Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership
Scotland - Scottish Premiership
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions
Motherwell is looking to cement its position in 4th place with another win over relegation-bound Kilmarnock in Round 23 of the Scottish Premiership. Ironically, while The Well looks to extend its unbeaten run, Killie hunts for its first win since October 2025. See our best bet in this match prediction below.
Motherwell continued its impressive season with another win over Ross County in the Scottish Cup. That win now sees The Well unbeaten in 12 of its last 13 games. They have drawn more times this season, but still claim the 4th position in the league. Motherwell’s next challenge is one that they've overcome this season and numerous times in recent seasons.
However, they cannot underestimate Kilmarnock’s determination to win this game. Killie might have lost 12 of 22 games this season. But Motherwell must forget Killie’s 2-2 draw in their very stadium in their first meeting. Yes, Kilmarnock haven't won in almost four months, but they've shocked tougher teams with numerous draws this season.
Notably, the away side has drawn two of its last four games and three of its last six away from home. And one of those draws was against league leaders Hearts. Motherwell are rightfully the favorites, but Kilmarnock’s resolve shouldn't be underestimated. See key betting stats below.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Motherwell v Kilmarnock Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.54 | 3.98 | 6.65 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.33 | 7 |
|
|
1.46 | 3.9 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.1 | 6.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Motherwell and Kilmarnock?
Our prediction for the Motherwell vs Kilmarnock match is: Motherwell wins & 1-6 goals range.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Motherwell and Kilmarnock in Scottish Premiership :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.51% for a win of Motherwell against Kilmarnock with odds of 1.54 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Motherwell vs Kilmarnock is 32.05% with odds of 4.5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 6.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Kilmarnock vs Motherwell with odds of 7.2 at Stake.
Motherwell - Kilmarnock Prediction and Best Odds:
| Motherwell Kilmarnock Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell wins | 61.51% | 1.54 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.78% | 2.01 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Motherwell | 28.06% | 4.1 at LSbet |
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Form
Motherwell and Kilmarnock's standings in the Scottish Premiership
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
54 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | +23 |
|
11
|
28 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -28 |
Motherwell and Kilmarnock Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
30 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
5 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership
8 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Players list
C. Ward
DefenderE. Longelo
P. McGinn
S. O'Donnell
MidfielderT. Sparrow
L. Fadinger
O. Priestman
E. Just
C. Slattery
ForwardT. Maswanhise
I. Said
K. Roos
DefenderE. Brown
L. Mayo
D. Thompson
R. Deas
MidfielderL. Polworth
M. Dackers
B. Lyons
G. Kiltie
T. Lowery
ForwardT. John-Jules
Substitutes
M. Connelly
DefenderL. Gordon
J. McGhee
J. Koutroumbis
R. McColm
Z. McAllister
ForwardE. Bjrgolfsson
L. Ross
A. Stamatelopoulos
E. Beach
DefenderZ. Williams
G. Stanger
B. Brannan
M. Schjonning-Larsen
R. McKenzie
J. Thomson
S. Tiffoney
B. Anderson
Most goals and assists
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
T. Maswanhise
(17 Goals)
T. John-Jules
(8 Goals)
,
J. Hugill
(8 Goals)
Motherwell - Kilmarnock Key Points
- Kilmarnock have lost the second-most games this season (12).
- Kilmarnock is one of the worst teams in front of goal this season, recording the 3rd-fewest goals (20).
- Motherwell has conceded the joint-fewest goals this season (17), while Kilmarnock has conceded the 2nd-most (39).
- Motherwell have kept the joint-most clean sheets this season (11).
- Kilmarnock has lost five of its last seven games and 11 of its last 15.
- None of Kilmarnock’s or Motherwell’s league games have featured more than six goals this season.
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Our Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction
The winner for us is none other than Motherwell, and we're basing our prediction on the sheer disparity in their performances. Notably, Motherwell has kept the most clean sheets and conceded the fewest goals, while boasting an attack with the 5th-most goals this season.
In contrast, their opponents, Kilmarnock, are bottom in all defensive metrics, conceded the 2nd-most goals, and lost the second-most matches. Interestingly, Killie hasn't featured in a game that's seen more than six goals. Hence, our Motherwell vs Kilmarnock prediction is that Motherwell wins & 1-6 goals range.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Motherwell Kilmarnock
| Motherwell vs Kilmarnock | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell wins | 1.47 | 1.54 | +4.8% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.5 | +13.9% |
| Kilmarnock wins | 7.24 | 7.2 | -0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Motherwell is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 68.0% and is now 64.9% (-3.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Motherwell vs. Kilmarnock game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Motherwell and Kilmarnock when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Scottish Premiership!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
