Morocco vs Burundi Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
Morocco continue their preparatory friendlies ahead of the 2026 World Cup by playing host to Burundi at Mohammed VI Football Academy today. The Atlas Lions enter this match as the highest-ranked African team at No. 8, 134 places above the Chayfs. With their attacking quality and victories in previous two meetings with Burundi, our prediction favors the home team to win in a good scoring encounter.
After a solid AFCON campaign last year, Morocco have continued their fine form. They drew 1–1 with Ecuador and edged Paraguay 2–1 in their last batch of friendlies back in March 2026.
Those two results mean the reigning AFCON champions have gone unbeaten in 21 consecutive matches (excluding African Nations Championship fixtures) and have won seven of their last eight matches played on Moroccan soil (D1), averaging two goals per contest.
Burundi thrashed 182nd-ranked Chad 4–0 in the AFCON qualifiers preliminary round second leg, winning 8–0 on aggregate last time out. However, that victory came off the back of four consecutive defeats for the Chayfs against higher-ranked teams in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. They have lost their last three away matches against higher-ranked opposition, conceding 1.6 goals per game. Both of their previous meetings with Morocco have ended in defeat.
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Morocco v Burundi Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 6.2 | 12 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.85 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.18 | 7 | 15 |
|
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1.17 | 6 | 15 |
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|
1.1 | 8 | 19 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Morocco and Burundi?
Our prediction for the Morocco vs Burundi match is: Morocco win + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/05/2026 between Morocco and Burundi in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.75% for a win of Morocco against Burundi with odds of 1.25 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Morocco vs Burundi is 13.41% with odds of 8 at Roobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Burundi vs Morocco with odds of 19 at Roobet.
Morocco - Burundi Prediction and Best Odds:
| Morocco Burundi Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 70.75% | 1.25 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 69.61% | 3.75 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 81.25% | 1.39 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Morocco/Morocco | 34.59% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
Morocco vs Burundi Form
Morocco and Burundi Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Jan 2026 - AFCON
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
4 Jan 2026 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jan 2026 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
21 Dec 2025 - AFCON
15 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - AFCON
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - AFCON
27 Mar 2026 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - AFCON
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
13 Oct 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Mar 2026 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
Morocco vs Burundi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2021 - AFCON
Missing players
N. Aguerd
MidfielderS. Amrabat
Morocco - Burundi Key Points
- Morocco are unbeaten in their last 21 matches (excluding African Nations Championship matches).
- Morocco have won seven of their last eight matches on Moroccan soil, scoring an average of two goals per game.
- Burundi have lost their last four matches against higher-ranked opposition.
- Burundi have lost their last three away matches against higher-ranked teams, conceding 1.6 goals per game.
- Burundi have lost their previous two matchups with Morocco, conceding four goals across both encounters.
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Our Morocco vs Burundi Prediction
After their dominant aggregate victory over Chad in the AFCON qualification preliminary round, Burundi have a tough test here against reigning African champions, Morocco. They are also set for an even more difficult game traveling to face the Moroccans on the latter's home soil.
Their last four matches against higher-ranked opposition have ended in defeat. Meanwhile, Morocco hasn't only proven a tough nut to crack of late, particularly at home, but boasts a good scoring record. Our Morocco vs Burundi prediction : Morocco win + over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Morocco Burundi
| Morocco vs Burundi | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 1.22 | 1.25 | +2.5% |
| Draw | 6.1 | 8 | +31.1% |
| Burundi wins | 15 | 19 | +26.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Morocco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 80.0% (-2.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
