Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership
Scotland - Scottish Premiership
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions
Next up for Motherwell and Aberdeen is their postponed Scottish Premiership game, which will now take place on Sunday. The Well are clear favourites after the performances posted this season. But The Dons are just as hungry for the win and proved in their last meeting that they can take on Motherwell. See our best bet in this match prediction!
Motherwell continued its impressive unbeaten run with a home draw against second-placed Rangers. The Well’s doggedness was on full display after scoring the equaliser in the 89th minute despite collecting a red card 11 minutes prior. That crucial draw has now seen Motherwell go unbeaten in 15 of its last 16 games. The Well’s overall performance has seen them clinch the 4th spot.
They'll hope to maintain their streak when they host Aberdeen, but after drawing their last meeting, the Dons would feel they can run it back or even snatch a road win. Aberdeen has had three postponed games in a row, meaning they'll enter this game with two weeks of rest.
Their last outing was a 3-0 defeat to Kilmarnock, and they've had more than enough time to improve tactics. Still, even with those weeks of rest, don't forget that Aberdeen are winless in eight of their last ten games, which featured seven defeats.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Motherwell v Aberdeen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.62 | 4.3 | 5.4 |
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1.58 | 4.14 | 5.55 |
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1.58 | 4.14 | 5.55 |
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1.53 | 4.1 | 5.5 |
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1.56 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Motherwell and Aberdeen?
Our prediction for the Motherwell vs Aberdeen match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Motherwell and Aberdeen in Scottish Premiership :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 75.9% for a win of Motherwell against Aberdeen with odds of 1.62 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Motherwell vs Aberdeen is 13.49% with odds of 4.3 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Aberdeen vs Motherwell with odds of 5.7 at Shangrila.
Motherwell - Aberdeen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Motherwell Aberdeen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell wins | 75.9% | 1.62 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 66.04% | 2.2 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score: No | 78.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Motherwell/Motherwell | 37.34% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Motherwell vs Aberdeen Form
Motherwell and Aberdeen's standings in the Scottish Premiership
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
54 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | +23 |
|
8
|
33 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -15 |
Motherwell and Aberdeen Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
18 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
18 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup
11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
Motherwell vs Aberdeen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership
27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership
20 Sept 2025 - Scottish League Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership
5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 Sept 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Players list
C. Ward
DefenderE. Longelo
P. McGinn
S. Welsh
MidfielderT. Sparrow
O. Priestman
E. Just
C. Slattery
E. Watt
ForwardT. Maswanhise
I. Said
P. Bratveit
DefenderM. Frame
L. Morrison
T. McIntyre
MidfielderT. Keskinen
L. Cameron
A. Jensen
A. Afeez
D. Geiger
ForwardT. Olusanya
K. Nisbet
Substitutes
M. Connelly
DefenderL. Gordon
J. McGhee
S. O'Donnell
R. Charles-Cook
R. McColm
ForwardE. Bjrgolfsson
L. Ross
S. Nicholson
D. Mitov
DefenderG. Molloy
N. Devlin
S. Nilsen
K. Bilalovic
A. Palaversa
N. Milanovic
M. Lazetic
K. Mar Kjartansson
Most goals and assists
Motherwell - Aberdeen Key Points
- Motherwell has conceded the fewest goals this season (18).
- Motherwell has kept the joint-most clean sheets this season (13).
- Aberdeen has created the third fewest chances this season (46).
- Both meetings this season ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Nine of Motherwell’s last ten games ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. Likewise, six of Aberdeen's last eight games finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Aberdeen has conceded the joint third-fewest goals this season (26).
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Our Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction
Expect another tight display courtesy of Motherwell's air-tight defence and Aberdeen's lacklustre offence. While The Well boast the most clean sheets and the fewest goals conceded, Aberdeen enters with the joint third-fewest goals and big chances created this season.
That's why we expect this game to end like four of their five games in 2025, which all featured under 2.5 goals. After all, that's also been the case in nine of The Well’s last ten games and six of The Dons’ last eight. Hence, our Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Motherwell Aberdeen
| Motherwell vs Aberdeen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell wins | 1.68 | 1.62 | -3.6% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.3 | +8.9% |
| Aberdeen wins | 5.2 | 5.7 | +9.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Motherwell is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 61.7% (2.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.