Nacional Madeira vs Estrela Amadora Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
The last seven meetings between Nacional and Estrela Amadora have all finished under 2.5 goals, with none producing more than two. Both are low-scoring sides who finished in the bottom five last season. They meet at the Estádio da Madeira in Liga Portugal, and our Nacional vs Estrela Amadora match prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Os Alvinegros rarely turn this fixture into a shoot-out. Nacional have scored just four goals in three games this season. Their recent meetings with Estrela have stayed tight, including a 2-0 and a 1-1. Goals are not their strong suit.
And Os Tricolores are cut from the same cloth. Estrela drew both their opening games this season and finished 15th last term, just below Nacional. Every one of the last seven meetings between them has produced two goals or fewer, so this points to another cagey afternoon.
For us, everything points to a low-scoring game. Os Alvinegros have managed just four goals in three games, and Os Tricolores have drawn their way to two points. With their last seven meetings all under 2.5, we expect another tight, low-scoring afternoon.
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Nacional Madeira v Estrela Amadora Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.27 | 3.3 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.33 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.24 | 3.08 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.24 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.26 | 3.08 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nacional Madeira and Estrela Amadora?
Our prediction for the Nacional Madeira vs Estrela Amadora match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2026 between Nacional Madeira and Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.15% for a win of Nacional Madeira against Estrela Amadora with odds of 2.43 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nacional Madeira vs Estrela Amadora is 27.66% with odds of 3.33 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Estrela Amadora vs Nacional Madeira with odds of 3.15 at Shangrila.
Nacional Madeira vs Estrela Amadora Form
Nacional Madeira and Estrela Amadora's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
|
11
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Nacional Madeira and Estrela Amadora Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
Nacional Madeira vs Estrela Amadora Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 May 2023 - Segunda Liga
Nacional Madeira vs Estrela Amadora last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Goncalves
DefenderF. Goncalves
W. Kokolo
D. De la Cruz
S. Gavriel
MidfielderDeivison
M. Iseppe
ForwardM. Djalo
A. Obando
D. Pinto
D. Grilo
DefenderM. Scholze
L. Mincarelli
A. Chernev
B. Schappo
MidfielderB. Souza
S. Serra
E. Vanga
T. Moustier
ForwardS. Van Hooijdonk
A. Souza
Missing players
R. Marin
DefenderJ. Gomes
ForwardM. Nourani
K. Jansson
Most goals and assists
Nacional Madeira
Estrela Amadora
Liziero
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Baeza
(1 Goals)
,
L. Santos
(1 Goals)
,
Ze Vitor
(1 Goals)
L. Antonetti
(2 Goals)
D. de Melo Araujo Junior
(1 Assists)
,
L. Santos
(1 Assists)
R. Soares
(2 Assists)
Nacional Madeira and Estrela Amadora Stats in Liga Portugal
Nacional Madeira - Estrela Amadora Key Points
- The last seven meetings between the sides have all finished under 2.5 goals.
- None of those seven produced more than two goals.
- Nacional has scored just four goals in their three games this season.
- Estrela have drawn both of their games, sitting 11th on two points.
- Nacional finished 14th and Estrela 15th last season.
- Both sides are lower-table teams who have struggled for goals.
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Our Nacional Madeira vs Estrela Amadora Prediction
The head-to-head does the talking here, with the last seven meetings all finishing under 2.5 goals and none topping two. Os Alvinegros have scored just four in three games, and Os Tricolores have drawn both of theirs. Neither side finished higher than 14th last season, so this is two modest, low-scoring teams meeting again.
Everything about the fixture points to another cagey, tight affair. We expect under 2.5 goals at the Estádio da Madeira. Hence, our Nacional vs Estrela Amadora match prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
