Nairobi United FC vs Gor Mahia Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Nairobi United will be facing off with Gor Mahia in their next Kenyan Premier League outing. The promoted side hasn’t had a stable season and heads into the weekend placed 11th, while Gor Mahia have leapt to the league summit. Read on for our prediction of this match.
The only time these two sides met before was in the FKF Cup, a game Nairobi United won 2-1 to bag their first major trophy. That win also secured them continental football, which they now have to juggle with domestic action.
They are coming off a big win, beating former champions Tusker 1-0, and Naibois will feel ready for another giant.
Gor Mahia, like their hosts, are coming from a win, ending a run of winless outings. Hosting Kakamega Homeboyz, K’Ogalo emerged 1-0 winners in one of the midweek clashes.
That ended their run of three straight games without a win, having lost twice. Now at the top of the league, they will head into this one seeking the stability they’ve lacked in recent times.
Revenge will also be on Gor Mahia’s menu, looking to even the head-to-head numbers here following their loss in the cup final. A 10-match unbeaten run away from home will offer Gor Mahia the confidence they need for this mission. They’ve posted seven wins in the process.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nairobi United FC v Gor Mahia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.2 | 2.75 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.65 | 2.85 | 2.02 |
|
|
4.11 | 2.95 | 2.01 |
|
|
4 | 3 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.57 | 2.81 | 1.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nairobi United FC and Gor Mahia?
Our prediction for the Nairobi United FC vs Gor Mahia match is: Gor Mahia wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/12/2025 between Nairobi United FC and Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.95% for a win of Nairobi United FC against Gor Mahia with odds of 4.57 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nairobi United FC vs Gor Mahia is 18.27% with odds of 3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United FC with odds of 2.05 at Tonybet.
Nairobi United FC - Gor Mahia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nairobi United FC Gor Mahia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia wins | 54.78% | 2.05 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 71.26% | 1.69 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 30.95% | 2.3 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gor Mahia | 25.72% |
Nairobi United FC vs Gor Mahia Form
Nairobi United FC and Gor Mahia's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
24 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
|
11
|
17 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Nairobi United FC and Gor Mahia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Caf Confederation Cup
23 Nov 2025 - Caf Confederation Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Caf Confederation Cup
8 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Caf Confederation Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Caf Confederation Cup
11 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Nairobi United FC - Gor Mahia Key Points
- Gor Mahia posted six wins in their last 10 matches.
- Nairobi United are winless in three home matches, losing twice.
- Nairobi United have suffered six defeats in their last 10 games.
- Gor Mahia are unbeaten in 10 away matches, posting seven wins.
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Our Nairobi United FC vs Gor Mahia Prediction
Nairobi United’s highest moments after their promotion and securing continental football have turned out to be bitter lessons. The Kenyan Premier League new boys have played three or four matches less than most teams around them.
Four defeats in their opening 10 games plus the added pressures of continental football mean they are bound to struggle a bit. They aren’t used to such vigors of top-flight football, and Gor Mahia are likely to serve them a torrid time. The visitors are in much better shape, and our prediction for Nairobi United v Gor Mahia is that Gor Mahia wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nairobi United FC Gor Mahia
| Nairobi United FC vs Gor Mahia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United FC wins | 3.7 | 4.2 | +13.5% |
| Draw | 2.62 | 2.75 | +5.0% |
| Gor Mahia wins | 2.1 | 1.91 | -9.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gor Mahia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 52.4% (4.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Nairobi United FC vs. Gor Mahia game!
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Try your luck on this year's Kenyan Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
