France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco and PSG are coming off contrasting outings in Europe to face off in the biggest match in Ligue 1 this week. In the 14th round of matches, league leaders PSG will be traveling to Monaco, who are currently eighth after a poor run of results. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Monaco have had a tough run in the past few weeks and will be looking to bounce back here, after going winless in the last three games. Theirs has been an inconsistent run, and not much will be expected of the hosts here, especially after drawing with Champions League minnows Pafos.
PSG, on the other hand, have not had their usual dominance but have found an edge to keep them on the right side of their competitions. They are coming from a Champions League thriller and will hope for a much easier win away at Monaco.
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The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
|
|
5 | 4.5 | 1.57 |
|
|
4.6 | 4.2 | 1.62 |
|
|
4.75 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.2 | 4.75 | 1.52 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and PSG?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs PSG match is: PSG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Monaco and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.14% for a win of Monaco against PSG with odds of 5.2 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs PSG is 32.83% with odds of 4.75 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 55.03% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Monaco with odds of 1.66 at 888Starz.
Monaco vs PSG Form
Monaco and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
|
8
|
20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Monaco and PSG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
Monaco vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Trophée des Champions
18 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
Monaco - PSG: Form Analysis
Monaco’s porous backline was exposed for the third straight game, as they drew 2-2 with Pafos in the Champions League on Tuesday. One of the men to beat Les Monegasques’ defence was a former PSG player, David Luiz.
Monaco have now conceded 10 goals in just their last three matches. In each of their last two league outings, they let in four goals.
They were battered at home by Lens 4-1 before Rennes took over with the same scoreline. There is a real danger PSG might give them the same treatment, and Monaco will be wary of that.
They did concede four or more in three of their last five meetings with PSG.
PSG are unbeaten away from home in their last six matches, winning four.
PSG came out on top in an eight-goal thriller against Tottenham Hotspur in the Champions League. Les Parisiens haven't had their usual explosive flair in Ligue 1 but are still two points ahead of their closest challenger.
They momentarily lost the lead to Marseille last weekend, but a 3-0 win against Le Havre returned them to the league summit. Luis Enrique’s men will now be looking to extend their lead further.
This isn’t an opponent they’ve faltered against a lot of times. Monaco last beat PSG in 2023, and across the five games that came after that, PSG scored 14 goals against Monaco.
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Monaco vs PSG last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
C. Mawissa
E. Dier
MidfielderD. Zakaria
A. Hakimi
ForwardD. Doue
Monaco & PSG Squad Analysis
Monaco will welcome back Folarin Balogun after serving a domestic suspension. Having scored in the Champions League in midweek, the US international will come with confidence.
However, Monaco will still miss a key man due to suspension—Denis Zakaria. The Swiss international, who only recently returned to the team from injury, was sent off in their last league game, against Rennes.
Paul Pogba is being eased back to action after two years without competitive football. He was a late sub against Rennes and was unused in midweek.
PSG’s Vitinha will be inspired for this match after scoring a midweek hat trick.
At PSG, this will be another game without Achraf Hakimi as the Moroccan nurses an ankle injury.
The defender is expected back in mid-December, and PSG might still be without him as the AFCON finals approach as well. Hakimi has scored twice in the league this season.
He is spending time out alongside Desire Doue, who has been sidelined for a month now, nursing a thigh injury.
Most goals and assists
Monaco
PSG
A. Fati
(6 Goals)
, 
F. Balogun
(6 Goals)
J. Neves
(6 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(4 Assists)
Vitinha
(7 Assists)
Monaco and PSG Stats in Ligue 1
Monaco - PSG Key Points
- Monaco are winless in their last three matches.
- In their last 12 games, Monaco won just three.
- Monaco suffered back-to-back home defeats.
- PSG posted six wins in the last eight games.
- PSG are unbeaten in six away matches.
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Our Monaco vs PSG Prediction
PSG are having their toughest season in Ligue 1 compared to recent campaigns but have responded well and are still top of the league. The champions are coming off a thrilling home match in the Champions League where they scored 3+ for the third game running.
This match will give them a good feeling, having beaten Monaco in each of their last three meetings. PSG have also not lost in the last five meetings with Monaco. With that in mind, our prediction for Monaco v PSG is that PSG wins.
Monaco vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
PSG have dominated this fixture, and three times in their last five matches, they scored at least four times. Monaco has, in the last three matches alone, conceded 10 goals and only responded with four. As both teams are coming from high-scoring runs, we will back the same here. Our second prediction is for the match to have over 2.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Monaco vs. PSG game!
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Monaco vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
The Monaco v PSG match will be played on Saturday, 29th November.
The Monaco v PSG match will be played at Stade Louis II in Monaco.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
