Europe - Champions League
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by Joseph King | in Champions League Predictions
Matchday two in the UEFA Champions League sees AS Monaco hosting Manchester City at the Stade Louis II on Wednesday. Will Les Monegasques be able to pull of the upset victory or will it be the Citizens that make it six points from six? Check out our match prediction below!
Monaco return home now with a challenging fixture as they seek their first points of the 2025-26 UCL campaign. They can take encouragement from their strong home record this season, although there is an obvious jump in the level of play with City coming to town. This will be the first matchup between the two sides since the magical 2016-17 campaign which saw Monaco knock out City in the round of 16 and go on to make the semis.
Since being crowned champions of Europe in 2022-23, City have only managed to reach the quarter-finals of this competition once. Last season, they finished 22nd in the league phase and were promptly bounced by Real Madrid in the playoff round. They’re off to a much better start this time around with three points from their opening fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Monaco v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
8 | 5.5 | 1.36 |
|
|
7 | 5 | 1.36 |
|
|
7.5 | 5.75 | 1.33 |
|
|
8 | 5.6 | 1.33 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Manchester City match is: BTTS + over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/10/2025 between Monaco and Manchester City in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.76% for a win of Monaco against Manchester City with odds of 8 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Manchester City is 8.87% with odds of 5.75 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Monaco with odds of 1.36 at Betfred.
Monaco - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 51.36% | 1.36 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81.72% | 1.33 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 77.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City | 23.23% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
Monaco vs Manchester City Form
Monaco and Manchester City's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
|
19
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 |
Monaco and Manchester City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
30 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
Monaco vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2017 - Champions League
21 Feb 2017 - Champions League
Monaco - Manchester City: Form Analysis
It was the worst possible start for Monaco in their second consecutive season in Europe’s top tier club competition. They were powerless to resist an impressive Club Brugge side that created five clear cut scoring chances and walked away with a 4-1 home victory.
Monaco were able to respond with a 5-2 home victory over Metz but would then go on to lose 3-1 away at Lorient at the weekend. The hosts have now lost two of their last three, but will bank on their perfect 3-0-0 home record to get a result against Manchester City.
Much has been made of Manchester City’s struggles to start the season.
And while there is certainly some valid criticism being levied, Pep Guardiola’s side has quietly responded with four wins from their last five.
The only dropped points during that time was a 1-1 away draw with Arsenal, in which they conceded the equalizer in stoppage time. At the weekend, City thrashed Burnley 5-1 at home for their second win in a row.
In their first match in the league phase, Man City took advantage of 10-men Napoli to beat the Italian champions 2-0 at the Etihad.
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Monaco against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
L. Hradecky
DefenderC. Mawissa
MidfielderD. Zakaria
A. Golovin
A. Bamba
L. Camara
P. Pogba
R. Ait-Nouri
A. Khusanov
MidfielderR. Cherki
ForwardO. Marmoush
Monaco & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Monaco boss Adi Hutter is dealing with an injury crisis at the worst possible time. As many eight players are listed as either injured or suspended, including key defender Thilo Kehrer, defensive midfielder Lamine Camara and first-choice keeper Lukas Hradecky.
Paul Pogba, who has yet to make his Monaco debut, is also considered a doubt to face off against his old rivals.
On the attacking side, all eyes will be on whether or not Ansu Fati can continue his remarkable form. Since joining Monaco on loan, the 22-year-old has now scored four goals in his first three appearances for the club, all of which came from the bench.
Erling Haaland is looking back to his absolute best. It goes to show the incredible standard that the Norwegian has set as many considered his 31 goals in 44 matches last season to be a down year.
Haaland has set a blistering pace so far in 2025-26, already striking for nine goals in seven appearances.
That’s not even to mention the three goals he scored in the Club World Cup. Indeed, Monaco are sure to have their hands full with Haaland who will be looking to score in his eighth straight match for club and country. (when including internationals).
Pep Guardiola has his own injury headache to deal with as Rayan Cherki, Omar Marmoush, Rayan Ait-Nouri and Alexander Khusanov all miss out, while Rodri is a doubt as well.
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Manchester City
A. Fati
(6 Goals)
E. Haaland
(19 Goals)
K. Ouattara
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Minamino
(3 Assists)
,
M. Akliouche
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Camara
(3 Assists)
T. Reijnders
(5 Assists)
Monaco - Manchester City Key Points
- Monaco have seen BTTS + over 2.5 in six of their seven competitive fixtures this season.
- Manchester City have seen both teams score in two of their last three overall.
- The visitors have created 15 clear cut scoring chances and scored 13 goals in their last five appearances.
- Monaco matches this season see an average of 4.14 total goals scored.
- Monaco are the highest scoring Ligue 1 team but have conceded in all seven competitive fixtures.
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Our Monaco vs Manchester City Prediction
High-scoring matches have been a trend of Monaco’s this season and there’s no reason to think it won’t continue here, especially when considering the type of firepower that will be on the field. While they’re dealing with injuries, the hosts still have more than enough attacking talent to breach a City defense that has looked vulnerable this season.
Manchester City, led by the free-scoring Erling Haaland, should be able to score a few against a Monaco side that is really struggling defensively. We could be in for an entertaining matchup in the principality. Our Monaco vs Manchester City prediction: BTTS + over 2.5.
Monaco vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Erling Haaland anytime goalscorer
Who else but him? The Norwegian is on a red-hot streak right now, scoring in his last seven appearances for club and country, during which he’s totaled an incredible 13 goals. Haaland to find the net is our second pick, while backing him to score 2+ is a good shout as well.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Manchester City
| Monaco vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 4.33 | 8 | +84.8% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 5.5 | +34.1% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.67 | 1.33 | -20.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 20.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 75.2% (15.3%)
Win free tickets to Monaco vs. Manchester City at Bet365!
With the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 season starts, bet365 offers free tickets for their users, including Monaco vs. Manchester City match!
To be in with a chance of winning tickets to any of the UEFA Champions League matchdays throughout the 2025/26 season, all fans must do is enter into the free-to-enter weekly ticket draws on the bet365 website or app*.
*Entrants must be 18+ and UK residents, with a bet365 account. All entrants will be subjectto vetting to ensure they are compliant with responsible gambling guidelines.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
