Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting CP will look to keep the pressure on Porto and possibly cut the gap at the top to just one point by the end of Matchday 23 in the Liga Portugal. Moreirense, on the other hand, sit at 6th and will be eyeing all three points that could earn them the Conference League qualification spot. Let's get into this match prediction!
Porto’s recent slipups and Os Leões’ (The Lions) consistency have turned the title chase into a two-horse race. Sporting CP are just four points behind Porto, and are now prime contenders to win the league and defeat their title. In the Liga Portugal, Sporting are yet to lose a game since their August defeat to rivals Porto.
Since then, Os Leões have boasted a staggering 14 wins in their last 18 league games, which was just capped by another victory over Famalicao. They look to extend that run on the road against a Moreirense side that they already beat 3-0 this season. However, it's not looking like a walk in the park as Os verdes e brancos (The Green and Whites) also look to build momentum.
Moreirense just beat Rio Ave away from home (2-1) and must keep the wins coming if they hope to compete for the only Conference League qualification spot, which is just six points out of reach.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Moreirense v Sporting Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11 | 5.8 | 1.26 |
|
|
12 | 6.1 | 1.24 |
|
|
12 | 6.1 | 1.24 |
|
|
12 | 5.25 | 1.24 |
|
|
11 | 5.6 | 1.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Moreirense and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon match is: BTTS - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Moreirense and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.25% for a win of Moreirense against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 12 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon is 18.24% with odds of 6.1 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 66.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense with odds of 1.28 at Tonybet.
Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Moreirense Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 66.52% | 1.28 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.55% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 69.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 31.08% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Moreirense and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
82 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 |
|
7
|
43 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -12 |
Moreirense and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Feb 2026 - Taca de Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Feb 2026 - Taca de Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Sept 2023 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2022 - Liga Portugal
Moreirense against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Mika
DefenderKiko
K. Monteiro
L. Santos
N. John
J. Gower
A. Assis
L. Semedo
L. Costa Araujo
J. Virginia
DefenderQuaresma
R. Mangas
G. Vagiannidis
J. Simoes
D. Braganca
S. Faye
F. Goncalves
F. Ioannidis
Missing players
V. Sousa
ForwardJ. Jorquera Romero
P. Goncalves
Most goals and assists
Moreirense
Sporting Lisbon
G. Schettine
(9 Goals)
L. Suarez
(28 Goals)
D. Pinto
(7 Assists)
F. Trincao
(11 Assists)
Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Sporting CP has conceded the second-fewest goals (12).
- Sporting CP has kept the joint second-most clean sheets (11).
- Moreirense has created the joint sixth-fewest big chances (41).
- Sporting CP won their earlier meeting this season with a clean sheet.
- At least one team has kept a clean sheet in five of their last seven meetings.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
We're leaning towards a win for Sporting CP over Moreirense, just as Os Leões beat Os verdes e brancos 3-0 earlier this season. But to stay safe, we're betting that at least one team keeps a clean sheet. Sporting CP is especially well equipped to do so, having kept a clean sheet in half of its 22 games all season.
And while Moreirense is a competent side, their modest attack might not be enough to crack Lisbon’s defence, which has conceded the second-fewest goals all season. Hence, our Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon prediction is BTTS - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Moreirense Sporting Lisbon
| Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense wins | 10.5 | 12 | +14.3% |
| Draw | 5.8 | 6.1 | +5.2% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.27 | 1.28 | +0.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 78.1% (-0.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
