Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
15/02/2026 09:30
Aberdeen

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions

Next up for Motherwell and Aberdeen is their postponed Scottish Premiership game, which will now take place on Sunday. The Well are clear favourites after the performances posted this season. But The Dons are just as hungry for the win and proved in their last meeting that they can take on Motherwell. See our best bet in this match prediction!

Motherwell continued its impressive unbeaten run with a home draw against second-placed Rangers. The Well’s doggedness was on full display after scoring the equaliser in the 89th minute despite collecting a red card 11 minutes prior. That crucial draw has now seen Motherwell go unbeaten in 15 of its last 16 games. The Well’s overall performance has seen them clinch the 4th spot.

They'll hope to maintain their streak when they host Aberdeen, but after drawing their last meeting, the Dons would feel they can run it back or even snatch a road win. Aberdeen has had three postponed games in a row, meaning they'll enter this game with two weeks of rest.

Their last outing was a 3-0 defeat to Kilmarnock, and they've had more than enough time to improve tactics. Still, even with those weeks of rest, don't forget that Aberdeen are winless in eight of their last ten games, which featured seven defeats.

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Motherwell v Aberdeen Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.62 4.3 5.4
Melbet
1.58 4.14 5.55
Betwinner
1.58 4.14 5.55
Bet365
1.53 4.1 5.5
Roobet
1.56 4.1 5.4
Check all Motherwell vs Aberdeen odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Motherwell and Aberdeen?

Our prediction for the Motherwell vs Aberdeen match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Motherwell and Aberdeen in Scottish Premiership :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 75.9% for a win of Motherwell against Aberdeen with odds of 1.62 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Motherwell vs Aberdeen is 13.49% with odds of 4.3 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 10.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Aberdeen vs Motherwell with odds of 5.7 at Shangrila.

Motherwell - Aberdeen Prediction and Best Odds:

Motherwell Aberdeen Prediction Probability Odds
Motherwell wins 75.9% 1.62 at Stake
Under 2.5 66.04% 2.2 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score: No 78.33%
Half-time / Full-time : Motherwell/Motherwell 37.34% 2.4 at Bet365

Motherwell vs Aberdeen Form

Motherwell and Aberdeen's standings in the Scottish Premiership

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Motherwell
54 33 14 12 7 +23
8 Aberdeen
33 33 9 6 18 -15

Motherwell and Aberdeen Last Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell Last matches
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Rangers

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
0 :  2
Motherwell

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
4 :  0
Kilmarnock

17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Motherwell
1 :  0
Ross County

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  1
Motherwell

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
St Mirren
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Rangers

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
4 :  0
Kilmarnock

17 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Motherwell
1 :  0
Ross County

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
St Mirren

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Celtic

20 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  0
Dundee FC
W D D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
0 :  2
Motherwell

10 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  1
Motherwell

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
1 :  0
Motherwell

13 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  0
Motherwell

3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
0 :  0
Motherwell

22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
1 :  3
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Aberdeen Last matches
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  0
Aberdeen

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
6 :  2
Livingston

18 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Aberdeen
1 :  0
Raith Rovers

11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  2
Rangers

6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
2 :  0
Aberdeen

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
1 :  0
Aberdeen
L W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
6 :  2
Livingston

18 Jan 2026 - Scottish Cup

Aberdeen
1 :  0
Raith Rovers

11 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  2
Rangers

27 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  1
Dundee United

14 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  1
Kilmarnock

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Aberdeen
0 :  1
Strasbourg
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
3 :  0
Aberdeen

6 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
2 :  0
Aberdeen

3 Jan 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
1 :  0
Aberdeen

30 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
2 :  0
Aberdeen

21 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Aberdeen

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Sparta Prague
3 :  0
Aberdeen

Motherwell vs Aberdeen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Motherwell

50 %

Draw

17 %

Aberdeen

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
1 :  1
Motherwell

27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

20 Sept 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Aberdeen
0 :  1
Motherwell

29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
4 :  1
Motherwell

5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  0
Aberdeen

14 Sept 2024 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  1
Motherwell

Players list

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

C. Ward

Defender

E. Longelo

P. McGinn

S. Welsh

Midfielder

T. Sparrow

O. Priestman

E. Just

C. Slattery

E. Watt

Forward

T. Maswanhise

I. Said

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Goalkeeper

P. Bratveit

Defender

M. Frame

L. Morrison

T. McIntyre

Midfielder

T. Keskinen

L. Cameron

A. Jensen

A. Afeez

D. Geiger

Forward

T. Olusanya

K. Nisbet

Substitutes

Motherwell
Motherwell
Goalkeeper

M. Connelly

Defender

L. Gordon

J. McGhee

T. Maswanhise 90'

S. O'Donnell

E. Longelo 81'

Midfielder

R. Charles-Cook

E. Watt 66'

R. McColm

Forward

E. Bjrgolfsson

E. Just 66'

L. Ross

S. Nicholson

I. Said 81'

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Goalkeeper

D. Mitov

Defender

G. Molloy

N. Devlin

A. Jensen 62'

Midfielder

S. Nilsen

K. Bilalovic

T. Keskinen 71'

A. Palaversa

A. Afeez 46'

Forward

N. Milanovic

M. Lazetic

K. Nisbet 71'

K. Mar Kjartansson

D. Geiger 79'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Motherwell
CD Huachipato Aberdeen
Top Goalscorer
Zimbabwe T. Maswanhise (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Scotland K. Nisbet (9 Goals)

Motherwell - Aberdeen Key Points

  1. Motherwell has conceded the fewest goals this season (18).
  2. Motherwell has kept the joint-most clean sheets this season (13).
  3. Aberdeen has created the third fewest chances this season (46).
  4. Both meetings this season ended with under 2.5 goals.
  5. Nine of Motherwell’s last ten games ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. Likewise, six of Aberdeen's last eight games finished with under 2.5 goals.
  6. Aberdeen has conceded the joint third-fewest goals this season (26).
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Our Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction

Expect another tight display courtesy of Motherwell's air-tight defence and Aberdeen's lacklustre offence. While The Well boast the most clean sheets and the fewest goals conceded, Aberdeen enters with the joint third-fewest goals and big chances created this season.

That's why we expect this game to end like four of their five games in 2025, which all featured under 2.5 goals. After all, that's also been the case in nine of The Well’s last ten games and six of The Dons’ last eight. Hence, our Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Motherwell Aberdeen

Motherwell vs Aberdeen Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Motherwell wins 1.68 1.62 -3.6%
Draw 3.95 4.3 +8.9%
Aberdeen wins 5.2 5.7 +9.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Motherwell is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 61.7% (2.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction