
N. Zortea
L. De Silvestri
C. Lykogiannis
MidfielderS. Sohm
N. Moro
J. Rowe
J. Odgaard
T. Dallinga
B. Dominguez
Missing players
R. Lukaku
N. Casale
M. Vitik
MidfielderN. Cambiaghi
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Bologna
R. Hojlund
(12 Goals)
R. Orsolini
(10 Goals)
Giovane
(6 Assists)
N. Cambiaghi
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Miranda
(4 Assists)
Napoli - Bologna Key Points
- Bologna are winless in their last three league games.
- Bologna lost three of their last four away matches at Napoli.
- Napoli have won four of their last five home league games.
- Bologna failed to score in their last four competitive matches.
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Our Napoli vs Bologna Prediction
Napoli have suffered just one defeat in their 17 home matches in Serie A this season. They will be looking to keep this run going and will be boosted mentally by having beaten Bologna 2-0 in the reverse match. Bologna’s visits to Naples have rarely had great returns.
The visitors have posted just one win in the last five, and they don’t boast a very impressive scoring run either. Napoli kept clean sheets in three of their last five home games against Bologna. Our prediction for Napoli v Bologna is that Napoli wins to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Bologna
| Napoli vs Bologna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.61 | 1.59 | -1.2% |
| Draw | 4.3 | 4.37 | +1.6% |
| Bologna wins | 6.24 | 6.4 | +2.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.1% and is now 62.9% (0.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
