Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Gor Mahia will hope for a calmer game when traveling to Muranga to face SEAL after the crowd trouble in their last two matches. Three games remain, and the reigning Kenyan Premier League champions are third with 53 points, while SEAL are 16th with 32 points. Read on for our prediction.
SEAL will have a second straight home game and are targeting a big scalp. In their last outing at home, they beat Sofapaka 2-0. That lifted the team to the relegation playoff position.
Currently, SEAL are kept from the safe zone only by goal difference. Across all competitions, they are unbeaten in seven home matches. SEAL won their last two league games at home.
Gor Mahia have a game in hand and will hope they find a way past this tricky encounter. In their three previous matches against SEAL, Gor Mahia are unbeaten, but only won once.
This hasn’t been a great season for the champions, though their title chase is still within their control. In their latest outing, Gor Mahia lost 2-1 to bottom-side Nairobi City Stars to stay two points behind former champions Tusker.
The target isn’t Tusker but Police, who are five points away at the league summit. The last time they played away from home, they beat Shabana 1-0 in a game marred with fan violence. The same was repeated against City Stars.
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The Best Betting Odds for Muranga Seal v Gor Mahia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.5 | 3.71 | 1.48 |
|
|
6.4 | 3.68 | 1.49 |
|
|
6.4 | 3.68 | 1.49 |
|
|
6.61 | 3.74 | 1.47 |
|
|
6.61 | 3.74 | 1.47 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Muranga Seal and Gor Mahia?
Our prediction for the Muranga Seal vs Gor Mahia match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/05/2025 between Muranga Seal and Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.2% for a win of Muranga Seal against Gor Mahia with odds of 6.61 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Muranga Seal vs Gor Mahia is 39.96% with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Gor Mahia vs Muranga Seal with odds of 1.51 at Tonybet.
Muranga Seal - Gor Mahia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Muranga Seal Gor Mahia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia wins | 43.84% | 1.51 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.64 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 2.32 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gor Mahia | 19.34% | 4 at Betfair |
Muranga Seal vs Gor Mahia Form
Muranga Seal and Gor Mahia's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
53 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 22 |
|
16
|
32 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -16 |
Muranga Seal and Gor Mahia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
10 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Muranga Seal vs Gor Mahia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
4 May 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Muranga Seal - Gor Mahia Key Points
- Only one of Muranga SEAL’s last five league matches had over 2.5 goals.
- At home, SEAL’s last five league matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Only three of Gor Mahia’s last 10 league games had over 2.5 goals.
- Gor Mahia’s last four away league games saw under 2.5 goals.
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Our Muranga Seal vs Gor Mahia Prediction
Gor Mahia have never lost this fixture, and their status as favorites will hold going into this match. The champions haven't been scoring a lot, though. They have eight goals in their last six outings, and four of them were scored in one.
As a result, most of their matches have had under 2.5 goals. This has also been the case in a majority of the hosts’ matches. SEAL’s two goals against Sofapaka marked only the second time in 10 league games that they scored more than once. Our prediction for Muranga SEAL v Gor Mahia is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Muranga Seal Gor Mahia
| Muranga Seal vs Gor Mahia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muranga Seal wins | 6 | 6.5 | +8.3% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.71 | +4.5% |
| Gor Mahia wins | 1.53 | 1.48 | -3.3% |
At 3 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gor Mahia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 67.6% (2.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Muranga Seal vs. Gor Mahia game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Muranga Seal and Gor Mahia? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Kenyan Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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