Nacional Madeira vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Porto travels to Nacional Madeira in Round 22 of the Liga Portugal with only the intention of winning all three points. After their loss and draw, Dragões’ lead at the top has now been slashed to four points. But with Alvinegros facing an existential relegation threat, this might be an easy game for the league leaders. See our match prediction below.
After suffering their first defeat of the season to Casa Pia–a shock 2-1 loss, Porto was unfortunate in the next game with a 1-1 draw at home to Sporting CP. Those back-to-back games shaved off five points from Porto’s lead, slashing the gap from nine points to four. So, it's no surprise that Porto is desperate to get back to their winning ways and will be out for blood against Nacional.
The Portuguese league leaders will at least fancy their chances in this game after having already won the first meeting this season. However, as they say, an injured animal is most dangerous. For Nacional, they'll be fighting to stay in the league, giving them as much incentive as Porto, who's fighting to win it.
Alvinegros has only won one of its last seven games, but will still dig deep to find the kind of performance that saw them beat Porto on these grounds early last year.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Nacional Madeira v Porto Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.2 | 4.7 | 1.41 |
|
|
7.4 | 4.66 | 1.42 |
|
|
7 | 4.76 | 1.43 |
|
|
7 | 4.75 | 1.39 |
|
|
7 | 4.6 | 1.39 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nacional Madeira and Porto?
Our prediction for the Nacional Madeira vs Porto match is: Both Teams To Score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Nacional Madeira and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.71% for a win of Nacional Madeira against Porto with odds of 8.5 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nacional Madeira vs Porto is 20.23% with odds of 4.76 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Nacional Madeira with odds of 1.44 at Tonybet.
Nacional Madeira - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nacional Madeira Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 61.06% | 1.44 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.26% | 2.02 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Porto | 31.35% | 4 at Bet365 |
Nacional Madeira vs Porto Form
Nacional Madeira and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
88 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 |
|
14
|
34 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -8 |
Nacional Madeira and Porto Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
Nacional Madeira vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2021 - Liga Portugal
12 Jan 2021 - Taca de Portugal
20 Dec 2020 - Liga Portugal
Nacional Madeira against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
K. Medeiros de Freitas
DefenderL. Vallier
Deivison
C. Labidi
M. Baeza
D. de Melo Araujo Junior
P. Messias Cardozo
L. Joao
Martim
C. Ramos
DefenderD. Prpic
G. Bras
MidfielderG. Veiga
S. Fofana
P. Rosario
ForwardB. Sainz
T. Moffi
W. Gomes
Missing players
I. Fernandes
Ulisses
L. De Jong
S. Aghehowa
Most goals and assists
Nacional Madeira
Porto
J. Ramirez
(18 Goals)
S. Aghehowa
(13 Goals)
J. Mendes Gomes
(5 Assists)
G. Veiga
(8 Assists)
Nacional Madeira - Porto Key Points
- Porto has conceded just three goals (the fewest) in 21 games this season, allowing just one goal every three games.
- Porto has kept 15 clean sheets this season (the most), conceding in just six of its 21 league games.
- At least one team has kept a clean sheet in six of their last seven meetings and in nine of their last ten.
- Dragões has kept a clean sheet in five of its last six away games.
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Our Nacional Madeira vs Porto Prediction
We're banking on at least one team to keep a clean sheet in this game, and for very good reasons. This Porto side has been a defensive powerhouse all season, keeping the most clean sheets while conceding the fewest goals.
It'll likely be a win for Dragões with a clean sheet, which has been the case in five of their last six meetings. And even when Alvinegros won, it was also with a clean sheet. Hence, our Nacional Madeira vs Porto prediction is Both Teams To Score - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nacional Madeira Porto
| Nacional Madeira vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Madeira wins | 15 | 8.5 | -43.3% |
| Draw | 6.25 | 4.76 | -23.8% |
| Porto wins | 1.22 | 1.44 | +18.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 69.4% (-12.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
