England - League Two
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by Steve Ashfield in Football Predictions
Morecambe are in deep relegation trouble with only Carlisle below them in the League Two table. Tuesday sees them home to AFC Wimbledon who are fifth in the table. The Shrimps really need a home win but will they get one? Read our match prediction.
The home side are three points from safety and are a side that are struggling not just for points but goals too. SIx of their last eight home league matches have seen them fail to score.
No goals have been scored in their last three league matches, all of which have been lost. Just three home league games have been won this season with only 16 goals being scored. Only one of their last seven home league games has seen over 2.5 goals scored.
AFC Wimbledon are chasing promotion to League One. They are in the play-off positions but four points behind the automatic promotion places. The weekend saw them lose 1-0 at home to Bromley and that makes it three league games without a win.
The Dons have only won five away league matches this season. Each of their last five away league matches have been drawn, all with under 2.5 goals scored. We go for that stat to come up again here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Morecambe v AFC Wimbledon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.51 | 3.11 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.51 | 3.11 | 2.16 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Morecambe and AFC Wimbledon?
Our prediction for the Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2025 between Morecambe and AFC Wimbledon in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.36% for a win of Morecambe against AFC Wimbledon with odds of 3.6 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon is 35.99% with odds of 3.3 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.65% chance ⭐ for a win of AFC Wimbledon vs Morecambe with odds of 2.21 at Vbet.
Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Morecambe AFC Wimbledon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Wimbledon wins | 41.65% | 2.21 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 72% | 2.15 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AFC Wimbledon | 31.54% | 5 at Bet365 |
Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon Form
Morecambe and AFC Wimbledon's standings in the League Two
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
70 | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 20 |
|
24
|
36 | 45 | 10 | 6 | 29 | -31 |
Morecambe and AFC Wimbledon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - League Two
22 Feb 2025 - League Two
18 Feb 2025 - League Two
15 Feb 2025 - League Two
8 Feb 2025 - League Two
4 Feb 2025 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - League Two
18 Feb 2025 - League Two
15 Feb 2025 - League Two
1 Feb 2025 - League Two
18 Jan 2025 - League Two
1 Jan 2025 - League Two
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - League Two
8 Feb 2025 - League Two
4 Feb 2025 - League Two
28 Jan 2025 - League Two
25 Jan 2025 - League Two
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - League Two
22 Feb 2025 - League Two
18 Feb 2025 - League Two
15 Feb 2025 - League Two
11 Feb 2025 - League Two
8 Feb 2025 - League Two
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - League Two
15 Feb 2025 - League Two
11 Feb 2025 - League Two
1 Feb 2025 - League Two
18 Jan 2025 - League Two
30 Dec 2024 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - League Two
18 Feb 2025 - League Two
8 Feb 2025 - League Two
28 Jan 2025 - League Two
25 Jan 2025 - League Two
2 Jan 2025 - League Two
Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Oct 2024 - League Two
17 Feb 2024 - League Two
Players list
H. Burgoyne
DefenderA. Lewis
R. Millen
J. Stott
M. Taylor
MidfielderY. Songo'o
T. White
G. Edwards
C. Cooke
ForwardA. Dallas
M. Dackers
O. Goodman
DefenderA. Sasu
S. Hutchinson
R. Johnson
J. Lewis
MidfielderJ. Tilley
M. Browne
J. Neufville
J. Reeves
ForwardM. Stevens
O. Bugiel
Substitutes
R. Millen
M. Dackers
B. Tollitt
C. Cooke
T. White
J. Slew
A. Dallas
L. Ward
DefenderI. Ogundere
MidfielderM. Browne
A. Sasu
J. Tilley
O. Bugiel
M. Stevens
Most goals and assists
Morecambe
AFC Wimbledon
L. Angol
(7 Goals)
M. Stevens
(18 Goals)
J. Reeves
(2 Assists)
Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon Key Points
- Nine of the last ten AFC Wimbledon games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Each of the last five AFC Wimbledon away league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them with three ending goalless.
- 16 AFC Wimbledon away league games this season have only seen 27 goals scored.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 13 of the last 15 Morecambe league games.
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Our Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction
Both clubs are desperate for points from this League Two fixture. Morecambe are in the relegation zone and struggling to score goals at present. They have failed to score in six of their last eight home league matches
AFC Wimbledon lost at the weekend and their last five away league matches have been drawn. Just four goals have been scored in those away games with three goalless draws. Only once in their last eight away league games have they scored twice.
Our Morecambe v AFC Wimbledon prediction is under 2,5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Morecambe AFC Wimbledon
| Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe wins | 4 | 3.5 | -12.5% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.2 | -3.0% |
| AFC Wimbledon wins | 1.95 | 2.1 | +7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AFC Wimbledon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 47.6% (-3.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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