Moreirense vs Estoril Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
20/04/2026 15:15
Estoril

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Two sides that have recently lost form, Moreirense and Estoril, will be facing off in the Primeira Liga on Monday. The teams are separated by one point; Estoril are eighth on 37 while Moreirense are ninth. Below we have a prediction for the match.

Hosts Moreirense are officially locked out of Europe; they can’t finish in the top four. While Os Verdes e Brancos have been off-color for the better part of the season.

A run of seven winless matches (4L, 3D) has, however, largely contributed to missing out on the European slots. Last time out, they drew 1-1 with Famalicao, while at home they are winless in five, losing four times.

Estoril aren’t on a better run either. The visitors are coming into this game off the back of three straight defeats and having conceded eight times in the process.

Their latest outing ended in a 3-1 loss against league leaders FC Porto. They haven’t lacked goals, though, only failing to score in three of their last 10 matches. Six of those 10 outings saw both teams score.

Goals on both ends has been the case in each of the last five meetings between these sides as well. The reverse fixture was a six-goal thriller as the two drew 3-3, sharing spoils for a third straight meeting.

Estoril are, however, winless in their last five matches against Moreirense.

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Moreirense v Estoril Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.95 3.45 2.33
Melbet
2.8 3.36 2.5
Betwinner
3.05 3.4 2.32
Bet365
2.82 3.5 2.3
Roobet
2.72 3.35 2.42
Check all Moreirense vs Estoril odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Moreirense and Estoril?

Our prediction for the Moreirense vs Estoril match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/04/2026 between Moreirense and Estoril in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.68% for a win of Moreirense against Estoril with odds of 3.05 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moreirense vs Estoril is 21.46% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 44.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Estoril vs Moreirense with odds of 2.55 at Shangrila.

Moreirense - Estoril Prediction and Best Odds:

Moreirense Estoril Prediction Probability Odds
Estoril wins 44.86% 2.55 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 60.12% 1.97 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 54.17%
Half-time / Full-time: Estoril/Estoril 17.28% 3.75 at Bet365

Moreirense vs Estoril Form

Moreirense and Estoril's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Moreirense
43 34 12 7 15 -12
10 Estoril
39 34 10 9 15 -3

Moreirense and Estoril Last Matches

Moreirense
Moreirense Last matches
D D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  1
Moreirense

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
SC Braga

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
Arouca

15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Moreirense

7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  1
Nacional Madeira

1 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Moreirense
W L L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
SC Braga

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
Arouca

7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  1
Nacional Madeira

21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  2
Gil Vicente

24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  0
Santa Clara
L L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  1
Moreirense

15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Moreirense

1 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Moreirense

16 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  2
Moreirense

30 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  0
Moreirense

17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
2 :  1
Moreirense
Estoril
Estoril Last matches
L D W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Porto

6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  2
Estoril

22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  2
Rio Ave

15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
0 :  1
Estoril

7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Estoril
W D W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Porto

22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  2
Rio Ave

7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
3 :  1
Gil Vicente

7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
2 :  2
Tondela

24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
4 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  2
Estoril

15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
0 :  1
Estoril

27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Estoril

15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
3 :  0
Estoril

31 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  4
Estoril

19 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  5
Estoril

Moreirense vs Estoril Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Moreirense

33 %

Draw

50 %

Estoril

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
3 :  3
Moreirense

11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
2 :  2
Estoril

28 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
2 :  2
Moreirense

18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
2 :  1
Estoril

13 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Moreirense

7 May 2022 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  0
Moreirense

Moreirense against Estoril Lineups: Starting 11

Moreirense

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
A. Ferreira
70
Fabiano
4
K. Monteiro
66
G. Batista
2
D. Travassos
25
A. Assis
8
M. Stjepanovic
78
L. Costa Araujo
21
R. Alonso Martin
10
F. Ribeiro Tome Tavares Bondoso
11
Alan
70
Peixinho
14
Y. Begraoui
21
Pizzi
24
P. Amaral
6
J. Orellana
8
Xeka
22
P. Carvalho
5
A. Tsoungui
25
F. Bacher
4
Ferro
16
M. Turk

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Estoril

Substitutes

Moreirense
Moreirense
Goalkeeper

Mika

C. Secco

Defender

L. Santos

L. Costa Araujo 79'

Midfielder

J. Gower

Alan 90'

Forward

C. Teguia Noubi

F. Ribeiro Tome Tavares Bondoso 64'

Yan Maranhao

A. Assis 63'

L. Semedo

Estoril
Estoril
Goalkeeper

D. Dias

Defender

G. Costa

P. Carvalho 79'

Midfielder

N. Lominadze

J. Holsgrove

Pizzi 53'

R. Guitane

J. Orellana 53'

Luis Gomes

J. Carvalho

Peixinho 46'

Forward

A. Marques

Xeka 73'

Missing players

Moreirense
Moreirense
Defender

Maracas

D. Pinto

Midfielder

N. John

V. Sousa

Forward

J. Jorquera Romero

Estoril
Estoril
Defender

R. Sanchez

L. Bimai

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Moreirense
CD Huachipato Estoril
Top Goalscorer
Brazil G. Schettine (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Morocco Y. Begraoui (20 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal D. Pinto (7 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal J. Carvalho (9 Assists)

Moreirense - Estoril Key Points

  1. Estoril won just three of their last 10 matches.
  2. The last three meetings between these sides ended in draws.
  3. Moreirense are winless in seven matches, drawing three.
  4. Four draws were recorded in Moreirense’s last eight home league games against Estoril.
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Our Moreirense vs Estoril Prediction

Our prediction for Moreirense v Estoril is for a draw. Both Moreirense and Estoril have been off-color ahead of this game. The last three meetings between the teams ended in draws. The same result is expected here, as neither side has real momentum coming into this game.

Our pick is also supported by the fact that when Moreirense hosted this fixture, four of the last eight in the league led to draws. As both are set to miss out on European football spots, we don’t expect much of a fight here.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Moreirense Estoril

Moreirense vs Estoril Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Moreirense wins 3.04 3.05 +0.3%
Draw 3.28 3.5 +6.7%
Estoril wins 2.38 2.55 +7.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Estoril is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 39.2% (-2.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Moreirense vs Estoril Prediction